Lift truck management: New windows into performance
April 01, 2010
Autonomy, mastery, and purpose have never been high on the list of what separates great lift truck operators from the mediocre; but increasingly, lift truck providers are equipping their vehicles with systems that cater to these qualities. The information these systems collect is now being used by operators and their supervisors to maintain or improve productivity at a time when head count is down and assets are underutilized.
For example, Crown’s InfoLink system helps managers identify savings and improve management processes. One of its customers calculated a time savings of 15 minutes per day, per shift from collecting and filing inspection checklists. With a fleet of 18 trucks, they saved $5,000 per year using an electronic inspection checklist that helps supervisors ensure all lists are properly completed and filed.
At another customer site, the “Top Performers by Shift” are posted on the lunch room wall. The logged-in time, idle time, and traveling/lifting time available through the system helps managers identify the operators that are making the best use of their day and gives the entire team insight into how their performance affects overall business operations.
“The human element of information management is the real key,” says Maria Schwietrman, marketing product manager at Crown. “If operators see they’re being more productive and lowering costs, that’s how they’ll secure their jobs in the future. If you can get them to see that bigger picture of what this is all about, operators will have the incentive to do things right.”
This kind of subtlety wasn’t always possible with earlier lift-truck fleet management systems. In fact these systems were more like fire hoses of information—too much, too fast. “Some customers were going to give up their systems because they got reams of paper that didn’t reflect real time information,” Schwietrman says. “They didn’t know what to do with it and it took too long to decipher. Today, the whole goal is to make managing data easier so customers can make something meaningful of it.”
Turning data into information
Joe LaFergola, manager of fleet services for the Raymond Corporation, says lift trucks are becoming a data platform for companies, not unlike a warehouse management system (WMS).
“Up to now many customers have used WMS and various types of pick platforms, bar code scanners, etc.,” he says. “Now many of the OEMs are starting to move toward capturing the data that’s on the truck to help warehouse managers optimize their fleets.”
Key data points include how many hours the lift truck has been used, and of those hours, how many were spent traveling and how many were spent lifting. The next step in the evolution of such systems, says LaFergola, is to integrate them with the company’s WMS. “Right now the two systems are independent and no one has integrated a WMS with these data loggers on the truck,” LaFergola explains. “But if you have those pieces of information, you can use it to your advantage.”
Dan Murphy is working on doing just that for Masters Gallery Foods Inc., a full-line supplier of cheese products based in Plymouth, Wis. As warehouse manager, Murphy relies on the IT department to keep the AS/400 based inventory management system up-to-date. However, he also needed additional insight into the lift truck fleet that wasn’t available through IT. For example, why were the lift trucks sustaining so much damage?
Answering that question became his mission. At the same time, the company expanded and doubled its warehouse size and added more lift trucks at the headquarters. After the expansion, it became even more important for Masters Gallery Foods to focus on decreasing lift truck and facility damage and increasing operator accountability.
Using Raymond’s iWarehouse fleet optimization system, Murphy says that his operators now have better insight into damage causation—and better ability to act on it. “If an impact occurs, all supervisors receive an e-mail,” Murphy says. “They can make sure the person is all right and determine what the impact was.”
Information comes in the form of warnings and alarms; for example, alarms are generated when an operator hits something at a high rate of speed. They also slow the lift truck down to 1 mph until the problem can be determined and the vehicle reset. This process is enough to cause operators to improve their techniques. In fact, the number of alarms generated at Masters Gallery each month went from 45 to five in three months.
But does such a tattle-tale system cause operators to hate it? “There was no negativity from our people,” Murphy testifies. “In fact I positioned it as a 'going green’ initiative because we’re using less paper.”
That’s because they’re not printing out as many OSHA-required pre-operation safety checklists or incident reports. In fact not all incidents are caused by lift trucks. A damaged dock plate might be the culprit; and that makes it a facility issue, not an operator issue.
However the cause is coded, Masters Gallery’s lift truck dealer, Stoffel Equipment of Milwaukee, also has access to the information. Even if a code isn’t programmed to shut a lift truck down, it could indicate a problem in development. That’s enough to generate an e-mail to Stoffel, which will then send out a technician.
According to LaFergola, even Raymond benefits from these reports. If it sees that a particular model is exhibiting a systemic issue across different customer profiles, product engineering can focus on that problem and make improvements.
“Our field service people and engineering groups can do analyses on these data to help us make a better lift truck,” LaFergola says.
But knowing that bad information leads to bad results, it’s important for operators to take part in lift truck fleet management. Some of Masters Gallery’s operators have been with the company for 20 years, so the observations on the health of their equipment must be addressed before their lift truck goes back to work.
Such veterans earn the right to have higher-performing equipment. In fact their profiles are part of the system’s software. Their facility ID badges are also the key to their lift trucks. Murphy sets each vehicle’s performance parameters to the skill level of its operator and the lift truck automatically adjusts to the operator. If operators have not yet been proven on a vehicle, that vehicle will not operate.
Customer-driven solutions
Of course, the days when staffs were populated with 25-year veterans are long gone, and fleet management systems are being designed to compensate for that loss. They’re also being designed with the help of some of those remaining veterans.
Steve Rogers, program manager for Mitsubishi Caterpillar Forklift America (MCFA), tells of one large client in the trucking industry that designed a way for its lift truck operators to generate the necessary paperwork to match the materials they’re moving. The system will confirm a match by weighing the lift truck’s load and then instructing the operator where to take it.
“All of their transactions are driven off the weight of the load and that’s how it’s priced out to their customers,” Rogers explains. “This client even developed a way for the system to send e-mails to the operators.”
Rogers adds that information technology is becoming a standard offering on its lift trucks. In addition to basing operator access to entry of a pass-code, a vehicle now generates information such as key-on time, engine-on time, and seat-on time. “You can compare these three data sources and see how much the truck is being used,” he adds. “You don’t want to pay for something and have it sitting around.”
Bottom line cost
For many, an accurate snapshot of what their fleet is costing them is tied to how well their operators are using the equipment. But to Mike McKean, fleet management sales and marketing manager for Toyota Material Handling, U.S.A., Inc. (TMHU), nothing is more important to a fleet manager than defining his spend first.
“In a perfect world you’d manage both the operator and the lift truck spend,” he says. “We say let’s look at the total spend first and then we’ll look at a system that measures the performance of the operator.”
According to McKean, TMHU tells a client what its cost per hour utilization should be on a particular model and identifies which trucks in the customer’s fleet are falling out of that range. Measuring the fleet at hand, he adds, is far more important than using a national average as a benchmark.
Armed with that kind of intimate customer knowledge, a lift truck provider, whether the OEM or the dealer, can help a fleet manager avoid significant damage and thus better control his spend, adds Pat DeSutter, director of fleet management for NACCO Materials Handling Group (NMHG). “In many environments avoidable damage associated with operator abuse can be as much as 35 percent to 40 percent of the total cost to maintain the lift truck,” he says.
DeSutter suggests establishing an enterprise-wide mindset when it comes to fleet optimization; and for large fleets that means shifting assets from site to site—where practical—to balance equipment utilization. “Balancing your utilization will improve uptime, help to compress maintenance spend, and ensure that you optimize the value and usefulness of the asset for its full economic life,” he concludes.
Your lift truck provider knows his viability depends on ensuring a healthy and productive life for your lift trucks. His survival instinct is the best productivity guarantee a fleet manager can have.
Motivated by fun?
Lift trucks never entered Dan Pink’s mind when he wrote his book about what motivates workers. He was more focused on carrots and sticks—and why they’re such rotten motivators.
Autonomy, mastery, and purpose are the true motivators of 21st century business, according to Pink, and in his book, Drive, he describes companies that go beyond positive and negative external motivations and focus instead on determination that comes from within. Lift trucks aren’t in his book.
But when sister magazine Modern Materials Handling contacted him while researching the topic of labor management, Pink was intrigued to learn that lift trucks are becoming “rolling computers” that can offer operators and supervisors performance feedback.
“I love the idea that forklifts are rolling computers,” he said. “I actually think that these information management systems can be really useful. The information they provide is a form of feedback—and feedback is essential for achieving mastery. Indeed, regular feedback coming from these systems could even make the job a bit more game-like. As long as there aren’t high-stakes rewards for hitting certain goals, this seems like a great motivation-enhancing innovation.”
About the Author
Contributing Editor
Tom Andel is a Contributing Editor to Logistics Management
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Recent Entries
Ce De Candy's sweet transformation
Rick DePinto, Ce De Candy’s information technology manager
April 01, 2010
Since 9/11, even candy makers have been enlisted in the fight to keep the nation’s food supply safe from bioterrorists. That’s why Ce De Candy, the maker of the Smarties brand of candy products, installed an automatic data capture and inventory management system in its Union, N.J., and New Market, Ontario manufacturing plants. Technology is not only transforming the way the company collects data, it is also laying the foundation for using that data to improve its processes in the future.
The technology allows the candy maker to track and trace the source and lot of the ingredients used to make its popular candies as well as the customers who that shipped the finished goods. That has enabled Ce De Candy to comply with the new lot and product tracking requirements from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s Bioterrorism act.
“When the FDA announced the new requirements, we suddenly had to maintain accurate records in case there was product tampering, contamination, or a recall,” says Rick DePinto, Ce De Candy’s information technology manager. An added challenge was that Ce De Candy still ran a paper-based warehouse without a warehouse management system or bar code scanning. “Prior to that, we didn’t have to track anything,” he adds. “We had to get up to speed and implement a system that would comply with the new mandates in a hurry.”
How fast? Once the requirements were finalized, Ce De Candy had just six months to get the system up and running. The solution it implemented was a highly customizable software package (Portable Technology Solutions) that integrated easily with the manufacturer’s ERP system and utilizes wireless, rugged bar code scanners (Motorola) to accurately track the source of ingredients—the important steps in the manufacturing process and finished products.
Since going live, Ce De Candy is not only compliant with the federal tracking requirements, the company has also discovered additional benefits in its logistics operations. “With the additional information available, we now have a record of every pallet picked for a customer,” says DePinto. “That has improved the way we handle customer disputes regarding shipments.”
Getting up to speed
Founded in England in 1932, Ce De Candy Inc.’s chairman launched operations in the U.S. in 1949 with only two wrapping machines, a rented facility, and a lot of ingenuity. More than 60 years later, the company produces 8.8 billion rolls of Smarties and other products each year that are sold through a large number of retail channels including drug stores, supermarkets, convenience stores, and wholesale clubs.
For most of those 60 years, Smarties had been manufactured, stored, and shipped in much the same way. Suppliers provided the raw materials that go into making the rolled candy product. Depending on the ingredient, a shipment of raw materials may satisfy several days worth of manufacturing, or longer. While some information was collected, it was not as complete as was required by the new bill; and it was collected manually, not electronically.
The federal Bioterrorism Act changed all that. First passed in 2002, the act created new FDA requirements to track the source and ingredients that went into every food product and identify where that product was shipped for the purposes of potential contamination. “Suddenly, everything had to be trackable,” says DePinto. “We had six months to get a solution in place.”
While compliance was a priority, Ce De Candy didn’t want to meet the mandate at the expense of it current manufacturing processes, or put new burdens on its candy makers. “We did not want to add major steps for people who know how to make candy but aren’t tech savvy,” says DePinto. That was especially important because English is not a first language for many of Ce De Candy’s employees.
Finally, DePinto put a priority on finding a solution that could meet the candy maker’s new requirements and integrate with the existing ERP and order entry system without a lot of custom programming.
For those reasons, DePinto decided to focus on the software rather than the hardware. “My approach was to find the right software application and let the vendor dictate how that would work,” DePinto says. “Whether it was handheld scanners or tablets, real-time or batched, I was going to rely on the vendor.”
His search led him to a highly customizable inventory lot tracking software package that integrated easily with the order entry system and operated in a real-time, wireless environment. In fact, once the specifications for the processes were nailed down, the implementation and training took just a few weeks at both plants. Because the system is wireless, Ce De Candy’s personnel are mobile. “That makes data collection and recording much easier for them,” DePinto says.
In addition to installing wireless data collection systems in the two plants, the candy maker also outfitted tethered, or wired, scanners at remote warehouses. Those systems capture batch data on the products shipped from those locations.
Going wireless
Using the wireless scanners, Ce De Candy is capturing the information it needs with just three scans at critical stages of production. “With those scans, we’re able to track when and where these processes take place for every pallet,” says DePinto.
The process begins when suppliers fax an advance ship notification that identifies the lot number and quantity of product that’s going to be delivered. With that information, Ce De Candy creates license plate bar code labels in advance of receipt that include the supplier’s lot number and an internal lot number created by the candy maker’s ERP system for the product. The bar code labels are applied to pallets after the product has been verified against the purchase order and inspected for quality. Product is then putaway in the central storage area without a bar code scan.
The license plate label is scanned for the first time before the product is introduced into the manufacturing process. An operator scans the label to verify that the right product and quantity were pulled from a central storage area. The system also records an electronic time and date stamp for when the product was retrieved.
The second scan happens at the end of the manufacturing process, after the ingredients have been converted into a finished product. The system creates a bar code label with a UPC code for a carton that is scanned to verify in real-time that the product that was just produced. That also creates a date and time stamp for that product. Following that scan, the system automatically recommends the number of cases of that product that should be put on a pallet.
Once a pallet has been built, another license plate bar code label with a new lot number is created for the pallet. “We now have a lot number that tells us that at a certain time of day on a certain date that a certain batch of material was produced including the specific lot of raw materials that went into that production run,” DePinto says.
Once the pallet is labeled and stretch-wrapped, it’s stored in the warehouse. Putaway locations are maintained manually. The final scan takes place when an order is placed and a bill of lading is printed in the shipping department. That bill of lading includes a bar code representation of the order.
An operator scans the bar code representation of the order, and then scans each pallet being pulled from the warehouse for that order. Those scans validate the order number and quantity of pallets and create a third date and time stamp. Once an order has been fully picked and is ready for shipment, the system now creates a packing list that will accompany the order.
Sweet benefits
From a compliance standpoint, the system has been a success. Where the company once relied on paper record keeping, Ce De Candy now has instant access to pertinent data regarding its ingredients and final product. “In the past, we literally wrote down everything we did during the day, and then reported it at the end of the shift,” says DePinto. “Now, everything is in real-time, and we know up to the minute when things were made.” The company has been audited by the FDA and is in full compliance.
However, once Ce De Candy began working with the system, it also discovered additional benefits that have improved operations. One has been the ability to use the new data to resolve shipping disputes. In the past, if a customer claimed they were short-shipped or sent the wrong products, Ce De Candy only had its paper-based records to argue its case, and those are prone to error. Now, the system ties shipments to specific lots of product.
The system also generates a packing list at the end of the picking process that’s included with all shipments now. “We have an electronic record of when the pallet was picked and the packing list,” DePinto says. “We can tell if there was a picking and shipping error on our part or an error at the other end, at our customers’ facility.”
In addition, Ce De Candy has real-time visibility into both its manufacturing operations—at its New Jersey headquarters and at the company’s plant in Ontario. “Production data goes directly into our ERP system and can be viewed instantaneously,” says DePinto. “That means we no longer have to call our plant manager in Canada to find out what’s going on up there because all of that information is sent to our central tracking system.”
Last, the company expects to utilize the data it is now collecting to drive continuous improvement by identifying trends regarding the quality of ingredients it is receiving and inconsistencies in its processes.
“This is only the beginning of what we can do for efficiencies within the manufacturing process,” he says. “It is the most significant technology investment our company has made.”
About the Author

Editor at Large
Bob Trebilcock, executive editor, has covered materials handling, technology and supply chain topics for Modern Materials Handling since 1984. A graduate of Bowling Green State University, Trebilcock lives in Keene, NH. He can be reached at 603-357-0484 and .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
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Recent Entries
Report says cap and trade legislation may be running out of time
April 01, 2010
WASHINGTON—The concept of “cap and trade” as a cornerstone of a United States climate change policy appears to be losing steam, according to a recent New York Times report.
The Times report makes note of how opponents of cap and trade—a form of emissions trading used to control pollution by offering economic incentives—maintain it will be costly, adding that it’s not even mentioned in President Obama’s current budget.
The report added that Senator Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), who is working on a climate change bill with Senators John Kerry (D-Mass.) and Joseph Lieberman (I-Conn.), pronounced cap and trade as “dead” last month. Graham and Kerry are working to draft a bill “that satisfies the diverse economic, regional, and ideological interests of the Senate,” according to the report.
Graham has previously said that the current cap and trade bills in the House and Senate are “going nowhere” and are not business-friendly enough and do not lead to meaningful energy independence.
Instead of cap and trade being used as a form of emissions trading to reduce emissions pollutants, the bill would initially include a cap on greenhouse gas emissions for utilities, with other industries potentially phased in later. The bill would also include a modest tax on gasoline, diesel fuel, and aviation fuel, accompanied by new incentives for oil and gas drilling, nuclear power plant construction, carbon capture and storage, and renewable energy sources like wind and solar.
Late last year, the White House introduced its U.S. emissions target, calling for an emissions reduction of 17 percent below 2005 levels in 2020 and an 83 percent reduction by 2050—as well as being in line with final U.S. energy and climate legislation. The Senate version calls for a 20 percent reduction below 2005 levels, and the House version calls for a 17 percent reduction below 2005 levels.
Both bills, like the White House, calls for an 83 percent reduction by 2050.
The notion that cap and trade’s future is decidedly murky has been kicking around for months. At a recent transportation conference, Patrick Larkin, partner at Strasburg & Price LLP in Washington, D.C., said that if the climate change bill does not pass by June 1, it could very well be dead for 2010.
If this ends up being the case, many freight transportation and logistics industry stakeholders maintain it will be for the best as they contend that cap and trade will raise taxes for all businesses and consumers and increase fuel costs by nearly $1.00 per gallon and cost taxpayers more than $840 billion.
David Miller, vice president of global policy and economic sustainability at Con-way, said that if cap and trade were to ever become law, freight transportation companies would have no chance at all to get the fuel and gasoline taxes needed to support critical infrastructure.
“What’s bizarre about this is that those of us that are huge energy consumers who move freight throughout the entire country are not going to be given any credits [in this legislation], but those that are supposed to be paying the taxes are being given all the credits,” said Miller. “It is entirely possible we could see a 30 percent to 40 percent increase in fuel costs should this be passed.”
About the Author

Group News Editor
Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff joined the Supply Chain Group in 2005 and leads online and print news operations for these publications. In 2009, Jeff led Logistics Management to the Silver Medal of Folio’s Eddie Awards in the Best B2B Transportation/Travel Website category. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. If you want to contact Jeff with a news tip or idea, please send an e-mail to .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Recent Entries
Oberstar continues to push for more transportation infrastructure investment
April 01, 2010
WASHINGTON—When it comes to transportation infrastructure spending and innovation, the world is in the passing lane and the United States in the breakdown lane with a broken axle. At least that’s how Rep. James L. Oberstar, D-Minn., chairman of the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, currently sees it.
On the heels of historic health care reform, Oberstar is imploring the nation to reach deep into its pockets for a six-year, $450 million surface transportation bill (with another $100 million for mass transit) and said he is “open to all ideas” on how to pay for it—except one.
“I’m open to all ideas except tolling for existing highways,” Rep. Oberstar said. “We’ve paid for those highways once. We’re not going to pay for them again.”
Oberstar, speaking at the spring conference of the American Association of Port Authorities, said Europe and Asia are outspending the U.S. on infrastructure and the results show. For instance, he noted a high speed train that connects Paris to Brussels—244 miles, in 45 minutes. By comparison, Amtrak’s fastest train connects New York to Washington that covers 244 miles in 2-½ hours.
“And I guarantee you it goes 135 miles per hour for three minutes,” Oberstar quipped. “What are we, a third world country? We’re not doing things right in this country. We need a new Interstate Highway process.”
Two recent commissions on that process have called for investing $106 billion a year over the next 20 years to maintain the current system, compared to the $80 billion a year currently spent on highways and bridges by all levels of government.
“We need to get people moving again,” Oberstar said, “and get them out of traffic. What are we leaving for the next generation? What investments are we making to make their lives better?
The nation is ignoring ocean and water shipping as well, said Oberstar, who called for a “new understanding” of our relationship with water to help modernize maritime shipping. “Our great cities were great ports before they were cities,” he said. “Ports are a driving engine of our economy,” he said, noting that they produce 13.3 million jobs and generate $3 trillion in revenue, or 15 percent of the nation’s Gross Domestic Product.
“In the maritime business, you cannot afford to think small,” Oberstar implored port officials. “You have to think bigger.”
Invoking the memories of the great clipper ships and using quotations from poet Lord Byron, Oberstar, a 35-year member of the Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, is strongly pushing a six-year, $450 billion bill to replace the $286 billion expired SAFE-TEA-LU highway bill. He also wants to spend $100 million on mass transit in that span.
About the Author

Contributing Editor
John D. Schulz has been a transportation journalist for more than 20 years, specializing in the trucking industry. He is known to own the fattest Rolodex in the business, and is on a first-name basis with scores of top-level trucking executives who are able to give shippers their latest insights on the industry on a regular basis. This wise Washington owl has performed and produced at some of the highest levels of journalism in his 40-year career, mostly as a Washington newsman.
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Recent Entries
Profit-focused supply chain planning
April 01, 2010
Accenture research has shown that enterprise-wide perspectives are critical to the attainment of supply chain mastery, and one of the best examples is a supply chain leader’s ability to understand and influence decisions involving corporate revenue, margins, and profitability.
At most companies, however, supply chain decision making remains a unit- and volume-focused exercise. Revenue, margins and profitability issues are acknowledged, but usually after the fact, once an execution-level decision has been made. Consider a product shortage or allocation issue involving two customers. Standard sales & operations planning (S&OP) approaches treat the problem as an inventory-allocation decision rather than concurrently examining the financial and logistical implications. The larger customer would likely gain the upper hand because it contributes more to the manufacturer’s revenue—regardless of whether that customer contributes more from a margin perspective.
Excess or constrained capacity is another common challenge. Standard S&OP processes rarely incorporate profitability implications into manufacturing decisions like making cost/benefit tradeoffs for overtime or examining the financial impact of expedited freight. A third scenario may involve product lead times that vary due to multiple sourcing locations or transportation modes. With traditional S&OP, lead times tend to be analyzed only when physical changes are made.
A more holistic approach
We are implying that companies may wish to consider a more comprehensive, profit-oriented approach to S&OP planning—making supply chain decisions that simultaneously optimize sales, balance demand and supply, and maximize profits.
This is not as radical a move as one might think. Traditional S&OP, and the more advanced methodology we’re suggesting, are both iterative processes focused on integrating demand and supply planning for enterprise-level decision making and execution. However, the new approach adds an important dimension because it emphasizes financially-based scenario modeling to create profitable outcomes. As a result, the focus is always on where and how to make the most profit and/or generate the most market share.
A good example would be enhancements to market life cycle planning based on economic conditions. When times are good, companies need to manage their pricing and promotion strategies to determine how to make a finite number of products generate the most profit (See figure).
Using a profit-centric S&OP planning approach, high demand and limited availability will automatically trigger a move to higher prices and higher margins for a particular segment and time period. Conversely, challenging times often require that a company find price points that help sell what you have—driving sufficient revenue to cover variable costs.
To make this happen, the same profit-centric S&OP planning approach can help you adjust pricing and promotion strategies to accommodate expected margin erosion and to alter production plans to cover drops in demand.
The bottom line
There is no one recipe for blending revenue, margin, and profit considerations into a company’s S&OP planning process. To drive the transformation, however, most organizations will need to modify their operating models (restructuring teams, individual roles, and responsibilities), enhance their analytical capabilities, train resources in financial modeling concepts, and establish new metrics for individual and organizational performance.
Deeper and more integrated demand and supply planning efforts will also be critical. On the demand side, that could mean aggregating forecasts by family groupings, incorporating more macroeconomic factors, and reworking pricing and promotional strategies. On the supply side, more attention would likely be given to recognizing supply constraints and opportunities, balancing and reassigning production across the network, and adjusting capacity based on newly formed pricing and promotional strategies.
Another reasonable certainty is the new approach’s potential to benefit industries ranging from consumer goods and high-tech, to media, mining, and oil and gas. After all, most companies and industries share a desire to understand and raise their bottom lines. Taking a more profit-oriented approach to S&OP planning can complement these goals by helping to:
- integrate unit/volume planning with financial/profitability planning;
- shape demand by considering production, inventory, and distribution strategies across customers with varying demand characteristics and service-level requirements;
- factor capacity and inventory constraints into decisions about promotional strategies and optimal price points;
- leverage scenario-based modeling to clarify operational and financial perspectives;
- improve product life cycle decisions and asset/product utilization; and
- continuously assess and refine profit/volume tradeoffs across products, channels, and geographies.
The most skillful supply chain decisions are usually those that extend from the design room to the store room to the board room and back—with a consistent emphasis on the bottom line. A profit-oriented approach to S&OP planning can help make that happen.
About the Author
Mark Pearson is the managing director of the Accenture’s Supply Chain Management practice. He has worked in supply chain for more than 20 years and has extensive international experience, particularly in Europe, Asia and Russia. Based in Munich, Mark can be reached at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Recent Entries
HOS: Friend or foe?
April 01, 2010
Is it just me or have shippers become bored with the ongoing saga of the government’s attempts to re-regulate the rules governing the hours a driver can (safely) drive in a 24-hour period?
The shippers I’ve spoken to at industry events are tired of the “leap frog,” quasi-legislative attempts to solidify a rulemaking that’s nearing its 15th anniversary. It has been written, re-written, enacted, challenged, modified, and re-enacted over and over—and remains under study as we go to press.
While carriers wait for the proverbial other shoe to drop, it appears that shippers are taking a “sky is falling” approach. In other words, they’ve heard the safety mantra over and over, but without a final product having any permanency they’re simply ignoring the issue because they don’t believe it or trust the accuracy of the results. Instead, shippers think that this is a carrier issue and therefore a carrier problem.
Maybe I’m off-base in my observations, but it does seem all quiet on the shipper front on this issue. But, maybe it should be quiet. After all, this mess has been going on since 1995 when the Federal Highway Administration (FHA) was ordered by Congress to revise the decades old hours-of-service (HOS) rules.
The FHA failed to issue the required notice of rulemaking, so it fell to the newly created Federal Motor Carriers Safety Administration (FMCSA) in 1999 to do the job. Unfortunately, each and every change or proposed change has created operational confusion and productivity reductions within the carrier community—and eventually the shipper community.
I don’t think you can argue with the intent for modifying the rules. After all, who could argue with increasing safety on our highways? But, has any side come up with definitive proof that the new rules are indeed safer than any of the older rules?
I have seen and read interviews with carrier executives, industry leaders, and shipper groups in which they express their candid opinions. I wonder if anyone has sat down with a hundred or so drivers to get their take on the matter. How have these changes affected them? Do they feel more rested? Do they feel more alert? Are their skills sharper?
In fact, shippers should be asking their core carriers about the economic impact that new changes may create. They should also be questioning when and how much these costs will affect their newly acquired low rates. Distribution executives certainly want to consider what impact any new changes may have on the decisions they need to make on locating new DCs. What happens to your delivery schedule and transportation costs when the possible hours of driving operations are shortened?
In my most recent column (“Those who cannot learn from the past are doomed to repeat it” on logisticsmgmt.com
), I suggested that our newly minted logistics and transportation executives continue to study the science and politics of the field. The HOS situation is a perfect place to start.
Follow the impetus and the journey of the original HOS endeavor from 1995 when managed by the FHA through to the FMCSA’s most recent offering today. Look for and make a list of all that was to be accomplished by the modified rulemaking.
Then, determine whether or not it was appropriately addressed in the proposed and subsequently enacted rules. Determine what you feel the benefits were, each time with each change. Then decide who the winners and losers were. One life saved from a highway accident cannot be measured in an economic equation. However, among the stated players at least, who fared better: the shippers, the carriers, or the politicos? I’ve been in the game for a long time and I don’t have a convincing answer to that question.
This rulemaking is designed to improve the health, and subsequently the capability, of the driver; and yet no one has asked the drivers if they are feeling the love. We went from a 10-hour maximum with a forced break at no greater than eight consecutive hours, to a rule that although allows one extra hour of driving in a day, also allows those 11 hours to be driven consecutively with no mandatory break.
Does that produce a more rested, more alert driver? If a driver was considered too tired to drive more than eight hours consecutively, how does it make sense that he is better equipped and safer driving 11 consecutive hours?
I would sincerely like to hear from you about your concerns with the HOS rulemaking process. The actual proposals are available on line as well as the challenging petitions. Yes, they are woefully long and boring. Yes, they are lessons in double-speak. However, there is so much at stake here and you really do need to be on the front line.
About the Author

Wayne Bourne is founder and president of The Bourne Management Group, a consulting firm specializing in supply chain, logistics, and transportation network creation, economics, organizational development, and process analysis. A recipient of several industry awards, he has nearly three decades of experience in transportation and logistics management. Mr. Bourne may be reached at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Trucking’s game-changing moment
April 01, 2010
Trucking is coming out of its worst three-year slump since the 1930s. Housing and automotive, two hugely important sectors to trucking, both cratered simultaneously starting in early 2007 and have not fully recovered yet.
It’s gotten so bad that veteran trucking analyst John G. Larkin of Stifel Nicolaus, worried about continuing overcapacity in the industry, continues to “de-emphasize” trucking stocks to his clients in favor of railroads. Except for recommending a couple of small-cap trucking stocks and perhaps a non-union carrier or two, Larkin really is not recommending any general trucking companies these days.
Less-than-truckload (LTL) companies have been particularly hard hit, according to analysis compiled exclusively for Logistics Management (LM) by Satish Jindel of Pittsburgh-based SJ Consulting. He says that the average operating margins of LTL carriers fell by 5.5 percent last year, with Old Dominion Freight Line being the only LTL carrier to report positive operating margins during every quarter in 2009. Con-way Freight was the only other reporting carrier to have positive operating margin for the entire year, a scant 1.9 percent.
All reporting LTL carriers posted year-over-year declines in shipments, with YRC National suffering the worst decline at 36.3 percent. Con-way was the best, ringing in a 0.3 percent decline in shipments.
Just how bad is it out there for the nation’s top LTLs? Let’s ask some survivors.
Myron P. “Mike” Shevell, chairman of the Shevell Group, the parent of New England Motor Freight (No. 17 on LM’s Top 25 LTL list), says conditions today in the industry are the worst he’s seen in his 60 years in the industry. “Brutal,” Shevell says simply. “Everybody is just trying to hang on.”
Others agree. Ray Slagle, senior vice president of sales and marketing for ABF Freight System (No. 5 on LM’s Top 25 LTL list) says :“The past couple years are the worst that I’ve seen in my 37 years in the business. While we have seen some incremental improvements, there has not been a material change.” In fact, Stifel Nicolaus is not forecasting a profit for this venerable Teamster long-haul carrier until 2011.
“It is still a game of survival in many respects,” says Chuck Hammel, president of Pitt Ohio Express (No. 18 on LM’s Top 25 LTL list). “But there are also opportunities for those brave enough to move forward.”
Pitt Ohio, for example, has branched out from its regional LTL roots to offer longer-haul and specialized logistics services. Old Dominion Freight Line, another old-line regional carrier, now is offering everything from long-haul truckload to other specialized services for shippers.
David Congdon, CEO of ODFL (No. 8 on LM’s Top 25 LTL list), says he believes the economy has bottomed out. “We have seen some hints of an improving economy, albeit from a low bottom,” he says. “It’s nothing to jump up and down and scream about. But we are seeing a little bit of strength.”
On the truckload (TL) side, the story was slightly better. That’s because the non-union TL carriers were able to react to the sudden drop in freight volumes somewhat quicker than the LTL sector, which has higher fixed costs in general because of the extensive hub-and-spoke terminal networks they operate.
For TL, according to Jindel’s analysis, average operating margins fell 0.4 percent last year from 2008 levels, while average operating margin was 3.4 percent last year compared with 3.8 percent in 2008. Among the best were Heartland Express, Knight Transportation, Celadon, and Con-way Truckload, all reporting positive operating margins last year.
Still, total TL loads fell 3.3 percent last year from 2008. J.B. Hunt and P.A.M Transport showed the largest declines, falling by 20 and 15 percent respectfully. That was part of a conscious decision by both carriers to diversify—especially Hunt where pure truckload revenue now accounts for just over one-third of total revenue. The reporting TL carriers moved a combined 200,000 fewer loads last year than in 2008, Jindel says. In fact, at the depth of the downturn last year, many TL carriers were faced with freight volumes falling as much as much as 25 percent in some lanes.
TL carriers have responded by parking trucks at an unprecedented rate during the depth of the recent recession. As Steve Williams, chairman and CEO of Maverick Trucking, a large Little Rock, Ark.-based TL carrier, recently told the Arkansas Trucking Report: “It took us 30 years to get up to 1,500 trucks. It took us three months to park 300 of them.”
So, was this trucking’s worst recession ever? “The others weren’t anything compared to this,” Williams told ATR. “This is the 'Big Kahuna.’ It’s a game-changing moment.”
Those days, thankfully, appear to be over. The current forecast is for TL volumes to rise modestly after hitting the floor the first half of 2009. But analyst Larkin says TL volumes “are still not robust” and that there is no clear consensus on how strong the recovery will be.
In interviews with LM, some trucking executives believe that we’re at the cusp of a steady, prolonged recovery with solid price increases to match. Others aren’t so sure. But nearly all agree that shippers should expect rate increases when their contracts expire, some in the 3-percent to 5-percent range.
So what are the industry leaders in trucking doing to hasten their recovery? LM spoke with more than a dozen top trucking executives and have broken down their analysis into four broad market issues that could directly affect shippers during the remainder of 2010.
Issue #1: Overcapacity
This recession had survivors. Unlike past recessions, there wasn’t the one mega-carrier bankruptcy or closing that immediately took, say, $3 billion of capacity out the market. That immediately caused an imbalance in supply and demand, favoring shippers. But some executives feel that pendulum is swinging back in favor of the carriers as industrial and retail demand recovers.
Perhaps the carrier with the biggest impact in trucking these days is YRC Worldwide. Rivals say it’s nothing personal against CEO Bill Zollars, a nice enough guy, it’s just that they were counting on YRC’s battle with bankruptcy to fail—and take perhaps as much as $5 billion of capacity out of the market. Instead, Zollars engineered a debt-for-equity swap that basically diluted current YRC shareholders’ worth by 90 percent, and the company has stayed in business, albeit with a smaller footprint.
“YRC used to be a four-legged stool, comprised of employees, shippers, banks, and shareholders,” says Jindel of SJ Consulting, a firm that closely tracks the LTL sector and produced the market share charts for this Special Report. “With this debt-for-equity swap, they have gone to a three-legged stool—the stockholders have gone away. You can still balance something on a three-legged stool, but the third leg is now the shippers. If they were to leave, YRC could not survive.”
Jindel believes that YRC could still get out of the woods, but only if all their management and employees are single-mindedly focused on getting more profitable freight into its networks.
Others are echoing Jindel’s analysis that YRC is not yet out of the financial woods. Some analysts are saying that YRC’s financial position is still precarious, and that it still might have to further downsize or exit the market completely.
“From a cash flow standpoint, there certainly is the possibility for more carriers to fold before the economy picks up again,” says Phil Pierce, executive sales director for Averitt Express (No. 13 on LM’s Top 25 LTL list). “You simply cannot survive without cash flow.”
Other carriers agree. Old Dominion’s Congdon says, “There is a minimum 15 percent to 20 percent overcapacity” currently in the $25.6 billion LTL sector. And some carriers have even more.” Others are more sobering in their view. According to analyst Larkin: “The unfortunate reality is that capacity will not likely exit in a big way over the near term.”
Carrier executives seem intent on increasing yields. John Labrie, president of Con-way Freight, says that demand is improving and the economic indicators are clearly showing an improved economy. “I think that will continue this year,” he says. “LTL is more affected by supply side than demand. We’re in excess capacity situation that’s pretty severe and it’s going to take service to offset that excess supply. Customers have lots of options.”
Issue #2: Pricing
The past three years of overcapacity has led to bargain-basement pricing, carriers say. The YRC situation exacerbated that as some non-union rivals “went for the kill” with pricing that was nearly predatory, some rivals say. But that is not expected to continue much longer.
“There’s some crazy stuff going on out there,” Old Dominion’s Congdon says of rates. “Some of our competitors are pricing at unsustainable levels.”
With this in mind, shippers should be bracing for higher rates, though perhaps not this year. Jindel is forecasting LTL rate increases of just barely 1 percent or so. Truckload rate increases might even be higher, as some owner-operators parked their trucks in mid-2008 and have not returned.
The pricing worm appears to be turning in TL as well. According to Mark Rourke, president of the truckload division of Schneider National (No. 2 on the LM list of Top 25 TL carriers), even with the fragmented TL market, rates are rising. “There’s a firming of capacity and demand the last couple of months,” says Rourke. “Whether it’s capacity coming out or more demand on a macro level, it’s uncertain.”
Spot truckload rates, which at the depth of the recession in late 2008 were some 20 percent to 30 percent less than contract rates, now in many markets are trending above contractual rates in some head-haul lanes, Rourke says.
That has caused Schneider and other large TL carriers to examine their pricing, especially for the bottom 10 percent of their customer base. “We’re going after that bottom 10 percent in a more aggressive fashion,” says Rourke. “More of those rate increases are sticking and we’re now taking a much firmer look at pricing.”
Issue #3: Recapitalization
Trucks do not last forever. As wonderfully engineered as the modern 18-wheeler is, that $125,000 bundle of steel, rubber, and computer microprocessors tends to wear out. And while carriers slashed their capex budgets during 2008 and 2009, they now say that the time has come to trade in those 5-year-old and 6-year-old trucks in favor of the newer, more fuel efficient, EPA-compliant 2010 models.
“If you look at our industry’s lack of investment in equipment the past couple of years…that’s unsustainable,” says Schneider’s Rourke. “Our rolling stock wears out and we need to recapitalize our industry.”
The two main drivers holding back freight rates, trucking executives say, are consumer spending and expansion of manufacturing. Both are linked directly to the credit markets, which still have not recovered to pre-2008 levels. But if credit loosens, some carriers expect freight flows to be robust—and shippers will have to pay more.
“Pricing is way too low right now,” Con-way’s Labrie says flatly. “The industry is not producing enough profits to recapitalize our asset base. I would not call pricing irrational; in fact, it’s been very rational, reflecting supply and demand. But it needs to change in order for this asset-heavy business to recapitalize itself.”
Issue #4: Diversification
For more than a decade, truckers have tried to offer exactly what the marketplace wanted. That has caused once regional LTLs to expand coverage to become virtual long-haul carriers. Pitt Ohio and Averitt are charter members of the Reliance Network, an interline long-haul arrangement that has exceeded $1 billion in revenue in its first two years.
ABF Freight System, once a traditional long-haul carrier, has branched out into the regional markets through its new network for under 500 mile shipments. “We are the only carrier operating parallel regional and national line-haul networks, which enables ABF to offer reliable next-day, second-day, and transcontinental service without the hassle of processing multiple drivers from the same company every day,” says ABF’s Slagle.
Truckload carriers are changing as well. Schneider has recast its business model so that now 30 percent of its volume is regional, up from the low single digits just a few years ago. It’s also expanding its mix of freight, expanding its offerings in the food and beverage sectors, and has continued to take over some private fleets, a segment that remains a $300 billion slice in the nation’s $745 billion freight transportation pie.
One leading LTL carrier recently hired a person from the commercial airline industry who had a doctorate degree in operations research involving airline traffic. After one week of dealing with the load complexity at this trucking company, she remarked to a colleague: “Compared with trucking, optimizing air freight is like a preschool program.”
And network reengineering is a task that never ends in trucking. Greg Lehmkuhl, executive vice president of operations at Con-way Freight, says reengineering is an ongoing exercise at Con-way, with teams of research engineers constantly developing tools and models to modernize its own network as well as tweaking freight flows and forecasts of freight demands from customers, which vary widely from month-to-month as well as seasonally. “Nothing is more competitive than the LTL industry,” Lehmkuhl says.
Old Dominion set out its diversification plan in 1997. Once exclusively a Southeast regional carrier, Old Dominion now pursues freight in all regional markets and fills out with global and expedited services. It now has 5 percent market share in the LTL sector. “That’s a respectable share, but we see room for more growth, especially with smaller accounts,” adds CEO Congdon.
Message from carriers to shippers
The overall industry simply can’t go on with its current state of excess capacity and unsustainable pricing levels. Trucking has had negligible price increases for three years while its costs have continued to rise.
The message from carriers to shippers is blunt: Be prepared for price increases to start this year and continue in proportion to the strength of the economic recovery.
“We operated at a 94.2 operating ratio last year,” Old Dominion’s Congdon’s says. “But the rest of the LTL industry was at 105. Excluding YRC, it was 101. That is not sustainable. We have to get some pricing improvements and I certainly anticipate that we as an industry will we get them.”
If shippers want a hint of their rates, just look at the government numbers regarding industrial capacity, Gross Domestic Product, and other productivity trends. Unemployment, which is still 10 percent and forecast to stay above 6 percent through 2015, is one number truckers look at regularly.
“In the end it’s consumers,” Congdon says. “These industrial numbers may be rising, but unemployment greatly offsets everything that’s going on. If you’re unemployed, you’re not buying. Those people employed are not spending as much as they once did. We have to get our consumers back out there spending and to do that we have to get that unemployment number down.”
Analyst Jindel is calling for a modest economic recovery: “I’m not finding any hopeful signs that life for LTL carriers will get better any time soon. It will be a very slow process in improving tonnage levels. Things are getting lighter and smaller; and that does not portend well for an industry that bases its pricing on weight.”
What should shippers expect? In two words: rate increases.
“We’ve been chopping at the bottom for several months,” Schneider’s Rourke says. “Pricing will certainly go north, no question. Whether that’s in a big way in 2011 or starts to manifest itself in 2010, that is the big question. That’s our crystal ball moment for this industry.”
Top 25 less-than-truckload carriers 2009 revenues (including fuel surcharges)
| RANK | CARRIER NAME | 2009 REVENUE ($ million) |
| 1 | FedEx Freight | $3,618 |
| 2 | YRC National | $3,177 |
| 3 | Con-way Freight | $2,574 |
| 4 | UPS Freight | $1,807 |
| 5 | ABF Freight System | $1,260 |
| 6 | YRC Regional | $1,226 |
| 7 | Estes Express Lines | $1,174 |
| 8 | Old Dominion Freight Line | $1,158 |
| 9 | R+L Carriers* | $862 |
| 10 | Saia Motor Freight Line | $794 |
| 11 | Southeastern Freight Lines* | $628 |
| 12 | Vitran Express | $519 |
| 13 | Averitt Express | $471 |
| 14 | AAA Cooper Transportation* | $418 |
| 15 | Central Transport International* | $342 |
| 16 | Roadrunner Transportation | $316 |
| 17 | New England Motor Freight | $311 |
| 18 | Pitt-Ohio Express | $255 |
| 19 | Dayton Freight Lines* | $214 |
| 20 | A. Duie Pyle* | $205 |
| 21 | New Century Transportation* | $186 |
| 22 | Central Freight Lines | $162 |
| 23 | Daylight Transport | $128 |
| 24 | Wilson Trucking* | $122 |
| 25 | Oak Harbor Freight Lines* | $104 |
| 2009 TOP 25 TOTAL REVENUES | $22,031 | |
Top 25 truckload carriers 2009 revenues (including fuel surcharges)
| RANK | COMPANY NAME | 2009 REVENUE ($ Million) |
| 1 | Swift Transportation | $2,489 |
| 2 | Schneider National | $2,380 |
| 3 | Werner Enterprises | $1,433 |
| 4 | U.S. Xpress Enterprises | $1,333 |
| 5 | J.B. Hunt Transport Services | $1,204 |
| 6 | Prime Inc. | $992 |
| 7 | C.R. England | $866 |
| 8 | Crete Carrier Corp. | $849 |
| 9 | CRST International | $610 |
| 10 | Knight Transportation | $585 |
| 11 | Ruan Transportation Management Services | $584 |
| 12 | Covenant Transport Group | $541 |
| 13 | Celadon Group* | $479 |
| 14 | Ryder Systems | $471 |
| 15 | Heartland Express | $460 |
| 16 | Western Express | $457 |
| 17 | Interstate Distributor Co. | $448 |
| 18 | Stevens Transport | $439 |
| 19 | Anderson Trucking Service | $432 |
| 20 | Comcar Industries | $400 |
| 21 | Marten Transport | $397 |
| 22 | National Freight | $385 |
| 23 | Dart Transit | $373 |
| 24 | USA Truck | $368 |
| 25 | Con-way Truckload | $365 |
| TOTAL TOP 25 TRUCKLOAD CARRIER REVENUES | $19,340 | |
ATA reports February tonnage is up
ARLINGTON. Va.—The American Trucking Associations reported that its advanced seasonally-adjusted (SA) For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index dipped 0.5 percent in February following a revised 1.9 percent January gain. February’s decrease put the SA at 108.5 (2000=100), following a 109.1 January reading.
Despite the sequential decrease, the ATA said the SA was up 2.6 percent year over year, marking the third straight year-over-year gain. The ATA added that for the first two months of 2010, SA tonnage was up 3.5 percent compared to the same time a year ago. This is a better beginning to the year than 2009 when the SA was down a revised 8.7 percent), which marked its largest annual decrease since the 12.3 percent decline in 1982.
The ATA also reported that its not seasonally-adjusted index (NSA), which represents the change in tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, hit 97.6 in February, which was down from January’s 99.5 but up 2.6 percent year over year.
ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello said in a statement that February’s tonnage reading is somewhat difficult to gauge due to the various winter storms that occurred in February, especially on the East Coast. Despite February’s weather, Costello said that he is optimistic about the industry’s recovery prospects.
“I continue to hear from motor carriers that both the demand and supply situations are steadily improving,” said Costello. “Certainly it will take a while to make up the ground lost during the recession, but the industry is on the path to recovery.” Costello added that he expects to see some volatility on a month-to-month basis throughout this year, but the trend line should be for moderate growth.
February weather cited for flat growth
LOUISVILLE, Ky.—Harsh weather conditions in February had a negative impact on economic growth, according to the results of the Ceridian-UCLA Pulse of Commerce Index (PCI), leading to flat economic growth over the first two months of 2010.
The PCI, according to Ceridian and UCLA, is based on an analysis of real-time diesel fuel consumption data from over-the-road trucking and is tracked by Ceridian, a provider of human resources and prepaid card payment services. The PCI data is accumulated by analyzing Ceridian’s electronic card payment data that captures the location and volume of diesel fuel being purchased by trucking companies.
The PCI had a strong start to the year with a 0.6 percent gain but fell in February by 0.7 percent. December’s PCI was up 2.8 percent. Unlike previous PCI readings, UCLA and Ceridian said that the February PCI was adjusted for monthly workdays, which they said create less volatile month to month index changes.
“This change is a correction for work days and traditional seasonal adjustment,” said Edward Leamer, director of the UCLA Anderson Forecast and PCI chief economist. “We discovered that the weekend days have about half the volume of diesel fuel transactions as the weekdays; and because that varies from month to month as the year changes, that creates a lot of volatility due to the number of weekend days and week days in any given month.”
Leamer explained that on average, a weekend day sees 46 percent of the diesel fuel consumption that is seen during a week day, but it is lower in the Northeast, which has a 36 percent diesel fuel consumption rate. In turn, there is little difference between week days and weekends in the Mountain region.
Prior to this adjustment, the PCI mainly focused on a three-month rolling average for diesel fuel consumption to eliminate varying up and down swings, which mostly had to do with differences in workdays, said Leamer. Now that the PCI takes a month-to-month approach towards its data, Leamer explained that after a strong December, the first two months of the year are flat.
“Of the 5.9 percent fourth quarter GDP growth, 3.9 percent had to do with inventories, which is not a sustainable phenomenon,” said Leamer. “It is very volatile and has no sort of persistence to it. Most people look at that GDP number as 2 percent growth quarter. If we have 2 percent growth quarters the rest of the year, the job market is going to remain dismal.”
Ceridian Vice President and Index Analyst Craig Manson told LM that despite the flatness in the current quarter, it is worth noting that year-over-year diesel fuel transaction volumes are up for the third straight month. December’s increase was the first time that had occurred in 21 months.
Capacity driving potential volume/rate uptick
NASHVILLE—A fourth quarter survey of roughly 100 trucking carriers conducted by Transport Capital Partners (TCP) indicated that trucking companies are optimistic about market conditions, especially if rates and volumes go up as they suspect.
This mindset appears to be ongoing based on the results of TCP’s recently released “Business Expectations Survey.” A prevalent theme of the survey focused on projected 2010 rates and volumes. For large carriers—with revenues over $25 million—TCP found that 64 percent expect rates hikes, compared to 37 percent of smaller carriers with revenues below $25 million.
As for volumes, TCP found that more than 70 percent of large carriers expect volumes to rise in the next 12 months compared to the last 12 months (about 10 percent more than small carriers), with slightly more than 30 percent of small carriers and about 25 percent of large carriers calling for volumes to remain the same. Only 5 percent of small carriers anticipate volume declines.
TCP Managing Partner Lana Batts told LM that the projected rate increase is directly related to the ongoing excess capacity in the trucking sector. This is simply due, said Batts, to the fact that when there is excess capacity rates go down.
“Carriers have not purchased a substantial number of trucks over the last three years, and last year was a perfect example of that with only 90,000 Class 8 trucks purchased,” said Batts. “We have always expected that, just to maintain a 'normal’ replacement cycle, it took more than 250,000.”
This point was further validated by a research report from BB&T Capital Markets analyst Tom Albrecht that said that a number of Class 8 tractors 8 years old or newer has shrunk by 13 percent or 211,000 units. In short: fleets are getting older and smaller.
While the trucking sector has had its fair share of bumps and bruises in the recent past, Batts pointed out that rates are stabilizing not declining, adding that in some spot areas there are equipment shortages. These areas include dry van capacity in the Midwest due to a rebounding automotive market.
Another factor cited by Albrecht’s report was the Monthly Market Demand Index (MDI) from the Internet Truckstop. An MDI above 7 benefits truckers while below 7 benefits brokers and shippers. Batts said the MDI was as low as 1.43 in February 2009 and is now above 7.
“The spot market tends to be an indicator of what is going to happen in the contract market,” added Batts. “And even though carriers have contracts with shippers for mega-bid packages [not dedicated], the shipper does not guarantee traffic, and the carrier does not guarantee trucks. All they have negotiated is price.”
This has led to a situation where shippers have continually re-bid packages and are now under a false illusion that there is going to be capacity to go with those rates, said Batts. But this will not happen, she said, because that capacity is going to go to the higher rate and not the lower rate.
The TCP survey data found that 45 percent of respondents will add capacity when the current fleet is fully utilized and rates increase significantly, while roughly 15 percent cited they will not add capacity until the economy improves and is more stable.
What’s more, TCP noted that large carriers are twice as likely not to add capacity until their fleet is fully utilized and rates increase sufficiently; whereas smaller carriers are waiting for the economy to stabilize; which, TCP said, could explain why a higher portion of smaller carriers are currently adding capacity compared with larger carriers.
YRCW reports $622 million loss in 2009
OVERLAND PARK, Kan.—In a recent 10-K report, less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation services provider YRC Worldwide (YRCW) reported a $622 million net loss in 2009.
The company did not make this information available during its fourth quarter earnings release because it was in the process of completing its income tax provision that was part of its now completed debt-for-equity exchange in which it received tenders—or exchange offers—for roughly $470 million, representing about 88 percent of its outstanding notes.
The $622 million net loss came along with $5.3 billion in operating revenue, which was down 40.4 percent compared to 2008’s $8.9 billion in operating revenue. The 2009 numbers were an improvement over the $976 million net loss the company posted in 2008.
YRCW’s financial condition has been closely watched by industry observers due to the extensions leading up to the debt-for-equity exchange as well as the difficult LTL market conditions caused in large part by excess capacity, decreased fuel surcharge revenues, and pricing issues. The current market has also led to lower tonnage volumes across the board for YRCW, with fourth quarter shipments per day at YRC National Transportation down 39.9 percent.
Despite these losses, YRCW Chairman and CEO Bill Zollars is optimistic about where the company is headed. In a Web video for customers, he explained that 2009 was a year that “tested YRCW’s strength as a corporation, and [YRCW] did more than prove the cynics wrong, not only by surviving the worse business downturn since the Great Depression but by positioning YRCW to grow financially and operationally.”
Zollars cited how YRCW accomplished the integration and right-sizing of its Yellow and Roadway networks, executed the turnaround of its regional business, implemented cost-reduction and process improvements, and concluded its debt-for-equity exchange offer, which he said improved the company’s balance sheet and liquidity.
“Our comprehensive recovery plan, which was the basis of our efforts in 2009, continues to guide us as we move through 2010. We are optimistic and we are confident,” said Zollars. “And above all, we continue to win back business and gain new customers every day.”
Last month, YRCW reported that it’s seeing improving first quarter shipment trends at YRC National Transportation and YRC Regional Transportation. Company officials explained that shipment volumes in the latter end of December and early January were affected by the extensions to its note exchange, along with difficult weather conditions in January and February having a negative impact on shipment growth.
Continuing to keep costs in line will remain a major part of YRCW’s strategy, according to Zollars. Recent media reports noted that YRC has eliminated roughly 2,000 jobs since the end of 2009. A Kansas City Star report quoted Zollars as saying by the end of 2010 YRCW plans to take out an additional $300 million in annual costs, with $200 million removed by the middle of this year.
Stifel Nicolaus analyst David Ross recently wrote that he remains skeptical of YRCW’s long-term viability, although the company likely has sufficient access to funds to operate through 2010 after undergoing a complicated out-of-court financial restructuring to eliminate near-term debt payments.
“A high-degree of uncertainty lingers, in our opinion, around the company’s future,” wrote Ross.
About the Author

Contributing Editor
John D. Schulz has been a transportation journalist for more than 20 years, specializing in the trucking industry. He is known to own the fattest Rolodex in the business, and is on a first-name basis with scores of top-level trucking executives who are able to give shippers their latest insights on the industry on a regular basis. This wise Washington owl has performed and produced at some of the highest levels of journalism in his 40-year career, mostly as a Washington newsman.
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Article Topics
Special Reports · Air Freight · Trucking · Motor Freight · TMS · Transportation · LTL · Less-than-Truckload ·Message to shippers: rates will rise
April 01, 2010
April signals the return of baseball and the release of our Annual Top 50 Trucking Companies Special Report, the preeminent inside look at the fiscal, operational, and mental health of some of the nation’s leading truckload (TL) and less-than-truckload (LTL) carriers.
To say that this Special Report is highly anticipated would be selling the work of veteran trucking journalist John Schulz a little short. In fact, this annual endeavor, which includes the coveted Top 50 carriers list (Top 25 TL & Top 25 LTL), is now the single best read feature posted on logisticsmgmt.com year after year—and that should come as no surprise.
Known for having one of the deepest—if not the deepest—contact lists in the trucking business, Schulz is able to get the nation’s leading trucking analysts and top carrier executives to open up in candid discussions. The results paint the most realistic picture of the market available. Needless to say, that picture from the carrier perspective has been consistently bleak over the past two years. Words like “brutal,” “horrid,” even “lethal” have been freely bandied about in our pages to describe the recent period in U.S. trucking.
This year Schulz rounded up some of the most vocal survivors of the two-year trough and set out to find if the recent positive economic news has yet to have an effect on the wealth of open capacity and the subsequent lower pricing so many shippers have been enjoying.
And just what did he find? Without giving away too much, many of the top analysts and trucking executives interviewed believe that—as indicated by recent general economic news and ATA tonnage reports—U.S. trucking is on the cusp of a steady and prolonged recovery. And with this turnaround will certainly come rate increases to match—anywhere from 3 percent to 5 percent over the next 12 months seems to be the consensus.
Schulz neatly analyzes the four issues (overcapacity, pricing, recapitalization, and diversification) that will drive prices back to levels that will allow carriers to stay above water and even reinvest.
As Schneider’s Mark Rourke stressed, “If you look at our industry’s lack of investment in equipment over the past couple of years…that’s unsustainable.” Con-way’s John Labrie puts it this way: “I would not call pricing irrational; in fact, it’s been very rational, reflecting supply and demand. But it needs to change in order for this asset-heavy business to recapitalize itself.”
“Let’s put it this way,” Schulz told me as he wrapped up his reporting, “trucking simply can’t go on with its current state of overcapacity and unsustainable pricing levels. In no uncertain terms, rates will rise.”
I would like to thank Satish Jindel and his team at SJ Consulting in Pittsburgh for again compiling our exclusive Top 50 list this year. This most comprehensive look at the U.S. trucking market begins on page 54S.
About the Author

Group Editorial Director
Michael Levans is Group Editorial Director of Peerless Media’s Supply Chain Group of publications and websites including Logistics Management, Supply Chain Management Review, Modern Materials Handling, and Material Handling Product News. He’s a 23-year publishing veteran who started out at the Pittsburgh Press as a business reporter and has spent the last 17 years in the business-to-business press. He’s been covering the logistics and supply chain markets for the past seven years. You can reach him at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
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Senate passes FAA Reauthorization Act; labor classification differences between FedEx and UPS linger
April 01, 2010
WASHINGTON—The United States Senate recently passed the $34.5 billion Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Reauthorization Act that will secure FAA funding through September 30, 2011. This followed a vote by Congress to extend the House version of this bill for three months through June 30—the most recent in a series of extensions for this bill, which expired in 2007.
The FAA bill has received considerable attention in recent months due to a labor-related difference between FedEx and UPS over the House and Senate versions.
At the heart of this difference is that the House version calls for “express carrier employee protection” and has the potential to change the labor status for FedEx Express from Railway Labor Act (RLA) to the National Labor Relations Act (NLRA) that applies to UPS employees. Should this bill be signed into law, many industry experts contend that it will make it less challenging for the Teamsters Union to organize FedEx Express workers.
In the House version, an amendment would enable the RLA to clarify that employees of an “express carrier” can only be covered by the RLA if they are employed in a position that is eligible for certification under FAA’s rules such as mechanics or pilots, and that they are actually performing that type of work for the express carrier. It added that all other express carriers would be governed by the NLRA.
In the Senate vote, the House provision was not included, a move that FedEx viewed as a positive.
“We are encouraged that the United States Senate passed an FAA Reauthorization bill that is focused on modernizing our air travel system and enhancing important safety provisions that we support, including an increase in co-pilot training requirements,” said Maury Lane, FedEx director of media relations, in a statement. “To their credit, the Senate has rejected efforts to include an ill-conceived 230-word bailout provision inserted by UPS lobbyists into the House bill that would change how FedEx Express has been regulated since its founding 38-years ago.”
Lane added that this is an important bill that should advance without extraneous labor provisions, “and we continue to believe that UPS should abandon its bailout quest that puts the interests of UPS ahead of the public.”
In literature for its campaign—dubbed BrownBailout.com—FedEx says that this amendment amounts to a “bailout to UPS,” adding that it would force FedEx to operate under a law not designed for airlines and express companies. FedEx has previously defended this position by explaining that UPS and FedEx are “fundamentally different companies,” with UPS shipping 85 percent of its parcels on the ground and FedEx primarily functioning as an airline, flying 85 percent of its packages in the air.
UPS spokesman Malcolm Berkley said that the only “bailout” occurring is not one for UPS but one that FedEx has been enjoying for the last several decades, as its drivers are the only ones in the country covered by the RLA.
“The term bailout is not accurate,” said Berkley. “The issue at hand is the treatment of drivers under the law—the application of law as it applies to drivers. And right now there is only one company with its drivers covered under the law differently than all other drivers in the U.S. and that’s FedEx. If you want to talk about special treatment and about being bailed out, that is where that is.”
“The change in the legislation really does nothing for UPS, although UPS contends that they have to operate under different laws than FedEx, which is unfair,” said Jerry Hempstead, principal of Hempstead Consulting.
“This is really a battle with organized labor that FedEx has been fighting since deregulation in 1979,” added Hempstead. “However, FedEx can’t say that they are battling organized labor. That will not sell to the current administration or the population at large; but if they paint it as a battle with the big bad corporate giant UPS then they can get an ear and some sympathy.”
About the Author

Group News Editor
Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff joined the Supply Chain Group in 2005 and leads online and print news operations for these publications. In 2009, Jeff led Logistics Management to the Silver Medal of Folio’s Eddie Awards in the Best B2B Transportation/Travel Website category. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. If you want to contact Jeff with a news tip or idea, please send an e-mail to .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Management Update: Open Skies now a reality.
April 01, 2010
The U.S. and the European Union reached an agreement on an expansion of their historic 2007 Open Skies accord that will provide for greater U.S-EU cooperation on a wide range of aviation issues. The agreement was concluded after eight rounds of talks, the most recent of which included three days in Brussels, Belgium. This makes good on President Obama's promise to European leaders that such an understanding would be met this year. This accord affirms that the terms of the 2007 agreement will remain in place indefinitely; and it also deepens U.S.-EU cooperation in aviation security, safety, competition, and ease of travel. In addition, it provides greater protections for U.S. carriers from local restrictions on night flights at European airports.
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Management Update: Federal highway and transit funding secured.
April 01, 2010
The uncertainty surrounding federal highway and transit funding received a respite through the rest of this year when the Senate voted to pass the $18 billion Hiring Incentives to Restore Employment Act, followed by President Obama signing it into law. This follows a series of continuing resolutions—or extensions—to keep funding afloat at current spending levels, following the September 2009 expiration of SAFETEA-LU. This measure also ensures that the Highway Trust Fund (HTF) remains solvent during that period through a $19.5 billion transfer from the United States General Trust Fund. The HTF is the federal government's primary source for financing highway, bridge, and transit projects, according to the DOT. It's largely financed by the federal motor fuel tax, which is 18.4 cents per gallon for gasoline and 24.4 percent for diesel, and has not been raised since 1993.
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Management Update: FedEx fiscal Q3 takes off.
April 01, 2010
In a sign that the economic recovery is making progress, FedEx announced last month that net income for the fiscal third quarter of $239 million was up 146 percent over last year's $97 million. Spurred by strong growth through FedEx Ground and international express, quarterly revenue at $8.7 billion was up 7 percent from a year ago. Operating income, at $416 million, was up 129 percent from $182 million over the fiscal third quarter a year ago, with a quarterly operating margin of 4.8 percent up from 2.2 percent. “Outstanding execution of our business strategy and an improving global economy drove solid financial performance in the quarter,” said FedEx Chairman, President, and CEO Frederick W. Smith.
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Management Update: Slashing ships.
April 01, 2010
A number of Asian carriers have significantly trimmed their container ship fleets over the last 15 months as they sought to reduce exposure to the fragile liner shipping markets. According to analysts at the Paris-based think tank Alphaliner, the seven major Asian operators surveyed have disposed of 282,000 twenty-foot-equivalent units (TEUs) during the period, representing 16 percent of their combined fleet. This includes 155,000 TEU that these operators sent to scrap and a further 127,000 TEU that were sold in the secondhand market and in financial engineering deals. The Asian carriers were not the only operators to be trimming their fleet, said analysts. Among the other main carriers, CMA CGM, MSC and Maersk had also taken steps to dispose of parts of their fleets.
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Management Update: ABF, Teamsters may re-open talks.
April 01, 2010
The Teamsters Union said last month that it's looking into establishing a dialogue with ABF Freight System Inc., a less-than-truckload subsidiary of Arkansas Best System, to renegotiate ABF's labor agreement, the National Master Freight Agreement. Teamster officials said that they have not entered discussions with ABF; but based on its current understanding of the industry, the company's financial position, and concerns from ABF Teamster members, they stated that “it's in our best long-term interest to fully engage ABF through formal discussions to determine what type of contractual relief may be necessary.” An ABF official told LM that the company is pleased that the Teamsters Union recognized the need for potential discussions.
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Management Update: Overall RFID market to hit $5.35 billion.
April 01, 2010
A new market data report released by ABI Research predicts that the overall RFID market will reach $5.35 billion this year, a glimmer of optimism after the economic slide required the firm to adjust its RFID forecasts downward for 2009 and 2010. ABI said that their forecast is for steady growth through the next five years, adding that it expects the overall RFID market to exceed $8.25 billion in 2014, representing a 14 percent compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next five years. The report, Semi-Annual RFID Market Data, contains extensive data on RFID revenues and unit shipments segmented by technology, application, and vertical market.
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Management Update: Port of Oakland revival.
April 01, 2010
With the arrival of three new container cranes from Shanghai last month, the Port of Oakland is anticipating increased cargo throughput. According to Omar Benjamin, the port's executive director, Oakland had a 30 percent increase in its maritime cargo imports and an 11 percent increase in outbound cargo exports compared to a year ago. “There are glimmers of economic recovery on the horizon,” Benjamin said. “And people are beginning to feel the negative news of the past several months beginning to thaw and give way to better days.” In a letter to shippers, Benjamin also noted that Union Pacific Railroad recently opened its Donner Pass route located in the Sierra Nevada mountain range to domestic double-stack intermodal container freight traffic.
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Management Update: New transpacific player.
April 01, 2010
The Containership Company (TCC), a new Norwegian-based container line, has selected TraPac Container Terminal at the Port of Los Angeles as its U.S. West Coast gateway. The announcement comes at a time when many ports are positioning themselves for a revival of exports. The newest entrant in the trans-pacific cargo trade, TCC will give local businesses another option for exporting goods and materials to the major inland industrial and manufacturing center northwest of Shanghai. TCC will operate a weekly service between Los Angeles and the Modern Terminals facility at the Port of Taicang in the Jiangsu province of China. Starting in April, TCC will offer “no frills” service for importers and exporters seeking a cargo link between Southern California and Taicang, a thriving manufacturing center approximately 40 miles northwest of Shanghai.
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Management Update: Gulf ports gain share.
April 01, 2010
Georgia Ports Authority's (GPA) Executive Director Curtis J. Foltz announced at its board meeting that the GPA continued to experience positive growth during the month of February and has recorded three consecutive months of increased trade through its ports. “Three consecutive months of double-digit growth is a positive sign that overall market conditions have improved considerably since last year,” said Foltz. Overall tonnage reports for February 2010 showed gains of 29.7 percent, which brings the GPA's year-to-date volume for the first eight months to a 2.7-percent increase compared with the same time period last year. Container volume showed strong growth, posting a 20.6 percent increase in TEUs compared with the same period last year.
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Management Update: Airlines mean business.
April 01, 2010
The heads of the world's regional airline associations met in Brussels last month to issue a statement reaffirming their commitment to the industry-wide global sectoral approach to aviation and climate change. The associations are supporting the efforts of the International Air Transport Association and the Air Transport Action Group to push for a strong International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) commitment at the ICAO General Assembly in September. With private industry taking the lead on this issue, the group hopes that government policy makers will listen. “We reaffirm our commitment to the industry-wide effort to reduce aviation's climate change impact through three targets: A 1.5 percent improvement in fuel efficiency annually from 2010; a cap on net carbon emissions from 2020 through carbon-neutral growth; and a 50 percent reduction in carbon emissions by 2050, compared with 2005 levels.”
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Management Update: No more boxes.
April 01, 2010
U.S. exporters of agricultural goods meeting in San Francisco last month said they were facing a dire shortage of ocean cargo capacity this season. LM was told in a memo that carriers' increasing use of slow steaming was also a concern, as it causes severe disruptions in the supply chain. According to sources, prominent West Coast shippers met with carrier representatives of the Westbound Transpacific Stabilization Agreement to discuss ways to expedite movement in the U.S.-Asia trade lane. Sources said that part of the problem is that carriers are not using the proper forecasting tools to anticipate growth. Shippers comprising the Agriculture Transportation Coalition insist that demand is ramping way up and that vessel operators are slow to recognize the need for better deployment and more reliable service.
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Management Update: Most admired.
April 01, 2010
Several logistics providers and freight transportation companies were recently recognized as some of America's most admired companies by Fortune magazine. Selections for the annual list were based on a company's innovation, employee talent, and quality of products and services. FedEx ranked 13th and UPS ranked 33rd in the top 50 companies for brand recognition, with C.H. Robinson Worldwide leading the trucking, transportation, and logistics category, followed by Expeditors International of Washington, J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Ryder System, Landstar, Con-way, and Werner Enterprises.
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Management Update: Hong Kong targets Central America.
April 01, 2010
In a move highlighting the increasing importance of trade agreements between China and Central American nations, DHL announced the launch of its new direct LCL service linking those two destinations. According to spokesmen, LCL (Less than container Load) service will enhance connectivity and trade from Hong Kong's strategic port to one of the busiest ports of Central America, as well as the trade flows between Asia Pacific and Central and South America. DHL currently offers the industry's widest coverage with more than 700 weekly point pairs from 24 North Pacific terminals sailing to 30 destinations in Central America. The newly added LCL service underscores DHL's move to respond to growing trade volumes from Asia Pacific as well as Hong Kong to Guatemala.
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Wal-mart rolls out ambitious sustainability plan
April 01, 2010
BENTONVILLE, Ark.—Last month, Wal-mart announced that it’s taking major steps to eliminate 20 million metric tons of greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) from its global supply chain by the end of 2015.
This is the latest in a series of steps the retail giant has taken on the sustainability front in recent years, including plans for a Sustainability Index that will tell customers how products sold by Wal-mart will impact the environment; using hydrogen fuel cell powered forklifts; reducing packaging sizes for toys; and installing auxiliary power units for its entire private fleet, among others.
Wal-mart officials said that removing 20 million metric tons of GHG emissions from its global supply chain is the equivalent of removing more than 3.8 million cars from the road in a year. This move is critical to its overall sustainability plans, the company said, considering that its global supply chain footprint is much larger than its operational footprint and presents a significant opportunity to reduce emissions.
Through collaboration with the Environmental Defense Fund (EDF), Wal-mart cited that the following three components will drive its plan to reduce GHG emissions:
Selection. The company says it’s focusing on the product categories with the highest embedded carbon. That will be defined by the amount of life-cycle GHG emissions per unit multiplied by the amount the company sells.
Action. Wal-mart will also concentrate on anything that reduces GHGs from a product in either the sourcing of raw materials, manufacturing, transportation, customer use, or end-of-life disposal. Wal-mart will also demonstrate that it has direct influence on the reduction and will show how that reduction would not have occurred without the company’s participation.
Assessment. This will be done by having Wal-mart and its suppliers jointly accounting for GHG reductions. It will also have external adviser, ClearCarbon, performing a quality assurance review of those claims to ensure methodology, completeness, and calculations are correct. PricewaterhouseCoopers, another external partner, will assess whether the defined standards were followed consistently to quantify the reduction claim once the claims meet the quality assurance check.
Wal-mart President and CEO Mike Duke said this endeavor reflects Wal-mart’s aggressive growth goals on energy efficiency and using renewable energy in existing and new facilities.
“We know we need to get ready for a world in which energy will only be more expensive…and there will only be a greater need to operate with less carbon in the supply chain,” said Duke. “Wal-mart and our supplier partners have a history of working together to create a more efficient supply chain that benefits us all. The effort to reduce energy will be no different.”
Duke also said that reducing carbon in the life cycle of Wal-mart’s products will often mean reducing energy use, adding that this will mean greater efficiency—and with the rising cost of energy, lower costs that will make its business stronger and more competitive.
Analysts said that this initiative is well-intended and could reap significant benefits for Wal-mart, its suppliers, and consumers.
“Wal-mart is proving that they’re leaders in the area of reducing GHG emissions among global businesses,” said Brittain Ladd, a supply chain consultant and lecturer on green supply chain strategies. “By reinforcing the importance of looking across the supply chain from suppliers to consumers, Wal-mart is laying out a business model that can easily be copied by other companies to achieve reductions in GHG levels as well as achieve reductions in costs regardless of the industry they compete.”
Ladd also noted that it is becoming more apparent that the focus on reducing GHGs is driving unheard of collaboration between suppliers and businesses that will significantly change the competitive landscape and place new pressures on supply chains.
Kevin Smith, president and CEO of North Kingston, R.I.-based Sustainable Supply Chain Consulting, said that if this is being done for the right reasons, with Wal-mart truly trying to conceptually improve the carbon footprint of its entire supply chain, this could be a good thing because it could be an initiative that works to everyone’s advantage.
“We should never be doing things just for the sake of being green,” said Smith. “If we’re in the business of making money we should be doing things to help the environment and add to the bottom line. This sounds like it’s sophisticated enough and I would applaud [Wal-mart] for doing this; but as an industry we need to be careful to make sure we are doing things for the right reasons, things that are good for the environment and good for supply chains by saving money and therefore benefiting consumers.”
About the Author

Group News Editor
Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff joined the Supply Chain Group in 2005 and leads online and print news operations for these publications. In 2009, Jeff led Logistics Management to the Silver Medal of Folio’s Eddie Awards in the Best B2B Transportation/Travel Website category. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. If you want to contact Jeff with a news tip or idea, please send an e-mail to .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Price Trends: Trucking
April 01, 2010
The cyclical low point in inflation (or, in current environment, deflation) appears to have finally passed. U.S. Labor Department surveys report LTL transaction prices jumped 3.7% from January to February 2010. Of course, that one month didn’t wipe out five consecutive months of LTL price cuts, but any glimmer that recession-induced price concessions may be ending should concern shippers. From the July 2008 peak to the March 2009 trough, average trucking prices fell 8.6% while industry costs dropped 14.7%. Since hitting bottom, prices have inched up 1.5% as fuel-driven inflation has pushed aggregate industry costs up 8%. Our new trucking price forecast: 1.5% annual gain in 2010 and 2% in 2011.
| % Change vs. | 1 month ago | 6 mos. ago | 1 yr. ago |
| General freight - local | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| Truckload | -0.7 | -0.5 | -1.0 |
| Less-than-truckload | 3.7 | -1.4 | -2.5 |
| Tanker & other specialized freight | -0.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Source: Elizabeth Baatz, Thinking Cap Solutions. E-mail: .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
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Price Trends: Air
April 01, 2010
Transaction prices for flying freight on U.S.-owned airliners’ scheduled flights increased 1.2% in February. Meanwhile, prices for flying cargo on chartered flights plunged 10.1%, and even air courier tags deflated half a percentage point. The airline industry’s aggregate prices and underlying operating costs both peaked in July 2008 before falling to the May 2009 low. From that low to February 2010, prices for all services have increased 8.7% and prices for air cargo (on scheduled flights) have grown only 5.4%. Industry costs, however, jumped 10.4% due largely to a 63% surge in fuel costs. Demands from recession-battered buyers will likely constrain air cargo annual inflation rates to 2.3% in 2010 and 0.2% in 2011.
| % Change vs. | 1 month ago | 6 mos. ago | 1 yr. ago |
| Scheduled air freight | 1.2 | 4.8 | -1.2 |
| Chartered air freight & passenger | -10.1 | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| Domestic air courier | -0.5 | 8.1 | 12.8 |
| International air courier | -0.4 | 5.4 | 8.6 |
Source: Elizabeth Baatz, Thinking Cap Solutions. E-mail: .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
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Price Trends: Water
April 01, 2010
After dramatic price increases last month, prices for moving cargo on inland waterways and on the Great Lakes/St. Lawrence Seaway gave back a bit, down 0.8% and 1.8%, respectively, in February. Now, however, other water transport markets are getting into the price-hike act, with deep sea freight prices up 4.8%, and coastal/intercoastal freight tags up 2.8%. For the aggregate water transportation industry, prices overall increased 2.4% as industry costs grew only 0.5% thanks to a 1.2% one-month drop in spending on fuel. Nonetheless, January and February data shifted the forecast take-off point, so our industry-wide price forecast has been revised upward to a 4% annual inflation rate in 2010. Next year, prices are expected to remain on a 3.1% inflation track.
| % Change vs. | 1 month ago | 6 mos. ago | 1 yr. ago |
| Deep-sea freight | 4.8 | 6.4 | 1.8 |
| Coastal & intercoastal freight | 2.8 | 3.6 | 11.0 |
| Grt. Lks.-St. Lawrence Seaway | -1.8 | 8.9 | 5.5 |
| Inland water freight | -0.8 | 4.0 | -7.6 |
Source: Elizabeth Baatz, Thinking Cap Solutions. E-mail: .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
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Price Trends: Rail
April 01, 2010
In February 2010, average prices for intermodal rail freight services increased 0.3% from a month ago and 5.5% from February 2009. But compared to the same month two years ago, intermodal tags remain down 2.9%. These price changes mirror changes in U.S. rail intermodal traffic as reported by the Association of American Railroads. Carload tags, however, despite a one-month 0.3% price cut this past February, now stand 0.3% above price levels set two years ago. After a fuel-driven August 2008 cyclical price peak to a trough set in April 2009, price trends are now settling into more typical inflation patterns. Our forecast continues to call for rail transportation prices to increase 3.5% in 2010 and 2.1% in 2011.
| % Change vs. | 1 month ago | 6 mos. ago | 1 yr. ago |
| Rail freight | -0.1 | 1.0 | 2.6 |
| Intermodal | 0.3 | 1.4 | 5.5 |
| Carload | -0.3 | 1.0 | 2.5 |
Source: Elizabeth Baatz, Thinking Cap Solutions. E-mail: .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
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8th Annual Software Survey: Spending remains flat
April 01, 2010
The results of our 8th Annual Software User Survey are in, and the results reflect what most of us would expect during the current economy. Spending is down or flat across most supply chain software categories; purchase expectations for the year are lower than they were for 2009; and a growing number of shippers are turning to hosted solutions in lieu of purchase-and-install options.
Logistics Management (LM) has been tracking software user trends for the last seven years in order to get an inside look at the current supply chain software market and to help identify which technologies shippers are more prone to adopt. Specific areas of evaluation include types of software currently in use; which software they’re planning to purchase; the level of annual software expenditures; what stage respondents say they find themselves in the buying process; and the reasons shippers are considering turning to supply chain software, to name a few.
This year’s survey of LM readers was conducted in February, and only included those professionals who are involved in specifying and evaluating logistics and supply chain software solutions for their companies. For 2010, 346 qualified respondents were received and tabulated.
The first question, and perhaps the most telling of the questions we ask, is one that was on every software vendor’s mind in the early stages of 2010: Does your company use or plan to purchase or upgrade supply chain software in the next 12 months? According to the survey, 88 percent of respondents are currently using supply chain software, while 75 percent say they plan to buy or upgrade this year—up from 73 percent and 64 percent, respectfully, in 2009.
From here, the survey pinpointed variations in buying habits among the different supply chain software options, although the two biggest components of the market, warehouse management systems (WMS) and transportation management systems (TMS), garnered similar results. Twenty-seven percent of respondents say they plan to buy or upgrade their WMS this year—down from 31 percent the prior year—in an effort to gain real-time control and improve inventory deployment.
The same percentage of shippers (27 percent) say they want to buy or upgrade their TMS, down from 29 percent in 2009. From their TMS shippers are looking for routing and scheduling capabilities, better carrier selection and load tendering, and shipment consolidation.
Adrian Gonzalez, director of ARC Advisory’s Logistics Executive Council, is surprised at the lowered interest in TMS—a software category that roughly one-third of shippers are currently using. “I would have thought more than 27 percent would be upgrading this year,” says Gonzalez, who points to the fast potential payback as the biggest selling point for TMS. “Part of that, however, could just be the effect that the economy is having on budgets right now.”
Around the horn
According to the survey, interest in enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems has waned, from 18 percent in 2009 to 17 percent this year, based on the number of shippers that plan to buy or upgrade. Of those who are buying ERPs, 52 percent say they’ll include a WMS module while 27 percent say their systems will come equipped with a TMS module.
Surprisingly, interest in global trade management (GTM) software has remained pretty much level year over year, even with the new Customs compliance challenges that now face shippers. In 2010, for example, 14 percent say they’re ready to buy or upgrade, compared to 13 percent in 2009. Adoption rates for GTM remain low: just 10 percent of shippers are currently using such systems, down from 15 percent in 2009.
“I’m surprised by those numbers because last year our studies showed that GTM would be up quite a bit [this year] over other software options,” says Greg Aimi, research director of supply chain for AMR Research. “But this survey paints a different picture.”
Belinda Griffin, executive program manager for Capgemini, says she’s seen lower interest in GTM due to its niche status, and the fact that most shippers are maintaining a conservative purchasing stance and seeking the biggest bang for their buck. “GTM is not as encompassing as some other supply chain software options, and is still seen as a niche area,” says Griffin.
The fact that 3PLs and other third parties offer outsourced GTM capabilities could also be having an impact on the sector’s growth. “If someone else can deal with the GTM without the shipper having to buy the actual solution, then all the better,” says Griffin. “There are precious few dollars to go around right now, and shippers would probably rather spend them on a solution that encompasses a bigger part of the supply chain.”
Another niche supply chain sector that is seeing activity right now is yard management systems (YMS). Overall usage of such systems has dropped (from 14 percent in 2009 to 12 percent this year), but 13 percent of respondents says they’re planning to buy or upgrade their systems this year compared to 10 percent in 2009.
Also gaining ground are Software as a Service (SaaS) supply chain options—a trend that started in the TMS space, but is now radiating out into other sectors. According to the study, 35 percent of shippers are considering SaaS-based supply chain solutions, while 18 percent are already using them.
“SaaS is hot right now; everyone wants to talk about it,” says Griffin. She sees the option as particularly useful for small to midsize shippers that lack the monetary and IT resources to handle a full, on-site installation. “Larger shippers are intrigued by SaaS, especially when they learn how easy these systems are to implement and maintain,” she adds. “When they really dig down into the business case, however, it’s still not there for those larger companies.”
Gonzalez says that ARC’s own studies show that subscription-based TMS revenues and transaction fees grew by double digits in 2009 compared to 2008, when those revenues contracted. These revenues are expected to expand even further in 2010. He says low startup costs (compared to purchase-and-install options), ease of use, and speed of implementation remain the prominent drivers within the SaaS market. “It’s getting harder and harder for shippers to ignore these advantages,” says Gonzalez.
Who’s providing what and how well?
Our survey also delved into which features shippers are looking for, the vendor selection process, as well as the level of shipper satisfaction once they’re up and running with those vendors.
When using supply chain software, shippers ranked the right features for operations, configurability, compatibility with existing systems, and service/support as the most important criteria. Most shippers (49 percent) say that their usage of supply chain software has remained the same over the past two years, while 47 percent said it’s increased.
The results also reveal that the current economic climate has changed shippers’ approach to supply chain management software on several fronts. More are scrutinizing their investments and moving cautiously (46 percent versus 41 percent in 2009), yet only 21 percent are freezing investments (compared to 34 percent last year). Twenty percent are moving forward with new software investment (compared to 16 percent in 2009) and 16 percent are upgrading versus buying new (versus 15 percent in 2009).
The actual number of vendors on any shipper’s docket at one time is also changing. Thirty percent of respondents say they’re using more software vendors than two years ago—compared to 28 percent in 2009—perhaps signaling a diminishing interest in vendor consolidation. The number of software packages in use has remained somewhat steady, with 36 percent of responding shippers increasing that number (versus 37 percent in 2009) and 56 percent staying the same (compared to 53 percent in 2009).
Griffin says she’s confused by shipper feedback regarding the number of software vendors and packages in use. “Quite a few shippers I talk to are looking to simplify their software footprint and standardize processes,” says Griffin. “It’s interesting to see how this survey doesn’t reflect those intentions.”
Exactly how shippers get their new software up and running, and the ROI expectations associated with those implementations, hasn’t changed much in the last two years. A good chunk off responding companies (36 percent) continue to rely on in-house expertise to handle software implementations, compared to 37 percent in 2009. Thirty-one percent turn to their software suppliers, up from 27 percent in 2009.
Once those systems are in place, payback expectations remain fairly constant. Thirteen percent of shippers expect payback in less than six months; 31 percent anticipate ROI within 6 months to 12 months; and 34 percent within 12 months to 18 months, according to the survey. “Those expectations are realistic,” says Gonzalez, “and consistent with what we see in the marketplace right now.”
what does the future hold?
The 2010 survey continues to reflect a bleak economic picture that, according to shipper respondents, isn’t on track for any significant improvement over the next six months. But all the news isn’t negative.
The total number of shippers who intend to buy or upgrade supply chain planning software is actually up, from 23 percent in 2009 to 27 percent in 2010. From those purchases, shippers are looking for better inventory visibility, improved demand planning, enhanced order management, and better collaboration with vendors/suppliers.
However, actual expenditures for supply chain software will be down significantly in 2010 compared to 2009. When asked how much their companies will spend on supply chain software for their operations including license, integration and training over the next 12 months, 50 percent (compared to 45 percent last year) of respondents said less than $100,000, and 26 percent (compared to 30 percent last year) said $100,000 to $499,999.
The average amount that shippers plan to spend this year is $583,800, compared to $750,280 in 2009 and $706,450 in 2008. Blame the economic conditions for the conservative stance, says Gonzalez, but also factor in the growing interest in lower cost SaaS options and in those solutions that solve one specific problem.
“Companies are beginning to realize that they don’t have to address an entire process with an all-encompassing software package,” states Gonzalez. “Instead, they can invest smaller amounts in more targeted areas, and then allocate those cost savings to future projects.”
About the Author

Contributing Editor
Bridget McCrea is a Contributing Editor for Logistics Management based in Clearwater, Fla. She has covered the transportation and supply chain space since 1996, and has covered all aspects of the industry for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review. She can be reached at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Recent Entries
Improving import/export operations: How to hit a moving target
April 01, 2010
It’s a happy problem or a nagging conundrum, trade analysts say. Both perspectives have merit because they’re both based on an anticipated surge in export and import operations for U.S. shippers in the coming year.
A new industry report maintains that multinational corporations are the most aggressive adaptors to sudden change. This observation is also echoed in a recent industry white paper that warns shippers against deferring global trade management (GTM) strategies much longer. Finally, an academic study suggests that getting your GTM model together is just as important as setting a course of action.
What follows is an objective summary evaluation of the strategic vision shared in recent reports by several leading industry think tanks. Just how can global shippers hit all these moving targets? Well, there’s certainly no shortage of well-meaning advice.
Managing the new complexity
Growing global concern over environmental and safety issues is spinning a global web of trade and security programs that affect both importers and exporters, as well as both products and their movement.
But, of course, compliance with new regulations such as the EU REACH and U.S. Importer’s Security Filing 10+2 programs can be complex and costly. So, to better understand how companies are dealing with these issues, global logistics firm BDP International and its Centrx consulting unit surveyed 184 logistics executives from a wide range of industries to find out how today’s global organizations are handling the new pressures.
Nearly half (45 percent) of supply chain professionals surveyed by BDP and Centrx indicated that they are currently supporting their internal regulatory compliance departments with external resources—especially those with under $1 billion in annual revenues and doing business in emerging markets.
“It was not surprising to find that the larger companies with more resources were more inclined to handle compliance matters themselves, particularly on their home turf,” explains Michael Ford, BDP vice president of regulatory compliance. “Nor was it surprising to see that the bigger companies are relying on local expertise in places like Africa and Asia.”
But it is notable, adds Ford, that they all recognize the need to proactively manage the function to minimize often highly punitive penalties. That way, he says, they can maintain “desk-level productivity.”
It was found that the need for compliance services is most pronounced in emerging markets. Respondents conducting business in Asia-Pacific indicated that they outsource the entire compliance function. Moreover, 60 percent of the respondents trading in Asia-Pacific cited a growing need for such services over the next 12 to 18 months, compared with 53 percent in North America and 50 percent in Europe. Compare these results with the 80 percent of respondents who staff and administer the compliance function internally for North America.
The survey suggests that companies typically deal with product-related regulations such as registration and labeling themselves, while outsourcing compliance with those associated with its movement.
“With regard to use of outside compliance services, respondents split fairly evenly between those who retain the function fully in-house (43 percent) and those who outsource at least a portion of it (45 percent),” says Ford. “Only 12 percent indicated they outsource the entire function.”
More than half (51 percent) of respondents from companies with annual revenues up to $1 billion indicated that they outsource at least a portion of the compliance function, with a third (32 percent) retaining the function in-house, and just 17 percent outsourcing it entirely. This compares with 38 percent of respondents from billion-dollar-plus companies who reported outsourcing part of the compliance function; 58 percent who retain it fully in house; and just 4 percent who outsource it entirely.
“Over half of all respondents reported employing two to eight full-time staff in the compliance function,” says Ford. “Only 5 percent of the respondents with in-house compliance departments reported staff reductions over the past two years, whereas 45 percent reported additions.” During the same period, adds Ford, respondents outsourcing the entire function reported increased usage of these services, compared with 44 percent who use a combined in-house/outsourced model.
Understanding target costs
Everyone agrees that global sourcing has become an essential element of enterprise strategies to reduce the cost of acquiring, building, and selling products. Yet, extending supply lines overseas raises complex new commercial and operational challenges. These efforts expose the enterprise to an entirely new universe of investments, costs, partners, liabilities, resource acquisition issues, and management needs.
But a new white paper produced by a leading industry trade services company maintains that the result is often sourcing initiatives that do not deliver projected cost savings and profits. This, say researchers, is because the risks and costs of longer, more complex cross-border supply chains were not properly understood, tracked, and managed.
“Integrated global cost control systems present significant advantages and can be the source of qualitative as well as quantitative differentiation for a global enterprise,” says Greg Kefer, director of corporate marketing for GT Nexus.
One major opportunity area includes improving target costing. Accurately understanding target costs—the expected full cost to purchase goods from an overseas supplier and get them to market—is the key to profits says Kefer. Dynamically tracking actual costs against previously set targets quickly uncovers targets that are unrealistic or inaccurate.
Early visibility into the delta between targets and actuals allows shippers to quickly adjust targets and modify plans for downstream product pricing and marketing campaigns. By reducing the lag in discovering unrealistic targets from months to weeks or even days, companies can save millions in lost margins.
According to researchers, this can be achieved by implementing a global platform that automates and centrally manages global logistics data collection and consolidation. Furthermore, they add, this can substantially reduce cost reporting delays. Researchers also argue that traditional reporting solutions suffer from latency problems and are good only for post-audit or “after the fact” analysis. Furthermore, issues that may be uncovered relate to logistics activity that’s long since been completed—retroactive resolution is not possible.
“With dynamic cost reporting, lead-time for actuals can be cut from days or weeks to hours,” says Kefer. “Supply chain issues are exposed early. Enterprises can take steps to respond quickly and correct problems before excessive costs are incurred.”
As globally sourced goods are manufactured and then start their journey to market, says Kefer, the enterprise incurs liabilities for payment for goods and services. With actual global cost tracking, financial managers can literally “watch the meter build” as sourcing and supply chain milestone activities are executed and costs are incurred. This intelligence can be used to better assess obligations, as well as to calculate current and future cash flow needs.
An integrated global cost control system also supports key financial management processes that underpin accurate total cost management. These include:
- Cost allocation: Costs can be automatically allocated in the proper proportion to the right shipment, order, product line item or SKU. No “orphan” costs are left out and the resulting global landed cost calculation is accurate.
- Cost audit: Costs can be automatically audited. For example, freight costs can be matched against transportation contracts, duties against item classifications, first costs against commercial invoices or original purchase orders.
- Cost timing: The time in which a certain liability (cost) was incurred can be audited or matched against a corresponding event in the physical supply chain. For example, transfer of title to goods (and resulting payment) can be associated with or triggered by related events in the physical supply chain, such as forwarder cargo receipt, vessel on-board or vessel arrival.
The Stanford Model emerges
Now that the global economy seems to be edging up from the crisis mode, will shippers start spending more on software as a service (SaaS) technology to solve more of their global logistics and trade compliance challenges? A new GTM study jointly conducted by TradeBeam and Stanford University suggests that that may indeed be the case.
“This report demonstrates that companies can gain substantially by automating their global supply chains, probably much more than they have estimated to date,” says Warren Hausman, professor of operations management in the Department of Management Science & Engineering at Stanford University. “By creating a new process model attuned to global trade, we hope to help companies make improvements that will let them thrive in the global economy not just with short-term gains, but over the long term as well.”
Experts from TradeBeam, a player in SaaS GTM technology, teamed with Hausman and Hau Lee of Stanford’s Graduate School of Business on the research project. The report, How Enterprises and their Trading Partners Gain from Global Trade Automation: A New Process Model for the China-U.S. Trade Lane, provides estimates in key benefit categories based on input from supply chain practitioners from the U.S. and China.
“To improve the level of understanding of GTM, and to help companies estimate and work to realize efficiency gains through skills, process, and technology investments, we’ve used these results to develop a new, detailed process model for global trade that we label the Stanford Trade Process Model, or STPM,” Lee says.
Based on more than a year of research, the results demonstrate that companies stand to gain dramatically by implementing global trade best practices and accompanying automation, enabling improvement in profitability from 10 percent to 40 percent or more, as well as delivering significant improvements in other benefit categories, such as cycle times.
In building the model, the Stanford professors defined the scope of pre-export steps needed to initiate the global trade process, including import screening, negotiation of price, contract and payment terms, creation of purchase/sales orders, and export screening.
So what are shippers doing to master these tricks these days? According to Lee, organizations have begun to address improvement in their global trade operations in a systematic manner. “The model contains sufficient detail on cross-border trade processes to allow users to estimate the benefits of IT-enabled GTM at the individual process level for over 100 separate process steps.”
As an example, Lee notes that the final steps would include international ocean or air transport of the goods, generation, and submission of import documents, and import customs clearance. And all that must be achieved while still paying attention to post-import Customs clearance and payment.
It’s a daunting prospect, certainly, but if there is one area of agreement among academics, industry analysts, and multinational shippers, it is about the ultimate GTM impact. While failure to adhere to the many rules and regulations governing imports and exports could have dire consequences, the upside to all of this is that transparency is leading to greater efficiency and more global opportunities for U.S. shippers.
About the Author

Executive Editor
Patrick Burnson is executive editor for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review magazines and web sites. Patrick is a widely-published writer and editor who has spent most of his career covering international trade, global logistics, and supply chain management. He lives and works in San Francisco, providing readers with a Pacific Rim perspective on industry trends and forecasts. You can reach him directly at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Recent Entries
GAO calls for aggressive action to remedy financial condition of the USPS
April 01, 2010
WASHINGTON—Following a July 2009 report in which the Government Accountability Office (GAO) added the United States Postal Service (USPS) to its “High-Risk List” of federal areas in need of transformation, a March GAO report cited the need for the USPS to consider various restructuring steps to stem its significant revenue and volume declines that it has incurred in recent years.
The GAO report noted how USPS mail volume has declined by 35 billion pieces—or 17 percent—from fiscal years 2007 to 2009, losing $12 billion during that span. It also mentioned how the USPS does not expect total mail volume to return to its previous level when the economy recovers, forecasting that total mail volume will decline to 167 billion pieces in fiscal year 2010—its lowest level since fiscal year 1992 and 22 percent off its fiscal year 2006 peak.
A reason for these declines is due to a shift from traditional mail delivery to electronic communication alternatives, including e-mailing business documents and online purchase ordering.
The GAO stated how the USPS expects to borrow $3 billion in fiscal year 2010, which would bring its total outstanding debt to $13.2 billion. And by fiscal year 2020, the USPS is projecting that total mail volume will further decline by 16 percent to its lowest level since 1986.
“Action is urgently needed in multiple areas by USPS and Congress to address USPS’ pressing challenges so that it can achieve financial viability, including restructuring USPS operations, networks, and workforce to reflect changes in mail volume, revenue, and use of mail,” said the GAO in the latest report. “The longer it takes for USPS and Congress to address USPS’ challenges, the more difficult they will be to overcome.”
The USPS is fully aware of its myriad challenges, and on March 2 released a report that addressed key areas that would make it a more financially viable entity, including:
- restructuring retiree health benefits for as many as 800,000 retirees, even though it only has an active work force of 596,000 career employees. Left uncorrected, that bill will reach $4 billion next year;
- adjusting delivery days to better reflect current mail volumes. This likely would mean the end of Saturday home delivery, although most of its 32,741 post offices would remain open that day; and
- establishing a more flexible work force to respond to changing demand patterns. More than 300,000 of its 596,000 career employees are expected to retire in the coming decade.
“The USPS finds itself on a course that is not sustainable,” said Louis J. Guiliano, chairman of its board of governors. “These challenges can be overcome, but overcoming them will be an enormous undertaking.”
The USPS maintains that cutting Saturday delivery would provide an annual savings of about $3 billion, whereas the Postal Regulatory Commission in 2008 estimated it would result in roughly $1.9 billion in savings.
Cutting weekly delivery days from six to five raised several questions by the GAO, including how it would impact the USPS’ efforts to grow mail volume and encourage commercial mailers to continue using the mail; as well as how it would affect mail processing costs, salary, and benefits for mail processing employees and carriers.
USPS Deputy Postmaster General and Chief Operating Officer Patrick Donahoe explained that the USPS has seen a 23 percent decline in mail volume since the end of 2006, which has forced it to “look very seriously” at this measure. He added that a slowly improving economy may help temper falling volumes somewhat, but at the same time the USPS is not forecasting a substantial volume uptick.
About the Author
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Separate paths, same result
April 01, 2010
A single logistics provider worked out just fine for American Woodmark Corp. for a while—until it suddenly didn’t. Reliance on a solitary 3PL, even one with global credentials, became a problem when it could not keep growing with this dynamic building materials supplier as it widened its footprint and deepened the complexity of its North American operations.
Today, American Woodmark, the largest independent manufacturer of kitchen and bath cabinets in he United States, uses a mix of 4PLs to service their distribution requirements. This arrangement, which provides outsourcing of its logistics operations to two or more specialist firms, uses another specialist firm (the fourth party) to coordinate the activities of the third parties. This web of providers offers home delivery service for their retail customers, jobsite delivery for their builder customers, and retail delivery for their network of independent distributors nationwide.
American Woodmark, which operates 11 manufacturing facilities and nine service centers across the country, has leveraged the “Theory of Situational Leadership” to strengthen the relationship with their key 4PLs. Developed by Ken Blanchard and Paul Hersey, two well-known business theorists, the theory presumes that different leadership styles are better in different situations.
For ATM giant Diebold, the strategic thrust was placed on a search for a lone logistics provider capable of keeping pace with its international scale and ever changing demands. Here too, a strategic model shared by its partner was crucial.
In Diebold’s case, “Smart Business 200”—an internal initiative aimed at driving millions in costs out of the organization—was embraced by its 4PL to assist in transforming Diebold’s global distribution infrastructure and practices. Today, the partnership is providing integrated solutions in self-service and security technology for financial institutions, government agencies, commercial enterprises, and retail outlets.
While taking two distinctly different paths, both Diebold and American Woodmark have developed critical strategies for ensuring that performance expectations in the supply chain are met and that new visibility has been realized.
Woodmark’s quest
According to Mike Feighery, American Woodmark’s director of supply chain services, the company’s major challenge when he was hired in 2006 was to continue to grow its business without the benefit of one true branded, big-box home delivery network in the United States.
“Many household goods manufacturers—be it cabinets, windows, appliances, televisions, spas, generators, fencing, and millwork—have an unmet need for a nationwide network,” he says. “We were all looking for something similar to a UPS or FedEx, but capable of handling heavier freight and providing inside delivery and product placement at a competitive cost.”
The search for such a singular solution was not without frustration, explains Feighery. Before he came aboard, there was a lot of trial and error even when some of the early picks were taken from a deep talent pool. “There are some large players in the country,” he says, “but most of them have strung together networks of company-owned and agent-based facilities, with varying levels of influence over the local operations.”
Feighery adds that many also come from the household goods moving industry and have expanded to include high value product delivery with “white glove” services, but at a price point that’s not commensurate with Woodmark’s product.
Feighery says that they cycled through a number of 4PLs, piecing together solutions for the various regions of the United States and discovered that they were outstripping their previous distribution network’s capacity. American Woodmark then made a tactical change, spending three years in a “reactionary mode” just trying to provide a quality delivery experience for their customers.
“We had a lot of turnover in 4PLs as we assessed their capabilities and better understood our needs,” he adds. “At the very core we were looking for companies that could meet the central tenants of our program—the ability to receive our product that was directly shipped from our assembly plants in full-truckload quantities and then staged in their (4PL) facility. Then they were to schedule a delivery appointment to the customer, meet that commitment, and maintain piece count integrity throughout the process with minimal damage.”
A tall order, Feighery admits, especially considering that the 4PL would also have to help American Woodmark with its service commitment to their retail customers and provide, at minimum, one-day-a-week home delivery service to every market.
“The delivery agent could not hold product to build density for the more remote markets,” he explains. “What we found was that all of the 4PLs sold the services we needed, but at the end, few had the infrastructure—people, systems, and processes—to maintain the degree of consistency and reliability we required.”
Woodmark’s solution
That’s when Feighery’s team put together their “Carrier Development Model” based on the Theory of Situational Leadership. The theory presumes that different leadership styles are better in different situations, and that leaders must be flexible enough to adapt their style to a specific situation.
“The team identified the key attributes needed for the 4PL, and ultimately American Woodmark, to succeed,” he says. “Further, they identified demonstrable behaviors they needed to see in order to recognize the 4PLs graduation through the development continuum, allowing them to scale their resources accordingly.
As a consequence, Feighery began to plot the 4PL’s development level in three key categories including field operations, quality, and corporate relations every six months. He also asked the 4PL to plot where they felt they were in the process. Then, they sat down together to discuss how their perceptions matched and differed.
According to Feighery, Woodmark also asked the 4PL to challenge them if they are not demonstrating the proper leadership style given their development level. “This has provided a wonderfully constructive tool to facilitate discussions and grow our mutual capabilities,” he adds.
As a consequence, each of American Woodmark’s three 4PLs handle specified geographic regions of the country, and they all execute the program very well, says Feighery. “In fact,” he adds, “we now have the most flexible, consistent, and reliable delivery network in the history of our company—and I would contend in our industry.”
He admits that the housing recession has been tough on many building material suppliers, but at the same time he adds that investment in all aspects of American Woodmark’s future operations is critical in order to fully participate in the recovery.
Diebold’s single-player partnership
Diebold is no less enthusiastic over its decision to go with one mega 4PL rather than the several 3PLs it had been using for its international operations. Four years ago, when it incorporated the initial phase of its “Smart Business 200,” an initiative aimed at driving millions in costs out of the organization, it defined supply chain optimization as a key component of that effort. According to Chris Kushmaul, the company’s director of global logistics, the initiative was untested, but promising.
“We were looking for a holistic solution,” recalls Kushmaul. “This was especially important to us as we began penetrating more emerging markets in Latin America and elsewhere in the world. We wanted to manage what we could measure, irrespective of cross-cultural challenges.”
According to Kushmaul this “change management” was done by leveraging a strategic partnership with Menlo Worldwide Logistics. At the heart of this approach has been a focus on supply chain visibility, not only to material at motion and at rest, but also visibility into costs and metrics that track supply chain performance at multiple levels.
Another key element, says Kushmaul, is a philosophy based on “balanced scorecards” that measure service provider partners against cost thresholds and minimum service levels or performance expectations. “This has been a critical tool for ensuring that performance expectations in the supply chain are met as well as for early identification and resolution of failure points,” he says. “Information has played a key supporting role, and has been most effective in providing visibility and insight into performance metrics.”
However, Kushmaul’s view of information technology is that it’s only as good as the process it supports. Technology, no matter how cutting edge it may be, is not compensation for weak or ineffective processes, or the people managing those processes, he says. Kushmaul also had his colleagues adapt and use “lean tools” such as value stream mapping to highlight opportunities for improvement and model how the supply chain would operate with different changes in place.
“The process stressed both collaboration and accountability, with team members continuously challenging the conventional wisdom and clearly demonstrating the value of new ideas to multiple stakeholders,” he says.
According to Kushmaul, value stream mapping has also allowed him to present key third-party providers with the full picture of Diebold’s materials flow and hone their roles within that system.
Kushmaul says that a recent trip to Russia also confirmed his decision to use a single 4PL with a track record dealing with multiple nations in the supply chain.
“I was attending a logistics conference and studying how other companies were sourcing and shipping raw parts with countries like China and India. In those countries, it’s very important to use local people for the day-to-day management and transactions.”
These companies were doing a lot of the same things Diebold was doing with its 4PL in terms of measuring objectives with a critical focus on service levels, observes Kushmaul. He also notes that a page on reverse logistics can be taken out of the same book. “Reverse logistics is definitely an area we plan to attack more aggressively in the future,” he says. “Other manufacturing industries understand how much efficiency can still be squeezed out of returns.”
Benefits to Diebold
Diebold’s close collaboration with its 4PL began with a focus on simple value creation that evolved into supply chain innovation and, over time, actual business transformation.
According to Kushmaul, the advanced processes utilized by the Diebold/4PL team have driven changes not only in the way the company moves materials but in the way it operates as an organization—from sales and order management to final customer delivery.
“Savings, control, leverage, and speed—these are the key benefits of Diebold’s adoption of the lean 4PL model,” says Kushmaul. He adds that the company is measurably driving down costs through the dynamic optimization of all modes of transportation, continued application of value stream mapping, global sourcing, and real logistics engineering.
Benefits from these innovations include a more than 50 percent reduction in distribution infrastructure and low double-digit reduction in annual supply chain spend while lowering lead times and improving delivery to its customers.
From a performance perspective, Kushmaul adds, Diebold has increased visibility of inventory both at rest and in motion, and established real-time metrics for operations and supplier compliance. Using Web-based tools, it has gained greater control over material and product flow.
“The company has mitigated risk by working with an established 4PL and employing regular communications as standard operating procedures,” he says.
“All of these results are being realized more quickly, as well. In fact, lead times have been reduced by nearly 25 percent due to reduced process variability and logistics engineering.”
About the Author

Executive Editor
Patrick Burnson is executive editor for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review magazines and web sites. Patrick is a widely-published writer and editor who has spent most of his career covering international trade, global logistics, and supply chain management. He lives and works in San Francisco, providing readers with a Pacific Rim perspective on industry trends and forecasts. You can reach him directly at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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·Reprints
May 18, 2010
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·Advertising
May 18, 2010
Delivering the Broad Logistics Market
Logistics Management Magazine: Logistics Management will deliver your message to the largest number of logistics professionals in the industry. LM reaches 2-3X more audited buying influencers of logistics services, technology, and equipment than any other industry publication..
Logistics Online: LM’s online subscribers now total more than 60,000. Between our print and online audiences, we reach a total unduplicated number of 102,000 logistics professionals!
Other Opportunities:
Webcasts: Logistics Management offers single and multi-sponsored webcast opportunities. Both provide a full marketing campaign to promote the event and maximize registration
Virtual Tradeshows: Logistics Management is partnering with Supply Chain Management Review to produce three new conferences in 2010. You can sponsor a webcast, virtual booth, or both. Sponsors receive leads from webcasts and booth attendees. Sponsors’ logos appear on all web and print promotions.
White Paper Program: The White Paper section of logisticsmgmt.com offers vendors and service providers a vehicle for directing customers to your whitepapers, video, or educational product information—resulting in prominent exposure to qualified prospects. LM will send a dedicated email promotion featuring your white paper or case study to more than 44,000 logistics executives. Additionally, we’ll provide a customized registration page to capture all contact and buying-intent information and provide you with a thorough lead report
Research Briefs: LM’s Custom Market Research Briefs are a turn-key solution that offers a unique opportunity to provide market intelligence and qualified leads.
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·RSS News Feeds
May 18, 2010
Instead of visiting your favorite sites everyday and trying to find the new content, subscribing to the site’s RSS feed allows the new content to be sent straight to you!
Finding an RSS Reader
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For a more detailed look at RSS, check out the Wikipedia entry.
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·About Us
May 18, 2010
Established in 1962, Logistics Management magazine is published monthly. Special reports, like the Logistics Outlook in January and the Buyers Guide in December, are provided on an annual basis.
Logistics Management reaches the largest number of logistics professionals in the industry. Additionally, no other industry publication reaches nearly as many audited buying influencers of logistics services, technology, and equipment.
For more information about Logistics Management, please contact:
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·Contact Us
May 18, 2010
Peerless Media, LLC a Division of EH Publishing, Inc. is proud to be new owners of the magazine and websites named above and look forward to serving your information and resource needs of the future. Thank you for your patience during the transition and upcoming website launch.
We are very excited about helping promote growth in the industry for years to come.
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May 18, 2010
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·Ocean cargo/global logistics: “Clean Truck Program” gains traction with East Coast seaports
May 18, 2010
In a move to replicate programs gaining traction on the West Coast, The Coalition for Responsible Transporation (CRT) and Environmental Defense Fund (EDF) announced a joint “Clean Trucks Initiative” earlier this week.
“This collaborative effort is a critical first step toward addressing air pollutants released from heavy duty diesel trucks, traditionally one of the largest sources of pollution at ports,” said EDF toxologist, Dr. Elena Craft.
The groups made the announcement before the South Atlantic and Caribbean Ports Association and highlighted opportunities for other ports and their customers to form similar partnerships.
The “Clean Trucks Initiative” builds a partnership between the retail industry and trucking and port communities to solve a critical environmental challenge: air quality in and around ports. The framework includes guidelines for engaging stakeholders, creating an action plan as well as implementation strategies.
It was not immediately clear, however, whether the new program will model itself after the one at the Port of Long Beach, where drivers are permitted to be independent owner-operators, or whether it will resemble the plan at the Port of Los Angeles, where Teamster-only drivers are part of the mandate. In any case, it appears to have shipper support.
“Since we use these ports every day, it is essential to retailers like Lowe’s that successful clean truck programs are enacted at our nation’s ports,” said Steve Palmer, Vice President of Transportation for Lowe’s, which is a CRT member. “This initiative has our full support. It aligns with Lowe’s ongoing efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the transportation sector. This initiative allows retailers to make cleaner and more efficient transportation choices.”
The CRT/EDF Clean Trucks Initiative is a framework designed to facilitate a working partnership with individual ports across the country in a manner that recognizes their individual needs and the needs of their stakeholders. The framework also recognizes the critical need to partner with the trucking community to ensure that clean truck programs are economically sustainable for the thousands of drivers who service our nation’s ports by providing them with public and private sources of financial support to retire older, higher-polluting trucks.
Key features of the CRT/EDF Clean Trucks Initiative include:
engaging with port communities and stakeholders to identify opportunities to partner together to reduce diesel pollution from port drayage activities;
-conducting an emissions inventory from port-related activities to assess opportunities for air quality improvement;
-developing a collaborative and stakeholder-driven process to set goals for air quality improvement from port drayage activities;
-creating an action plan for meeting those air quality goals that recognizes the unique needs of individual ports and ensures that drivers have the financial support they need to retire, high-polluting trucks; and
-implementing air quality action plans through the collaborative efforts of ports and their customers.
As reported in LM, other “clean truck programs” have been endorsed by a wide variety of industry stakeholders. At issue, however, is whether a free enterprise environment for drayage operators will be able to remain part of the solution.
About the Author

Executive Editor
Patrick Burnson is executive editor for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review magazines and web sites. Patrick is a widely-published writer and editor who has spent most of his career covering international trade, global logistics, and supply chain management. He lives and works in San Francisco, providing readers with a Pacific Rim perspective on industry trends and forecasts. You can reach him directly at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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This Week in Logistics: Back on schedule
May 18, 2010
You may have already heard that Peerless Media, LLC has completed the acquisition of Logistics Management from Reed Elsevier.
What does that mean for loyal readers of this newsletter? Simply put, it means that the most trusted brand in the logistics market will continue to serve you through the pages of our magazine, timely email newsletters like TWIM, and 24/7 coverage on the web.
We’re also proud to announce that those trusted reporters and writers who have been bringing you the most valued editorial content in the market won’t be missing a beat. Not only are we bringing the same editorial and contributing editor teams along with us, but we’ll also be publishing our May issue as planned.
For you, our reader, the transition will be seamless.
You’ll be getting the same in-depth reporting, same peer-based case studies, same market-defining research projects, same innovative online webcasts and conferences, and the same overall editorial excellence you’ve come to expect from Logistics Management.
We’re looking forward to serving this market and helping our readers expand their knowledge of the materials handling market for many years to come.
—Michael Levans, Group Editorial Director, Logistics Management
About the Author

Group Editorial Director
Michael Levans is Group Editorial Director of Peerless Media’s Supply Chain Group of publications and websites including Logistics Management, Supply Chain Management Review, Modern Materials Handling, and Material Handling Product News. He’s a 23-year publishing veteran who started out at the Pittsburgh Press as a business reporter and has spent the last 17 years in the business-to-business press. He’s been covering the logistics and supply chain markets for the past seven years. You can reach him at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
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DOT unveils plan to expand America’s marine highways
May 19, 2010
WASHINGTON—Long overlooked as a viable alternative to over-the-road transportation, United States Department of Transportation (DOT) Secretary Ray LaHood last month announced the inception of “America’s Marine Highway” program, an effort to shift freight to waterways from congested U.S. highways.
As part of this initiative, the Department of Transportation’s Maritime Administration (MARAD) will help to identify rivers and coastal routes that could carry cargo efficiently, bypassing congested roads around busy ports and reducing greenhouse gases, according to DOT officials.
This announcement follows $58 million in grants for projects supporting the start-up or expansion of Marine Highway services, which were awarded through the DOT’s TIGER grants program. Congress also has allocated $7 million in grants that MARAD will award later this year.
The concept for a national Marine Highway program was conceived from a 2007 law that required the Secretary of Transportation to establish a shortsea transportation program and designate short-sea transportation projects to mitigate surface transportation, the DOT said.
Under “America’s Marine Highway” program, regional transportation officials will be able to apply to have specific transportation corridors and individual projects designated by the DOT as a marine highway, provided they meet certain criteria. And once projects are designated, the DOT said that they will receive preferential treatment for any future federal assistance from the DOT or MARAD.
In his comments at the North American Marine Highways and Logistics Conference in Baltimore, LaHood said that “for far too long we’ve overlooked the economic and environmental benefits that our waterways and domestic seaports offer as a means of moving freight in this country. Moving goods on the water has many advantages: It reduces air pollution. It can help reduce gridlock by getting trucks off our busy surface corridors.”
Several experts in the short sea shipping sector lauded the news regarding the new marine highway program.
Short-sea continued
“This is a landmark transportation policy statement in my opinion that will finally put the full force and support of the U.S. Government behind this important initiative,” said Mark Yonge, managing member of Fort Lauderdale, Fla.-based Maritime Transport & Logistics Advisors LLC, and vice-chair of the Coastwide Coalition.
“With this announcement, America’s marine highways are now acknowledged as an integral part of the country’s intermodal system,” Yonge said. He also pointed out that this should be very comforting to all logistics providers and shippers now that the economy is getting back on track and transportation demand is once again growing.
“Although the new funding commitments may seem small, the fact that marine highways are now an important part of our transportation system will, hopefully, open the minds of the financial markets, shippers, 3PL’s, the trucking industry, and others to accept marine highways in that light,” added Yonge.
Wayne McCormick, owner and webmaster for AmericasMarineHighways.com, an advocacy site for the marine highway program, said that this effort will help mitigate congestion at a lot of different trucking choke points throughout the country and reduce pollution levels as well.
McCormick also pointed out that even though there is only $7 million currently available in MARAD grants, he said it is a “down payment” on the future of the program. He added that the initiative will develop future generations of operators to come forward and really start to develop it on a larger scale.
Former MARAD Administrator and current Secretary of Transportation for Virginia Sean Connaughton told LM in a 2007 interview that marine highways could be successful in moving primarily ocean-going containers out of ports and around bottlenecks to deliver cargo containers closer to their destination port.
“The focus is on where we can potentially take ocean containers that come off the largest deep draft vessels and then deposit them near an Interstate where they can be picked up by trucks and taken to their final destination,” said Connaughton. “This can also help with truck driver staffing levels and help reduce fuel expenses, because a barge can hold several hundred containers at a time.”
About the Author

Group News Editor
Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff joined the Supply Chain Group in 2005 and leads online and print news operations for these publications. In 2009, Jeff led Logistics Management to the Silver Medal of Folio’s Eddie Awards in the Best B2B Transportation/Travel Website category. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. If you want to contact Jeff with a news tip or idea, please send an e-mail to .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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·FMCSA delays new truck driver-rating system
May 19, 2010
WASHINGTON—The federal government’s proposed Comprehensive Safety Analysis of how it rates trucking companies and drivers is being delayed, much to the relief of the trucking industry, which recently pointed out many flaws in the new rating system.
Dubbed CSA 2010, the new program is now going to be rolled out in phases, starting Nov. 1 and continuing into next year—so the program will effectively become CSA 2011. According to Lana Batts, partner at Transport Capital Partners: “Anytime you name a project after a year you’re setting yourself up to fail. The Department of Transportation has never met a deadline yet, which makes you wonder why they did it.”
Shippers should be concerned about the new safety-rating program for one major reason: It could raise their trucking rates. That’s because the program potentially could reduce the available driver pool by as much as 7 percent, thus reducing truck capacity at a time when the economic recovery is expected to stress the already reduced over-the-road capacity of many fleets.
“As capacity tightens and if 6 percent to 7 percent of current drivers will be ineligible under a new rating system, that will simultaneously affect capacity and rates,” Batts said. The Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) decided to delay implementation of the new system after alarm bells were rung by the trucking industry over fairness concerns.
“We’re encouraged because this gives FMCSA a little more time so there won’t be any unforeseen problems with the rollout of this program,” said Clayton Boyce, a spokesman for the American Trucking Associations (ATA). The program now starts Nov. 1. At some point in 2011, driver scores will be available to all trucking companies in their hiring and screening process.
However, ATA specifically cited three problems:
1. When CSA reports crashes and figures out its scores, it does not take into account who is actually at fault in the crash. A trucker who is rear-ended is scored the same as the trucker who actually causes the crash.
2. The way CSA figures risk exposure is based on comparing safety records by the number of trucks a fleet operates. A more accurate rating would be based on the number of miles driven, ATA said.
3. Warnings are treated no differently than actual violations. The ATA would prefer warnings and warning tickets that not be counted in the safety rating process.
CSA is based on a system that uses more than 2,200 different variables in accidents. FMCSA tried to weigh those variables to devise a system to rate fleets and drivers. But critics have commented that because the FMCSA accident sample size was small, having a flapping tarp on a flatbed was weighted more heavily than running a stop sign.
“It’s one thing to discus the theoretical of an accident,” Batts said. “It’s something entirely different when you get actual scores from those ratings.”
The upside of the delay is twofold: DOT can fix some of these issues that have beean raised. And it gives the trucking fleets time to understand the new system and how it can affect their capacity and ability to hire competent drivers.
“Clearly there are a lot of guys who haven’t a clue right now,” Batts said.
Results from a recent Transport Capital Partners’ (TCP) survey of truckload carriers showed only half of the carriers were ready for CSA 2010. TCP, a leading firm in transportation mergers and acquisitions, uses the quarterly survey to collect the insights and opinions of executives nationwide in order to report on the current state of the truckload industry and future expectations.
TCP’s survey showed that only half the carriers had reviewed their SafeStat numbers to understand what FMCSA will be reviewing. About one third had already made changes in their safety programs based on these reviews, according to Richard Mikes, a managing partner for TCP.
“Larger carriers appeared to be further along in preparing for changes than smaller carriers, and delaying the implementation of the new regulations will address some carrier concerns and allow time for better understanding and preparation,” said Batts.
The survey found that 41 percent of respondents expect to change the way they monitor sub-performing driving and 29 percent have already changed hiring standards.
CSA 2010 is intended to reduce accidents, injuries, and fatalities. Annual truck inspections and preventative maintenance records will be required along with historical documentation. The idea is that less-than-compliant fleets will be exposed, and their trucks sidelined. Those with poor numbers will be more greatly exposed to truck fleet compliance and roadside inspections, the government said.
One big change coming is that a truck driver’s driving records will now stay with that driver as he moves through different companies. Previously, when a hiring carrier went to check out an applicant, the carrier never got to see what that driver did on the road. Now those records stay with that driver for three years.
“That’s a good thing,” Batts said. “The driver can’t just change jobs and start with a clean slate. It not only affects his job, but it affects his career. If he’s sitting there with 200 points on his or her license, nobody will hire that driver.”
The new rating system potentially could reduce the available legal pool of drivers by 6 percent to 7 percent, according to trucking industry sources.
Drew Anderson is director of sales for Vigillo LLC, Portland, Ore., a technology company that manages data and presents it in an easy-to-digest formula for fleets. It has signed up 1,200 fleets and has analyzed how the new system might impact trucking capacity.
Out of the 500,000 drivers from 1,200 fleets Vigillo has analyzed, Anderson said there are 6 percent of drivers with a rating “score” higher than 90, which would likely make them ineligible under the new safety rating system.
About the Author

Contributing Editor
John D. Schulz has been a transportation journalist for more than 20 years, specializing in the trucking industry. He is known to own the fattest Rolodex in the business, and is on a first-name basis with scores of top-level trucking executives who are able to give shippers their latest insights on the industry on a regular basis. This wise Washington owl has performed and produced at some of the highest levels of journalism in his 40-year career, mostly as a Washington newsman.
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·Has the time come for a U.S. Infrastructure Bank?
May 19, 2010
WASHINGTON—A former Transportation Secretary and several top transportation policy leaders are backing the idea of a U.S. infrastructure bank to help increase funding of badly needed highway and bridge projects.
“The needs are great, and getting greater, and more funding is not coming,” said Norman Mineta, who served as Transportation Secretary in the first Bush administration and is currently vice chairman of global communications consultancy for Hill & Knowlton, a public relations firm.
Can the United States create an infrastructure bank? There are hurdles, Mineta said, but they are not insurmountable. Chief among them is how to financially “score” such projects so they are fiscally responsible and paid for without increasing the national debt.
According to Mineta, Congress must maintain the primary role in funding. Transferring large amounts of discretionary funding from Congress to another entity has “very little chance of approval,” he said, adding that while he was transportation secretary he “would have loved to have access to a large amount of discretionary funding, but Congress would never go for it.”
Instead, Congress must work with private funding sources, which are increasingly being seen as an answer to U.S. infrastructure funding needs. “I believe we can create a national infrastructure bank if its primary purpose is to leverage private investment into projects that are critical to our national infrastructure,” Mineta added.
He favors creating a separate entity, with a board that sets lending policy, but lets the decisions on which projects gets funding to experts. It should not be a profit-making venture, he said. “The bank should not be seen as a ‘Trannie Mae,’” Mineta said, referring to the scandal-ridden Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which required billions in bailout money to help rescue the federally backed home loan sector.
Still, a U.S. transportation infrastructure bank “has the potential to play a powerful role to meet the unmet transportation needs while providing new jobs and economic stimulus,” he said.
Infrastructure banks are commonplace in other countries, especially in Europe where they are supported by dedicated funding sources. They make low-interest loans directly to localities for infrastructure projects. Supporters say they eliminate time and red tape from the funding process.
Their appeal may be catching on in this country. Already, some in Congress are calling for their creation. Infrastructure banks could also be used to expand telecommunications, broadband capacity, wastewater distribution facilities, and improving other U.S. projects’ needs. In fact, President Barack Obama’s proposed 2011 budget includes $4 billion to create a national infrastructure bank to provide a source of funding for infrastructure needs. This comes at a time when many experts are saying that the U.S. must start thinking outside the box of traditional funding.
“This is something holding up a major surface transportation bill,” Mineta said. “We can’t have these two-month, three-month, or five-month extensions. The critical factor in moving that surface transportation bill forward is how is it going to be funded.”
Robert Poole, director of transportation policy at the Los Angeles-based Reason Foundation, a libertarian-leaning think tank, said the nation suffers from both insufficient and poorly targeted infrastructure investments. “Multi-state projects are particularly hard to fund under the current system,” Poole said. “Large, billion-dollar, multi-state, multi-modal projects would be particularly attractive to funding through infrastructure bank funding.”
But Poole is opposed to using general U.S. funds for transport projects. Rather, he said, they should be funded by user funds, not federal grants. All projects should be merit-based, which could be difficult in a town where all 538 members of Congress are used to bringing home some bacon to their districts and states. “There may be a niche market role for a narrow transportation-only infrastructure bank,” Poole said. “But a broader infrastructure bank may be too ambitious to try and achieve a multi-modal, grant-and-loan-based bank, which I think might fail,” he added.
Bryan Grote, co-founder of Mercator Advisors, a financial advisory firm that works with sponsors of infrastructure projects, said the bank’s appeal would be to more effectively utilize revenue into commercially viable projects.
“Designing the bank would be difficult, but implementing it would be a major challenge,” Grote said. “It probably can be a useful step. But it’s important that it be given the expertise and backing to ensure this entity is doing a better job in providing assistance in a better way. The primary problem is a lack of revenue, not a lack of access to capital markets.”
Michael Lind, policy director of economic growth programs for the New America Foundation, said the idea of an infrastructure bank is not new. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce recently unearthed a document from 1983 calling for such an idea for alleviating congestion at West Coast ports and Midwestern railroad hubs. Those bottlenecks remain today.
“If there are a relatively small number of mega-projects that everybody agrees need to be built, why not just do it?” Lind asked. “Wouldn’t it make sense to do that as a grant, and the American people are taxed to pay for it?”
About the Author

Contributing Editor
John D. Schulz has been a transportation journalist for more than 20 years, specializing in the trucking industry. He is known to own the fattest Rolodex in the business, and is on a first-name basis with scores of top-level trucking executives who are able to give shippers their latest insights on the industry on a regular basis. This wise Washington owl has performed and produced at some of the highest levels of journalism in his 40-year career, mostly as a Washington newsman.
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Transportation in the fuel-challenged century
May 19, 2010
Business prospects are improving. However, companies are still under terrific pressure to hold down costs. Many have done an admirable job, but continue to be daunted by one of our time’s most-vexing cost-management challenges: wildly fluctuating oil prices.
The problem, of course, is that most supply chains were designed in an era of lower and relatively stable fuel prices. Global sourcing and manufacturing decisions traded off longer transport distances for cheaper labor. Inventories were kept lean, with materials shipped in smaller batches via faster but more fossil-fuel-intensive modes. Distribution models emphasized consolidation, with fewer facilities and longer transport distances. Each of these supply chain strategies depended on—and assumed—reasonably priced fuel.
Unfortunately, “reasonably priced” (or even “predictably priced”) oil is unlikely to be part of the global economy’s future. For one thing, world oil production could peak by 2011 and oil prices will almost certainly rise in response. Several decades later, our planet could run out of practically-accessible oil. Great stores will remain, but prices will have to rise just to cover the cost of extraction. Then there is the issue of sustainability: Green requirements are prone to increase the cost and complexity of using carbon-based fuels.
Transportation, of course, is the supply chain function most directly affected by fuel-related issues; so here is a look at what transportation-related shifts might help shippers avert problems and seize opportunities associated with short-term price volatility and long-term price escalation. Then, in the June issue, we’ll examine what actions might be advisable for other supply chain functions: network design; planning and forecasting; sourcing and procurement; and distribution and warehousing.
Tackling transportation
Responding effectively to the challenge of perpetually pricy petrol, shippers may need to revisit and potentially revamp their transportation strategies. Virtually every aspect—from asset ownership to carrier relationships to customer service—belongs on the table, with priorities that most likely include:
Lower-cost modes: To one extent or another, shippers may need to move from fuel-intensive modes (e.g., road and air) to slower but more economical choices, such as rail and water. Better planning, timing, inter-company collaboration, and even philosophical changes may be needed to accommodate slower modes of transportation.
A tighter focus on utilization: Most companies should consider re-examining their operating models and transportation paradigms. Some may conclude that realigning customer/store-service contracts is needed—pushing, for example, for more factory-direct shipments, larger inventory minimums, or wider delivery windows that let the shipper hold freight until a truck is full. Two or more organizations might also work together to consolidate shipments to low-density areas.
Smarter ways to buy: Companies could determine that maximizing volume with one carrier is not the best policy in an era of runaway fuel prices. Instead, an entity might use an elite carrier when on-time delivery is key, and a low-cost carrier when delivery timing or accuracy are less important.
Thinking differently about transportation assets: Oil price cataclysms could make many private fleets less justifiable—replaced by commodity transportation providers or third-party logistics services providers that can minimize costs by running full truckloads, minimizing one-ways, and amortizing investments over a larger asset base.
Leveraging transportation technology
Worldwide fuel woes enhance the desirability of advanced transportation technology. Take GPS telematics—enabling companies to track vehicle locations in real time. The principal benefit is that by optimizing dispatching and routing capabilities, total miles traveled can be reduced.
Telematics also makes it possible to remotely monitor speed, breaking, gear-shifting, idle time, and out-of-route miles, all of which can result in greater fuel economy. Research shows that telematics can reduce fuel consumption by up to 14 percent while paring vehicle-maintenance costs by roughly the same amount.
Allowing carriers to understand and electronically view shipper needs could be a similar priority. With higher visibility, carriers may be able to submit pricing offers based on capacity guarantees from shippers. And guaranteeing capacity is one way for shippers to reduce costs, since it allows carriers to effectively plan routes and maximize equipment utilization and staffing, while limiting the amount of empty miles.
Non-IT innovations should also become more desirable. Good examples include wide-base tires and automatic tire-inflation systems, which minimize roll resistance and aerodynamic drag. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency believes that using wide-base tires on a long-haul truck can save more than 400 gallons of fuel per year. Low-viscosity lubricants can create similar benefits. Advances in tractor-trailer aerodynamics also affect fuel consumption.
Moving ahead
There is never a bad time for companies to review, and seek to optimize, their supply chains. But with fuel prices so worrisome, reassessing transportation is doubly important. Next month we’ll explore fuel-savvy strategies for other supply chain processes.
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Article Topics
Columns · Pearson on Excellence · Inventory · Procurement · Distribution · Production ·Tackling transportation
May 19, 2010
Responding effectively to the challenge of perpetually pricy petrol, shippers may need to revisit and potentially revamp their transportation strategies. Virtually every aspect—from asset ownership to carrier relationships to customer service—belongs on the table, with priorities that most likely include:
Lower-cost modes: To one extent or another, shippers may need to move from fuel-intensive modes (e.g., road and air) to slower but more economical choices, such as rail and water. Better planning, timing, inter-company collaboration, and even philosophical changes may be needed to accommodate slower modes of transportation.
A tighter focus on utilization: Most companies should consider re-examining their operating models and transportation paradigms. Some may conclude that realigning customer/store-service contracts is needed—pushing, for example, for more factory-direct shipments, larger inventory minimums, or wider delivery windows that let the shipper hold freight until a truck is full. Two or more organizations might also work together to consolidate shipments to low-density areas.
Smarter ways to buy: Companies could determine that maximizing volume with one carrier is not the best policy in an era of runaway fuel prices. Instead, an entity might use an elite carrier when on-time delivery is key, and a low-cost carrier when delivery timing or accuracy are less important.
Thinking differently about transportation assets: Oil price cataclysms could make many private fleets less justifiable—replaced by commodity transportation providers or third-party logistics services providers that can
Subscribe to Logistics Management magazine
Subscribe today. It's FREE!
Get timely insider information that you can use to better manage yourentire logistics operation. Start your FREE subscription today!
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2010 Technology Roundtable: Achieving Perfect Pitch
Adrian Gonzalez, analyst and director of Logistics Viewpoints at ARC Advisory Group; Greg Aimi, research director at AMR Research; Dwight Klappich, analyst and research vice president at Gartner; and Jim Morton, senior manager of the supply chain practice at Capgemini.
May 19, 2010
When we announced the results our 2010 Software Users Survey last month, we knew that we weren’t about to send any seismic shockwaves through the market. In fact, I’m sure the results didn’t surprise anyone.
Our 346 respondents told us that their spending was down or flat across most supply chain software categories over the course of 2009, while their purchase expectations for 2010 are lower than they were last year. They also validated our findings from our 2009 survey that more and more shippers are slowly but surely turning to Software as a Service (SaaS) in lieu of purchase-and-install.
And this is coming from a pretty progressive bunch. In fact, 88 percent of our 2010 respondents are currently using supply chain software, while 75 percent say they plan to buy or upgrade this year—this is up from 73 percent and 64 percent, respectfully, in 2009.
ON-DEMAND WEBCAST Available Now!

Join five top technology analysts as they discuss the latest developments in transportation management systems (TMS), warehouse management systems (WMS), and labor management systems (LMS) - Learn about:
- TMS: Key to the new economy?
- WMS: Is SaaS the answer?
- What is supply chain execution convergence?
- Closing the IT capability gap
But while this savvy bunch is busy upgrading and tweaking their existing technology strategies, our panel of four top technology analysts tell us that even this group may not be putting their existing technologies to their fullest use—or even using the proper platform or vendor mix that makes the most sense for their operations.
Over the next few pages, our panel will explain the latest developments in transportation management systems (TMS) and warehouse management systems (WMS), and then help shippers understand the growing need for supply chain organizations to do a better job of orchestrating and synchronizing processes and activities across warehousing, transportation, and manufacturing.
To achieve this perfect harmony, we’ve turned to Adrian Gonzalez, analyst and director of Logistics Viewpoints at ARC Advisory Group; Greg Aimi, research director at AMR Research; Dwight Klappich, analyst and research vice president at Gartner; and Jim Morton, senior manager of the supply chain practice at Capgemini. Here’s what they had to say.
Logistics Management: Our 2010 Software User Survey indicates that TMS adoption hovers at 36 percent. With everything we’ve written and discussed in webcasts around its advantages, why does this number remain so low?
Adrian Gonzalez: The low adoption of TMS is surprising. The short answer is that despite all of the known benefits of implementing a TMS, many companies simply wait until they reach a breaking point to take action. In many cases, the breaking point is the decision between hiring a lot more people to scale their transportation management operations and investing in a TMS.
LM: Yet the TMS market continues to grow, correct?
Gonzalez: Before the financial crisis hit in late 2008, the TMS market was growing about 7 percent per year. The market was negatively affected in 2009, as was much of the software industry, although it fared better than most other software segments. The TMS market showed signs of recovery in late 2009.We expect this recovery to continue and strengthen in 2010 and beyond as companies continue to prioritize IT investments that can deliver cost reductions and productivity improvements quickly, which TMS solutions, especially SaaS offerings, are capable of producing.
LM: Are you finding that there’s greater TMS adoption in the larger organizations (say $1 billion to $5 billion in sales) than the smaller organizations (say $5 million to $10 million in sales)?
Gonzalez: The early adopters of TMS, which represent the largest share of the market, are Tier 1 companies—those with over $1 billion in annual sales. However, the mid-market companies—with revenues between $250 million and $1 billion—represent the fastest growing segment of the TMS market. In general, scale and complexity of transportation operations are the biggest differences between large and small companies.
But there are small companies that have global and complex transportation requirements, while some large companies have relatively simple transportation networks. In other words, when it comes to implementing a TMS, it’s not a company’s annual revenues that matters the most, but the scale and complexity of their transportation operations.
LM: We predicted early on that the SaaS model would go a long way in closing the gap in TMS implementation. From your perspective, what level of impact has SaaS made on the TMS market so far?
Gonzalez: SaaS has had a very large impact on the TMS market. Based on the results of our annual market study, vendor revenues from subscription and transactions fees have been growing in double digits, while license revenues have remained flat or have shrunk.
Therefore, it’s not surprising that more than 85 percent of the TMS vendors we surveyed last year ranked subscription and transaction fees as the fastest growing revenue segment over the next five years—up from 56 percent of the vendors in our 2008 survey. Simply put, SaaS is an attractive deployment and pricing option for many companies, both large and small. Overall, SaaS has opened the door for smaller shippers to implement a TMS—they just have to walk through it.
LM: In our January issue we went as far as saying that “TMS is the key to the new economy.” Does your research match up with our bold proclamation?
Gonzalez: Absolutely. When you look at everything that will or could affect transportation management in the years ahead—infrastructure constraints, high fuel prices, carbon emissions regulations, capacity constraints—it’s clear that companies have to innovate the way they manage their transportation operations. Technology is what enables process innovation and TMS will be a critical component, along with other technologies, such as GPS, cellular networks, sensors, mobile devices, business intelligence and analytics, as well as social media.
LM: We’re just now hearing about a few providers who are taking the SaaS route with WMS. Why has there been a lag time on the WMS side in terms of development and adoption?
Greg Aimi: WMS systems have been very customized historically. The idea of a WMS that could run more than one warehouse let alone more than one company’s warehouses is only a few years old. In the beginning, the one-WMS-per-warehouse was driven by the need for customization and technological connectivity shortcomings.
Companies couldn’t risk not being able to ship because of connectivity to some corporate database or server. Also the idea of having RF data being sent over a network was unfathomable. This led to a WMS-per-building approach that has eventually been replaced by the centralized multi-warehouse single WMS once LAN/WAN networks became more reliable and less expensive to run and the base software functionality became more mature.
LM: So, how does SaaS differ from the centralized approach?
Aimi: Centralized WMS is “hosted” by the corporate IT department for the entire corporation or a division today; but this WMS is owned and implemented especially for that company and operates behind the company’s firewall. The idea of a software vendor being able to arrange and offer to host the WMS for a company is easily adapted from this prior internal model. But, that’s not really what people mean when they say SaaS.
Of course, the SaaS model is also associated with a financial model that is expense-based and built on some type of usage model like transactional volume or subscription fees.
LM: What are some of the biggest benefits of SaaS WMS?
Aimi: If you think about how I just described a typical SaaS application, SaaS WMS should be no different. That is, the system is already installed, running, and available over a standard Internet connection. It simply needs to have master data loaded and to be configured to support the customer’s specific warehousing processes—so speed to value or faster implementations should certainly be one of the values.
Of course, the vendor also takes on the continuous IT management of the system, leaving only the integration to back office business systems to be managed by the customer’s IT team. Usually annual maintenance fees provide the customer with regular upgrades and releases that need to be installed when using a deployed WMS.
LM: What are some of the biggest drawbacks of going the SaaS route with WMS?
Aimi: Well, just look at the vendors that are offering pure-play SaaS WMS offerings. They’re all relative startups. Quite frankly, I think the organization that’s considering SaaS WMS today better have only the most basic of basic warehousing requirements (receiving, putaway, pick, pack, and ship) if they think these new systems are going to support their business.
Software maturity is not unlike having a baby—you can’t rush a natural process. The price is going to be very attractive when put beside the other traditional alternatives, but the buyer must be careful that they match their requirements to real capabilities that are truly available in the software.
LM: Is there an ideal company size that’s a perfect fit for a SaaS WMS?
Aimi: I think alignment with SaaS WMS has very little to do with company size and more to do with inventory characteristics and internal processes that a particular facility requires. The relative newness of these offerings means that they can only support a set of basic capabilities; but I’ve seen some of the largest companies in the world have a set of warehouses that have pretty basic requirements but still want to automate those facilities.
One very large company I worked with had over 100 parts depots across North America whereby they wanted to be able to know, at all times, what inventory they had on hand, where it was, and fulfill simple orders in an accurate manner when needed. That scenario was perfect for one of the SaaS WMS offerings.
LM: What are the key questions that warehouse/DC managers have to consider before jumping in?
Aimi: There are several, and they’re critical: How special or complex are my warehousing and fulfillment requirements? Do I think they stretch beyond basic capabilities? Am I sure that I know all the process flows that are necessary in my warehouse so that I can compare them with the capabilities of the few SaaS offerings available? Would I be better off getting one of the traditional warehouse systems but arranging to have it hosted and get a subscription pricing agreement from the vendor? Once you have these answered you should have a better idea of what direction you’re going to go.
What is supply chain execution convergence?
LM: In a recent paper you took a closer look inside the concept of “supply chain execution convergence.” Can you briefly define the basics behind this approach?
Dwight Klappich: Most supply chain organizations continue with functional silos—warehousing, transportation, manufacturing—with minimal, if any, process integration and synchronization between execution application silos. Leading-edge supply chain management (SCM) organizations are beginning to break down application boundaries in order to drive greater levels of value.
These organizations are pursuing a new model that we’re calling “supply chain execution (SCE) convergence.” SCE convergence refers to the growing need for supply chain organizations to do a better job orchestrating and synchronizing processes, subprocesses, and activities across warehousing, transportation, and manufacturing functional domains.
More precisely, leading-edge supply chain organizations want to support end-to-end processes, such as end-to-end fulfillment, where a process spans traditional functional and application boundaries, and activities can be orchestrated without regard for functional domains or application silos.
LM: What benefits can supply chain organizations realize from this approach?
Klappich: While process orchestration and optimization within functional silos has delivered value in many cases, the next wave of value will require cross-silo process integration, namely the ability to orchestrate an end-to-end process such as order-to-cash.
Remember, SCE convergence is not a process improvement strategy. It’s far more a process transformation strategy where leading edge organizations look for revolutionary not evolutionary process improvements.
LM: What is the first step for organizations that want to move toward convergence?
Klappich: SCM organizations have been able to use their current SCE portfolios to achieve some process improvements, normally targeting and removing things like excess inventory or poor productivity. However, to take it to the next level will require organizations to coordinate and synchronize end-to-end processes like selling, buying or making, which again will require that SCE capabilities “converge” across or between traditional SCE functional silos.
LM: How would an organization go through this process of filling the gaps and laying out a new plan?
Klappich: Supply chain organizations with pre-existing SCE portfolios can start with analytical convergence, possibly looking at layering a BI application across their existing applications that aggregates information and presents it in an end-to-end view of their supply chain. While this will provide some near-term value, SCM organizations should also consider SCE convergence as they define their longer-term SCM application strategies.
LM: What would a successful operation look like/act like once it’s gone through an execution convergence transformation?
Klappich: While an order is being taken, the system could reach into transportation to pre-route the shipment, determining the best mode of transit. The various options could be priced, and the results could be presented back to the customer service person who can then ask the customer if they would be willing to add a day or two to the delivery lead time to significantly lower the freight cost. Simultaneously, the resources and constraints in the warehouse could be assessed to determine if the order could be shipped on time.
LM: Over the past two years we’ve spoken with shippers who have decided to turn a portion of their IT needs over to 3PLs. How do you see this trending?
Jim Morton: The technologies that are outsourced to 3PLs typically align with the logistics services that are being outsourced. Based on our research, spend for outsourcing as a percentage of total logistics expenditures has remained relatively stable over the past few years, so there is not a wholesale trend to outsource more IT needs to 3PLs.
However, there is some evidence that shippers will increase outsourcing of specific IT capabilities, including hosting of EDI platforms and messaging services, to their 3PL partners. In general, there is also a significant focus on reducing the total cost of ownership for information technology. This is evident from the continued interest in IT outsourcing and in low-cost delivery models such as SaaS.
LM: What are some of the key reasons why a shipper may give up some of this responsibility to a 3PL?
Morton: IT systems require a significant capital investment plus on-going operating costs related to maintenance. The right decision for some companies is to leverage the 3PL’s investment in applications and systems infrastructure. Interestingly, we’re even seeing some evidence of 3PLs offering their IT platforms on a subscription basis, as a part of their service contract.
The same principle holds whether the assets are a distribution center or supply chain technology.
Depending on the companies involved, the 3PL may have better supply chain applications and a more robust systems infrastructure than the shipper. The 3PL’s systems may be better integrated than those of the shipper, resulting in improved efficiency, data integrity, and visibility.
LM: According to your research, what IT capabilities are shippers most likely to outsource to a 3PL?
Morton: Shippers most frequently outsource IT capabilities relating to transportation management, warehouse management, and to a lesser extent, global trade management. These are technologies associated with more commoditized service offerings. IT associated with more strategic or customer-facing activities such as customer order management, supply chain planning, and network optimization is outsourced less extensively. In spite of these overall trends, many shippers are expressing an interest in a more strategic relationship with their 3PLs, which requires additional IT enabled services.
LM: How does a shipper determine what IT capabilities to outsource to a 3PL and what to retain?
Morton: It’s clear that the data provided by IT systems is the lifeblood of supply chain planning and execution processes. Given this importance, there are many factors a company should carefully consider when deciding which IT systems to outsource to a 3PL. These decisions should be an integral part of the 3PL selection process. Of course, the shipper needs to compare the functionality of 3PL systems versus the systems they already have or would plan to implement internally.
In addition, the shipper should assess the following: Are supply chain processes best served with the application managed internally or by the 3PL? Which applications should be outsourced together to maintain a tighter level of integration? Are 3PL systems sufficiently configurable to address both current and future business needs? Lastly, the outsourcing decision must align with the enterprise IT strategy. It’s important for a company’s supply chain management team to work closely with IT leadership to make the right decision.
LM: What are some of the issues that shippers tend to have when relying on a 3PL for IT?
Morton: To be fair, the 3PL industry has matured significantly with regards to information technology. With that said there are still some issues that shippers continue to experience with 3PL IT capabilities. Many 3PL providers have a complex IT environment, operating a variety of legacy applications, which may run on mainframes or mid-range systems.
In part, this is the result of acquisitions, but it creates a tangled web of system interconnections that are hard to maintain, inflexible, and do not promote an accurate real-time view of supply chain data. As a consequence, shippers report a lack of integration among internal 3PL applications as a top issue. This issue leads to other problems that shippers sometimes experience with 3PL IT, including insufficient shipment, order, and inventory visibility—data that’s not available in a timely fashion. Aside from the issues related to outsourcing IT, the same technology hurdles can make it difficult for 3PLs to correctly invoice and to create adequate performance reports for core logistics services.
LM: In your recent outsourcing report you mention that there remains a gap between shipper expectations versus satisfaction with 3PL IT capabilities. How can the two parties work to close this gap?
Morton: The main culprit is often the 3PL’s IT environment, with multiple legacy applications running on dated systems or integrated with a patchwork of point-to-point connections. 3PLs spend significant amounts on IT, but much of that spend is directed towards maintenance instead of transforming the applications and technologies used for supply chain planning and execution.
However, shippers also bear some responsibility for this gap. 3PLs are often challenged by a shipper’s inability to provide real-time interfaces to order management systems, timely demand forecasts, or real-time inventory status. Potentially, the best, long-term means to bridge this gap is adoption of a flexible, standardized, cross-industry platform. This approach would leverage existing 3PL IT applications within a service-oriented architecture (SOA) so that functions are made available through a set of software services.
About the Author

Group Editorial Director
Michael Levans is Group Editorial Director of Peerless Media’s Supply Chain Group of publications and websites including Logistics Management, Supply Chain Management Review, Modern Materials Handling, and Material Handling Product News. He’s a 23-year publishing veteran who started out at the Pittsburgh Press as a business reporter and has spent the last 17 years in the business-to-business press. He’s been covering the logistics and supply chain markets for the past seven years. You can reach him at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
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Logistics and Supply Chain Management Software · TMS · WMS · Transportation Management · Transportation ·Air cargo forecast: Will a Phoenix Rise Above the Ash?
May 19, 2010
Air cargo rates were already on the upswing, particularly for export shipments out of Asia, when ash from the still-erupting Iceland volcano Eyjafjallajokull drifted southward, creating a no fly zone across northern Europe.
The first to feel the impact were just-in-time manufacturers who had been replenishing inventories run down during the recession since the beginning of the year. Amid an escalating backlog of freight spreading across the continent’s three key cargo hubs—Frankfurt, Paris Charles de Gaulle, and Amsterdam Schiphol—shippers were questioning if this Act of God was a sign to wait before rushing to conclusions about a recovery.
Now that the waiting is over, new questions remain. In late April the International Air Transport Association (IATA) stated from Geneva that the global airfreight upturn has largely been driven by the business inventory cycle. At the same time, however, IATA told shippers that they should expect this part of the cycle to wear out in the second half of this year when inventories reach normal levels.
From that point, said IATA, shippers can count on slower growth as airfreight will be driven by consumer spending and world trade growth.
“While the numbers are improving, the year has started with two disappointments,” says Giovanni Bisignani, IATA’s director general and CEO. “The first is in Europe. We anticipate Europe to post U.S. $2.2 billion in losses this year—the highest among the regions. The volcano episode only makes matters worse. Weak European and freight demand is in line with our forecast. It is also disappointing to see labor at European airlines engaging in strikes when the fragile industry needs to focus on improving efficiency and reducing costs.”
The second, according to Bisignani, is the failure to address ownership issues in second-stage talks on open skies between the EU and the U.S. “Last April’s agreement was not a step backwards,” he says. “The gains from the stage-one talks have not been lost. But the two sides missed an opportunity at this critical time to give airlines the much needed normal commercial freedom to access global capital markets without the limitations of outdated foreign ownership restrictions embedded in the current bilateral system.”
Finally, banking failures in Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain may also deliver a blow to a robust air cargo comeback here, say trade analysts. Future months will test the resilience of EU solidarity and faith in a shared commercial destiny.
Asian-Pacific perspective
On the other side of the world, however, airline association executives are seeing a different picture. According to Andrew Herdman, director general of the Association of Asia Pacific Airlines in Singapore, the global economic recovery has been led by the dynamic Asian economies, while the pickup in trade has been more broadly based.
“Both imports and exports are showing strong gains,” Herdman says. “This suggests strongly that the underlying health of both the developed and developing economies is improving, even though unemployment levels remain high in many developed economies.” He agrees with Bisignani, though, that inventory restocking will account for some of the recent increases in shipment volumes, the underlying trends in demand are also generally positive. This echoes the findings of the International Monetary Fund, which is forecasting global economic growth of 3 percent to 4 percent in 2010.
“Evidence has been accumulating that the global economy is recovering from the 2008-2009 downturn,” says Herdman. “Most notably, there has been a sharp rebound in international trade, which accelerated in the fourth quarter of 2009 and has been maintained in the first quarter of 2010. Air cargo shipments as well as marine container shipping traffic trends indicate a V-shaped recovery.”
At the same time, current volumes are already getting back towards the record levels achieved before the onset of the global recession.
Brandan Fried, president of the Air Forwarders Association in Washington, D.C., says that the Asia-Pacific will continue to dominate the global airfreight market as it accounts for more than 60 percent of the increase in the international arena over the past few months. This will not only result in increased passenger-belly demand, but will also put pressure on freighter capacity going forward, he adds.
“I look at two major indicators in determining the state of the air cargo industry,” says Fried. “First, a review of consumer spending provides a snapshot of future air freight demand. For example, recent statistics indicate that consumer spending is actually increasing despite rising interest rates and high unemployment. This consumer demand resulted in a 45 percent jump in Japan’s exports last month along with substantial export increases in most of Asia.”
As a result, says Fried, space on ocean vessels destined to the U.S. and Europe is now selling at a premium and airfreight is surging as well. While optimistic about the recovery, Fried says many of his constituents continue to question its sustainability and hope this increased activity is an actual growth indicator versus a simple restocking of shelves.
Modal shift?
Which raises another question: With ocean carriers raising rates this year, will shippers consider moving more freight by air once the volcanic dust has settled? Not necessarily, says Herdman.
“The choice of shipping mode reflects various fundamental factors,” he notes, “including the intrinsic value of the cargo, inventory carrying costs as a function of real interest rates, relative levels of cargo security, and the predictability of consumer demand.”
Herdman observes that certain types of goods, particularly high value, time-sensitive, or perishable items, are regularly shipped by airfreight. Ocean shipping may carry as much as 100 times more tonnage than air cargo, but goods shipped by air account for 35 percent by value of international trade.
“Head to head competition between the two modes is rather limited,” he says. “Some airfreight shipments are the result of unexpectedly high demand for certain types of goods. Therefore, in an economic downturn, air freight is the first to be cut, suffering quicker and sharper falls.”
Conversely, Herdman says, in an unanticipated economic upturn, air cargo demand can show a sharp rebound as businesses respond to reduced inventories and unexpected sales demand. “Economic forecasting is an inexact science,” he adds. “The logistics providers are the shock absorbers in the system, and demonstrate their value in being able to respond quickly to changing market conditions.”
Fried, too, acknowledges that airfreight cost is considerably higher than its ocean counterpart, but its speed and efficiency delivers distinct value in getting products to market quickly and feeding just-in time production lines. “Rate differences are but a small component in what goes into the airfreight decision as its value can return far greater results than its cost,” he says. “As ocean rates increase, the cost disparity between modes lessens, and in many cases makes air freight a more viable economic alternative. This will result in more goods moving by air despite their initial intention to move by ocean.”
And there’s a measure of consensus among air cargo executives that there will be sufficient capacity to meet anticipated demand in most parts of the world. During the downturn, says Herdman, airlines temporarily reduced capacity by parking surplus aircraft and reducing utilization of the fleet. Given the relatively sharp falls in air cargo demand, the number of parked freighters increased markedly during the period.
“However, since the fourth quarter of 2009 we have seen airlines restoring capacity in response to the upturn in demand,” he says. “Most Asian airlines had also taken care to preserve the workforce, even though hard decisions had to be made to reduce staff costs through reductions in pay, the loss of performance bonuses, and the introduction of unpaid leave schemes.”
Having learned from previous industry downturns, Herdman adds, the industry has performed well in quickly responding to the recent upturn. Furthermore, airlines have maintained their order books for new aircraft—albeit with some slowing of deliveries—in order to ensure that the industry is well positioned to take advantage of further growth opportunities in the years ahead.
“Prospects for future growth remain extremely positive, particularly here in the Asia Pacific region,” Herdman adds.
Friedman of the Air Forwarders Association agrees that for U.S. shippers, finding cargo space will not be an issue in 2010. Many carriers have parked aircraft in the desert during the economic downturn waiting for conditions to improve. “Most airlines have learned to make aircraft deployment decisions based on sustained upward trends and not temporary surges,” says Friedman. “We may see capacity constraints during the initial phases as carriers assess the viability of the recovery. In the long term however, airlines will be there to meet anticipated demand.”
About the Author

Executive Editor
Patrick Burnson is executive editor for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review magazines and web sites. Patrick is a widely-published writer and editor who has spent most of his career covering international trade, global logistics, and supply chain management. He lives and works in San Francisco, providing readers with a Pacific Rim perspective on industry trends and forecasts. You can reach him directly at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Recent Entries
Global Supply Chains: The Regional Dynamic
May 19, 2010
The need to compete effectively on cost is driving many firms in developed countries to source materials, products, components, and services from developing countries with low cost structures. Since developing countries view this as a driver of economic growth, they often compete vigorously to become suppliers to affluent economies.
In the past decade, the sourcing success stories have been in Eastern Europe and Asia, but major buyers are now seeking alternative sources to reduce their vulnerability to supply disruptions and cost increases. Indicative of this development, Chinese toy manufacturers have experienced strikes and quality problems while local protests forced Tata to relocate a factory in India. The likely evolution of regional capabilities is now part of the global strategy equation.
We recently interviewed lead buyers, suppliers, and intermediary firms operating globally to understand their expectations of sourcing geography over the medium and long term. Specifically, we collected data from buying firms based in the United States, Scandinavia, and United Kingdom; an intermediary company based in Scandinavia; and suppliers based in Estonia and Kenya.
All manufacturer and intermediary personnel had direct responsibility for choosing and working with partners in transitional, newly industrialized, and developing countries. These countries included Poland, Estonia, Romania, Mexico, China, and Kenya. Our research participants also offered their thoughts on other developing economies based on their past experiences in those economies.
We found that both buyers and suppliers perceived differences in both customer orientation and sourcing potential among firms in Africa, Eastern/Central Europe, and Asia/China.
Three different sourcing roles
It appears that the three regional areas will play fundamentally different roles in the global economy and sourcing over the long term. Eastern and Central Europe will be integrated into Europe and may become the postponement platform for the rest of Europe, especially for manufacturers who want continuing control of their intellectual property. Southeast Asia, China, and India will become economically more independent; buyers within the region will be a primary long-term factor in Asian development and will work to support both export-driven and regional supply networks. Sourcing from Africa will gradually increase, focused on the consumer goods industry and low-value and commodity product networks such as primary commodities (petroleum, minerals, etc). We are already seeing sourcing shift as China and India aspire to higher value manufacturing and wages increase in these key markets.
As for Eastern Europe, it appears that its initial success in leveraging low cost, skilled labor to attract European manufacturers is not sustainable. In fact, some Eastern European countries are already considered higher cost than alternative Asian locations. Instead, Eastern Europe locations may be assigned the duty of quick response to short lead-time customer orders. Warehousing of subassemblies and configure-to-order capabilities may be left in Eastern Europe, but high volume sourcing and manufacturing will likely be transferred to Asia. Conversely, it is unlikely that African suppliers (except South Africa) can aspire to produce high value or highly engineered items in the near future.
The drivers of continuing reconfiguration and shifting patterns in sourcing across different regions include the following:
- Unit costs are lower in Asia and will remain lower because of demographics. The limited labor pool in Eastern European countries is relatively well-educated and will be looking for opportunities in knowledge-intensive activities, rather than production jobs. On the other hand, the large rural populations in China, India, and other Asian countries remain very interested in manufacturing jobs.
- Asian countries represent a large potential market. The Scandinavian and American brand-owning companies were expanding in Asia to supply their sister plants in the region as well as to support demand outside of Asia. Some of these manufacturers are setting up separate Chinese operations, one for domestic Chinese markets and the other for export items. As East Asian economies grow, demand for sophisticated products will also grow. India’s markets are also reaching critical mass and will require local manufacturing capacity.
- Final assembly of components for manufactured products, or at least final configuration, is likely to remain in Eastern Europe for European markets. Some manufacturers continue to make their most advanced products in the original European factories to preserve expertise and intellectual property. These companies will need a just-in-time source of outsourced subassemblies, and Eastern Europe is a logical location for these staging operations.
Also, the European market is complex. Power sources, languages, and label requirements still vary from country to country. The most efficient way to cope with this complexity is to reserve some percentage of total inventory for final customization for European customers.
- Low-value product supply chains provide the entry points for companies in Africa (except South Africa). With an under-developed infrastructure, a perceived lack of skilled labor, and political instability in some countries, African locations have to prove themselves in low risk areas such as consumer goods.
However, the low labor cost and abundant natural resources of Africa are already attracting interest from both advanced economy firms and others (notably Chinese and Indian companies) who are used to operating in less stable environments. For example, Mauritius has become a key location for making garments in the apparel industry that are sold worldwide.
Intraregional differences abound
Business environments and markets also vary within regions and countries. Thus, there is growing movement to open new operations in western China vs. the coastal cities, especially where labor cost is a major concern. In Eastern Europe the movement is from north to south (e.g., Poland to Romania) and may eventually be from west to east (Poland to the Ukraine, Russia, and Turkey).
In Africa, sourcing geography will depend on such factors as political stability and economic development. For example, Kenya is presently seen as a preferred sourcing location for agricultural products. However, there may be migration to Zimbabwe, Nigeria, and Ivory Coast as the situations in those countries improve. The significant variations from country to country and within countries can be the result of labor differences, material costs and availability, market potential, cultural and religious differences, and levels of corruption. All of these factors were mentioned as criteria for choosing among sourcing locations in developing countries.
As various potential sourcing locations develop, supply chain professionals will need to continuously evaluate when and how to reconfigure supply networks. Global purchasing managers will be expected to act as they gain more intelligence on currently little-known areas such as Africa. Locating and training suppliers in these regions will become part of the supply chain charter. Further, it will be up to supply chain professionals to use research such as ours and others to make optimal use of the resources, human and otherwise, that will become available as the economies of the world continue their progress toward interdependence and development.
Arnold Maltz, Adegoke Oke, Poul Erik Christiansen, and Fred O. Walumbwa contributed to this article.
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Recent Entries
Playing time is essential to developing talent
This is the caption.
May 19, 2010
Today, somewhere in the United States, a logistics manager has just been called into his boss’ office. He’s surprised to learn that the company is giving him a highly-touted young prospect to help him meet the goals that the company has set for his department this year.
Walking back to his desk, the supervisor wonders where he’s going to have this person sit and what he’s going to have this person do.
How will the learning experiences of these two top prospects compare? Will the manager’s learning experience pale in comparison to the prospects? Perhaps a quick comparison of the plan for both will reveal the answer.
Since Baseball is only a sport, let’s start there. http://www.mmh.com A Triple-A player will be expected to develop his skill every day, working together with his teammates to win the game. He will play in the cold, rain, and extreme heat. Defensively, he will play on different size fields, some well maintained some not. He will have to learn how to compensate for the wind, sun, and the curvature of the flight of the ball as it spins coming off the bat of right-handed and left-handed hitters.
Offensively, he will face righties and southpaws. He will see curves, fastballs, change-ups, sliders, and splitters. He will compete directly against rookies, all-stars, and even potential Hall-of-Famers. He needs to understand how humidity and sea level affects the flight of the ball. Muscular development, dexterity, agility, hand and foot speed will need to be coupled with anticipation, judgment, and the skill assessment of the fielders. Patience will need to be coupled with passion to be controlled on and off the field. Above all, the prospect will need to develop and protect his body from career ending injuries.
Now, consider the highly-touted logistics prospect. He graduated from a good business school with a major in logistics and supply chain. His interpersonal skills appear to be good, but he will need to learn the business. More specifically he’ll need to understand business goals, department processes, KRAs, measures, fundamental metrics, qualifying carriers, bidding and rate negotiation, carrier development, tendering freight, along with different plant loading processes and load patterns to minimize damage and maximize cube utilization—and don’t forget those pesky FMCSA and CBP rules.
About the Author
President of John A. Gentle & Associates
John A. Gentle is president of John A. Gentle & Associates, LLC, a logistics consulting firm specializing in contract/relationship management and regulatory compliance for shippers, carriers, brokers, and distribution centers. A recipient of several industry awards, he has more than 35 years of experience in transportation and logistics management. He can be reached at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Recent Entries
State of WMS: Upgrade Time
May 19, 2010
The grandfather of the supply chain software sector, the venerable warehouse management system (WMS), held on to the top spot in its class last year. Logistics Management’s 2010 Software User Survey revealed that these useful systems continued to gain ground in 2009 and will penetrate the market even more this year despite the continuing economic woes being reported by many of its traditional users.
Our survey told us that WMS is being utilized by 53 percent of responding supply chain and logistics managers, while 27 percent report that they plan to upgrade or buy new systems this year. Of those shippers in the shopping mode, 38 percent are currently evaluating vendors, 10 percent are actually in the process of selecting a vendor, and 19 percent are already in the midst of making the purchase.
With WMS standing out as one of the most mature sectors of the supply chain software market, it stands to reason that the top market driver this year is the fundamental need to upgrade an existing system. Other drivers, according to the LM survey, include the need for improved real-time control, inventory deployment, label printing, and labor management.
Greg Aimi, research director with AMR Research in Boston, validates these findings, saying that his firm’s research pinpoints WMS as a stable market, despite the economic downturn. “WMS is in a changeover cycle right now, being that many solutions were put in place in the mid to late 1990s,” says Aimi. “These applications typically have a 10-year to 15-year lifecycle, so we’re at the point where many shippers are looking to upgrade and replace their antiquated solutions.”
Aimi also points to an increased interest in network design—the attempt to figure out optimal inventory placement within the four walls of the warehouse—with driving some of the interest in WMS. Add offshore manufacturing and demand-driven inventory to the mix, says Aimi, and the result is a very different supply chain than the one most shippers were using 15 years ago. “That’s lead a lot of companies to buy a new WMS that can handle those changes,” says Aimi.
The recession has also affected the WMS space, where Aimi is seeing frugal shippers outsourcing their warehouse and distribution activities to third-party logistics providers (3PLs) in an effort to save money and resources. Those 3PLs now need robust WMS capabilities to handle the increased workload; and, in turn, are helping to drive sales in the space. “As companies have downsized and gotten rid of staff, they’re looking more and more at outside parties that specialize in warehouse and distribution,” says Aimi, who has seen numerous 3PLs migrate over from in-house, legacy-built applications to off-the-shelf software packages. “We’re seeing the 3PLs partnering with the WMS vendors to add more software as they take on new clients,” he adds.
Market drivers
Robert Hood, senior manager at supply chain consulting firm Capgemini, says a lot has happened since those initial WMS installations were put into place, and the systems available on today’s market are much more sophisticated than those original solutions. “They’re very alluring for shippers in search of advanced capabilities that their previous solutions didn’t provide,” says Hood.
Like Aimi, Hood says the highest amount of new activity involves 3PLs that are striving to meet their own customers’ specific WMS requirements. To answer the call, many 3PLs are using multiple WMS installations.
The variety is mainly due to the inheritance of client systems, or the purchase of specialized, best-of-breed solutions from vendors like Manhattan or Red Prairie. By choosing these systems over those offered by ERPs, for example, shippers gain expanded software functionality and expertise that larger providers can’t always provide. According to Hood, obsolescence is also playing a role in the WMS sector’s growth. He says that happens when vendors consolidate or close up shop, or when older systems become too expensive to warrant updating. The trend is forcing some shippers to upgrade or purchase new systems, or risk losing both support and capabilities. “In some cases there’s no opportunity to go back to the existing provider,” says Hood, “so companies are forced to take a look at what’s available now and replace what they’ve been using with something new.”
Even with the positive momentum caused by these top WMS drivers, the sector can’t escape the negative impact of the global downturn. Finalizing a WMS market report at press time, Steve Banker, director of supply chain solutions for analyst firm ARC Advisory Group, hinted that revenues for smaller WMS vendors were down by 20 percent so far in 2010 compared to 2009, with larger providers feeling a smaller pinch.
“There are upgrades going on, but there’s still less activity than last year,” says Banker, whose own research reveals that most vendors think the worst of the recession is behind them. “They tell me that the project pipeline is improving, and there are new deals out there.”
Hood expects slow, steady improvement in the overall supply chain software market in 2010, with WMS benefitting from that rising tide. He expects some vendor consolidation to take place, but says most shippers will stick with one of two schools of thought: Go to ERP providers like Oracle or SAP for comprehensive solutions that include WMS, or take the best-of-breed route with companies like Manhattan or Red Prairie.
Expect the best-of-breeds to expand their footprints in the market and offer even more comprehensive supply chain solutions, says Hood, in an effort to go head-to-head with the ERP providers. “The ERPs are becoming one-stop-shops where companies can get it all,” says Hood. “This wasn’t always a problem for the best-of-breeds, but SAP and Oracle have enhanced their capabilities and offer more complexity and depth of functionality that shippers are looking for from their WMS.”
However, the question remains: Are shippers really maximizing the full capabilities of their WMS once the systems are in place, or are they just scratching the surface?
“Like any piece of software, WMS has a lot more functionality than what’s actually being used,” says Banker, who sees the rush to install and implement the systems as a primary driver of that trend. “Companies want the system in on time and on budget, so they simplify things and never come back to see what more their systems can be doing.”
Half Price Books: Kissing manual systems good-bye
One company that’s not rushing into anything is Dallas-based Half Price Books. The company has taken plenty of time to select the right vendor and even push its rollout date back three months to ensure a smoother implementation.
This family-run firm posted growth—sales were up 7 percent in 2009 over 2008—during one of the nation’s worst recessions. And and when it rolls out its new WMS from Manhattan Associates in May, the company says it plans to take full advantage of all of the system’s capabilities. In fact, the discount book retailer—which previously relied on a manual warehousing system—has certainly taken its time with the process, which started with a Request for Proposal sent out to multiple WMS vendors in 2009. “We used a lot of different filters to get it down to three vendor options,” recalls Eric James, the bookseller’s distribution manager.
James says the company’s top criteria included a system that would work on a .NET platform, a vendor that was familiar with retailing, and a robust customer support network. It also had to be scalable and able to manage the warehousing activities for a company that’s nearly doubled in size from to 109 stores, up from 60 in 1990.
Half Price Books has stores in 16 states, with each location carrying a variety of new and used books, music, movies, and games. The company continues to grow, having recently opened new stores in the Chicago area, Omaha, Neb., and Oklahoma City. The firm buys and sells “anything printed or recorded except yesterday’s newspaper,” according to James. “Preserving and recycling resources and entertainment of every form is our business.”
The firm’s new WMS will manage its traditional, fulfillment-type warehouse from a wholesale perspective, says James, while also managing the company’s retail distribution. That distribution network includes unique inventory for each of its locations. James says that the WMS will also handle the “Big Kahuna” of the firm’s supply chain operation, its assortment process. Using that process, Half Price Books purchases tractor-trailer loads of publishers’ returns, sight and condition unseen.
“We have very little invoice or manifest detail for these shipments,” James explains, “but as we process them we need to collect the individual item data and the depth of quantity for all of those items.”
With the help of its WMS, Half Price Books will be able to gain visibility of those shipments, make intelligent distribution decisions, and track the inventory at the item level across the supply chain. “We have no idea what individual SKUs are in those shipments, but we have to be able to collect that data and automate it quickly,” says James. “We’ve never been able to do that before.”
Half Price Books will also be using its WMS to manage a complex processing system based on the individual inventory requirements of each store location, where inventory visibility is critical to purchasing decisions. Also crucial is the handling of publisher returns, damaged merchandise, and other unique items that can quickly choke up an inefficient warehousing system.
James sees the WMS as an ultimate facilitator for Half Price Books’ inventory and fulfillment challenges, and calls it a “building block for other systems to tie into.” He expects proper allocation of inventory, access to inventory data and reports, and improved shipment visibility to be the top benefits provided by the WMS.
“We have a vast inventory, but sometimes we can’t see it,” says James. “Through this automated system we’ll have the hard data we need to be able to make better purchase decisions, allocate inventory, and price items correctly. That will translate into streamlined processes across our entire supply chain.”
About the Author

Contributing Editor
Bridget McCrea is a Contributing Editor for Logistics Management based in Clearwater, Fla. She has covered the transportation and supply chain space since 1996, and has covered all aspects of the industry for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review. She can be reached at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Recent Entries
Space Optimization: Mission Impossible?
May 19, 2010
When it comes to the economy, not much has changed. Many supply chain analysts are calling this the new normal, with warehouses and distribution centers (DCs) routinely operating under tight budgets while still expected to satisfy increasing customer demands. With limited capital dollars, the recurring theme has been to make do with what you have; and what you have is existing space that’s only so wide and so high. So, how do you make the most of it?
Well, it could be worse. You could be experiencing a string of warehouse and DC closings and consolidations that would inevitably push space issues even more into the limelight. “Even in these remaining facilities, management may still not be willing to expand, putting the onus on DC managers to maximize existing space,” reports Bill Elenbark, senior engineer for the supply chain consulting firm Transystems.
Could this be mission impossible? It actually helps if you look at your space from a 3D perspective. “You pay for three dimensions when you buy or lease a building: length, width, and height. The basic premise of the warehouse/DC business is that you need to use all three dimensions,” says Lou Cerny, vice president for Sedlak Management Consultants, a logistics consulting company.
We shared a few space optimization tricks for using all three dimensions in last year’s feature titled “5 ways to find hidden warehouse space.” This month, we continue in that vein, but we’re now going to focus our attention beyond the storage areas to the more critical operating areas: order picking, docks, returns, and value-added services (VAS). These high-traffic areas are notorious for eating up too much footprint while not fully utilizing the height of a facility.
Along with Cerny and Elenbark, we’ve tapped Ed Romaine, a vice president at KardexRemstar, a leading manufacturer of space-saving equipment, and Ken Ruehrdanz, distribution and warehousing market manager for logistics and distribution solutions provider Dematic, to offer even more ways to maximize operating space.
So, if you’re still out of room it’s time to pay attention.
Tom much air, too much dust
Many operations only utilize the first 10 feet of building height leaving “too much air” in the remaining empty space up to the ceiling. “With many buildings having clear heights of 30 feet to 35 feet, that’s a lot of wasted space that has operating costs associated with it—cost to heat, cost to cool, and cost to illuminate,” points out Dematic’s Ruehrdanz.
In addition, look for empty space within pick modules such as case flow racks and shelving as more evidence of underutilized space. It’s not uncommon to see a three-inch carton located in the same shelf opening as a 12-inch carton. “I’ve given many seminars on saving space over the years,” says KardexRemstar’s Romaine, “and I always start out by asking who in the audience has taken a shelf and readjusted it after it was built. I’ve had only one person in 10 years ever raise their hand.”
The presence of too much dust in an otherwise clean facility can also be a telltale sign. Romaine recalls walking through a large DC in New Jersey with rows upon rows of high-value, pick-to-light case flow rack and performing the infamous “white-glove test” on products in prime pick facings. He found many with up to a quarter of an inch of dust.
“Pick-to-light flow rack is meant for highly-active picks,” says Romaine. “Management at this facility had been complaining of not having enough space, but these products hadn’t moved in awhile- maybe even years. They’ve been taking up space and pickers have had to pass by them to find the one item that they really needed, compromising productivity.”
Curing spatial dilemmas
After identifying the symptoms, it’s time to address the possible cures. They range from simple slotting strategies with little or no capital required to the installation of mezzanines and more automated, high-tech pick and storage modules that usher in significant productivity gain, allowing management to realize an attractive return on investment (ROI).
Cure #1: Adopt smart, up-to-date slotting strategies. Although slotting is done primarily to improve order picking efficiency, it’s also known to save space. “Instead of slotting items in 10 shelving sections,” says Cerny, “slot them in denser case flow rack, allowing you to walk much less and still have the inventory back-up behind it.”
Smart slotting involves not just taking into account a product’s movement, but also its cube so that a product’s cubic velocity can be matched and maximized to the space provided by the appropriate pick module. Once in place, remember to continually monitor your slotting strategy. Products may have changed packaging, creating smaller, more efficient shippable cases.
And don’t forget to get creative. For seasonal businesses, instead of creating a dedicated pick lane in case flow rack for each SKU, Elenbark suggests rotating them in seasonally—as was the case of a sporting goods’ retailer’s DC.
“During baseball season, they were not selling any football goods, yet they had all the empty spots for them in the same space; so we recommended switching baseball and football in and out for a more compact footprint.” Not only did the move save space, but it increased pick productivity as workers do not have to travel by all the empty slots.
Cure #2: Where appropriate, use mezzanines. If you have 40 percent of your floor space allocated to receiving and shipping docks, Cerny suggests using mezzanines. “It could be for active or reserved storage, offices, quality control, or VAS processing.”
He warns, however, that you have to make sure you meet with local authorities especially when you’ve got a significant area of mezzanine proposed. “Generally, the rule is not to exceed 33 percent of the footprint of the building, otherwise you’re looking at all sorts of additional fireproofing, quickly making it cost-prohibitive.”
Cure #3: Pay closer attention to your slow and medium movers. Twenty percent of the fast-moving SKUs typically get the most attention—and the fanciest equipment—but you still have to deal with 80 percent of your slow and medium movers.
Romaine recommends using carousels and vertical lift modules (VLMs) for these slow and medium movers to save space. Carousels and VLMs not only save space but improve productivity because instead of a picker going to the product (person-to-goods), a mechanical device brings the product to the picker (goods-to-person).
Limited to eight feet in height, horizontal carousels can be stacked on top of each other with workers stationed on narrow mezzanines at one end of each level to pick or replenish items. Vertical carousels and VLMs utilize the cube of a facility by storing over 60 feet high within a compact footprint.
In VLMs, product is stored in trays and a central extracting device grabs the required tray and delivers it to the pick window for picking. Both carousels and VLMs are typically arranged in “pods” of two or more units so that a worker can be picking from one unit while the next unit is busy indexing or extracting the next product, improving productivity.
Romaine tells the tale of how a luxury goods producer and distributor was able to consolidate their three facilities into one existing facility by using three VLMs. “This company not only saved up to 80 percent of otherwise wasted floor space, but also increased productivity by 40 percent.” He adds that the system was originally calculated for 18 months ROI, “but it came in at 13 months, while contributing significantly to the closing of two warehouses.”
Cure #4: Create space-saving layouts for special processing areas such VAS and returns. According to Elenbark, special processing areas have a tendency to creep in size and spread out over larger areas than are required. It may be high time to take a closer look and consider making space-saving changes. If a lot of pallets are sitting on the floor, consider adding a short section of pallet rack to take advantage of cube. Carousels can be used as buffers to accumulate processed returns before returning them to inventory.
Cure#5: Automate. Ruehrdanz says that if a user’s business objectives can be linked to objectives such as improving product security, optimizing space, and addressing ergonomic issues, then the use of high density devices such as an automated storage and retrieval systems (AS/RS) may be justified. He adds that the business case can often be very compelling, especially when it eliminates the need to build a new facility. “Typical ROI for AS/RS,” he adds,” ranges from 2 years to 4 years.”
Now that you listened…
So, now that you listened when do you start? Our experts were unanimous: “Yesterday.” Our panel agrees that performing spatial analysis on your facility should have already been part of your organization’s continuous improvement programs.
If you’re finding that work too difficult to complete then getting help may not be a bad idea. “Many times we often don’t see the forest for the trees; thus, it helps to get an outsider’s perspective. A week’s analysis can certainly help facilitate the process,” adds Cerny. “Many material handling vendors offer free initial space and density analysis as part of their solutions package. Maybe it’s time to call.
About the Author

Contributing Editor
Maida Napolitano has worked as a Senior Engineer for various consulting companies specializing in supply chain, logistics, and physical distribution since 1990. She’s is the principal author for the following publications: Using Modeling to Solve Warehousing Problems (WERC); Making the Move to Cross Docking (WERC); The Time, Space & Cost Guide to Better Warehouse Design (Distribution Group); and Pick This! A Compendium of Piece-Pick Process Alternatives (WERC). She has worked for clients in the food, health care, retail, chemical, manufacturing and cosmetics industries, primarily in the field of facility layout and planning, simulation, ergonomics, and statistic analysis. She holds BS and MS degrees in Industrial Engineering from the University of the Philippines and the New Jersey Institute of Technology, respectively. She can be reached at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Recent Entries
Playing time is essential to developing talent
May 19, 2010
In early april the New York Yankees sent their top major league prospect down to their Scranton Triple-A ball team to gain critical learning experiences. In the meantime, the Yankees began the task of repeating as World Series Champions much to the dismay of those day-dreaming Red Sox fans like my wife and the editorial director of this esteemed magazine.
Today, somewhere in the United States, a logistics manager has just been called into his boss’ office. He’s surprised to learn that the company is giving him a highly-touted young prospect to help him meet the goals that the company has set for his department this year.
Walking back to his desk, the supervisor wonders where he’s going to have this person sit and what he’s going to have this person do.
How will the learning experiences of these two top prospects compare? Will the manager’s learning experience pale in comparison to the prospects? Perhaps a quick comparison of the plan for both will reveal the answer.
Since Baseball is only a sport, let’s start there. A Triple-A player will be expected to develop his skill every day, working together with his teammates to win the game. He will play in the cold, rain, and extreme heat. Defensively, he will play on different size fields, some well maintained some not. He will have to learn how to compensate for the wind, sun, and the curvature of the flight of the ball as it spins coming off the bat of right-handed and left-handed hitters.
Offensively, he will face righties and southpaws. He will see curves, fastballs, change-ups, sliders, and splitters. He will compete directly against rookies, all-stars, and even potential Hall-of-Famers. He needs to understand how humidity and sea level affects the flight of the ball. Muscular development, dexterity, agility, hand and foot speed will need to be coupled with anticipation, judgment, and the skill assessment of the fielders. Patience will need to be coupled with passion to be controlled on and off the field. Above all, the prospect will need to develop and protect his body from career ending injuries.
Now, consider the highly-touted logistics prospect. He graduated from a good business school with a major in logistics and supply chain. His interpersonal skills appear to be good, but he will need to learn the business. More specifically he’ll need to understand business goals, department processes, KRAs, measures, fundamental metrics, qualifying carriers, bidding and rate negotiation, carrier development, tendering freight, along with different plant loading processes and load patterns to minimize damage and maximize cube utilization—and don’t forget those pesky FMCSA and CBP rules.
The logistics manager thinks long and hard about where he should start the prospect. Maybe he can put him in with the dispatch team and have him learn the basics of tendering and carrier selection. Or perhaps he can even sit with the rate negotiation team on the upcoming bid. The supervisor reasoned that as long as the new guy doesn’t do anything to make us look bad or screw up a big customer’s order, we’ll be okay.
We’re well aware that the Triple-A baseball team will provide a superior training experience. Organized with a different scenario every day, farm teams provide a well thought-out training plan, requiring and relying on all players to use and develop skills every day to win the game. At the end of the season the new player will understand the game, know the rules, get to know the competition, learn the strategy, execute the game plan, and use judgment to manage risk effectively.
If your logistics and transportation training program does not include a structured three- or four-week orientation with the business, plants, carriers, industry, regulations, pending legislation, and planned rotation assignments to different department teams with strong expectation for contribution, then you’ve just struck out and left your new hire stranded on the bench searching the Internet for meaningful work.
About the Author
President of John A. Gentle & Associates
John A. Gentle is president of John A. Gentle & Associates, LLC, a logistics consulting firm specializing in contract/relationship management and regulatory compliance for shippers, carriers, brokers, and distribution centers. A recipient of several industry awards, he has more than 35 years of experience in transportation and logistics management. He can be reached at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Intermodal shipping: IANA reports solid Q1 intermodal volume growth
May 19, 2010
Spurred by increased consumer demand and inventory replenishment, intermodal volume for the first quarter trended positive due in large part to growth on the domestic side, according to the most recent Market Trends report from the Intermodal Association of North America (IANA).
IANA reported that first quarter total intermodal loadings at 3,019,310 were up 8.4 percent year-over-year, topping the fourth and third quarters of 2009, which were down 6.4 percent and 16.4 percent, respectively, year-over-year.
And three of the four major intermodal categories tracked by IANA all saw positive year-over-year growth in the first quarter. Domestic containersat 1,034,036were up 15.7 percent. All domestic equipmentat 1,417,400was up 9.0 percent. IANA noted that in the U.S. all U.S. regions recorded increases in domestic container shipments greater than 10 percent annually.
The only negative indicator for the quarter was trailersat 383,364representing a 5.9 percent decline. Trailer volume has been down 19 of the last 21 quarters.
IANA Vice President of Member Services Tom Malloy told LM that this report is good news on a number of fronts, the most significant one being the 15.7 percent bump in domestic containers compared to the same timeframe a year ago, when they were also up 0.1 percent year-over-year.
Last year for this quarter, domestic containers [at 893,506] hit their highest point, when everything else was off, said Malloy. That is the biggest takeaway of this report.
While many economic indicators are improving and showing signs of growth, Malloy cautioned that first quarter figures are matched against a dismal first quarter of 2009, when the economy was still very sluggish. Whats more, a closer look reveals that total intermodal loadings for the first quarter are 11.1 percent below the roughly 3.4 billion loadings for the first quarter of 2007, which was the best first quarter performance ever, according to IANA.
On the international side, Malloy explained that while there was nearly 8 percent annual growth, actual quarterly performance was somewhat misleading, with January being moderate, February a little bit better. And a very strong March ended up representing the bulk of quarterly growth.
March made the whole quarter look good, but trending-wise things are moving the right way, noted Malloy.
IANAs first quarter data, coupled with strong intermodal growth signs of late from the Association of American Railroads and FTR Associates, supports the anecdotal consensus that it is becoming more popular among shippers, even though straight trucking movements still account for more than 70 percent of all freight transportation activity.
IMC performance: Intermodal Marketing Companies saw percentage gains on an annual basis in the first quarter, with intermodal loadsat 257,332up 12.1 percent, and total loadsat 398,960at 6.7 percent. Highway loadsat 141,628were down 1.8 percent. Intermodal and highway revenue at $578,254,686 and $179,359,127 were up 16.2 percent and 14.1 percent, respectively.
Even though most key IMC metrics were up annually, they were largely down compared to the fourth quarter of 2009. Malloy attributed this to a bit of volume uptick in the fourth quarter, which due to late year growth.
While IMC growth on a sequential basis, the overall outlook looks positive for 2010, according to IANA.
With the first quarter off to a quick start, it looks like intermodal is poised for a strong rebound in 2010, read the Market Trends report. Economic recovery, continued strong service levels, growing domestic container fleets, rising fuel prices and broadening railroad product offerings all are fueling the industrys sharp turnaround from the difficulties of 2009.
About the Author

Group News Editor
Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff joined the Supply Chain Group in 2005 and leads online and print news operations for these publications. In 2009, Jeff led Logistics Management to the Silver Medal of Folio’s Eddie Awards in the Best B2B Transportation/Travel Website category. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. If you want to contact Jeff with a news tip or idea, please send an e-mail to .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Green Logistics: Kerry, Lieberman roll out new energy legislation
May 19, 2010
WASHINGTON, D.C.Senators John Kerry (D-Mass.) and Joseph Lieberman (I-Conn.) introduced their long-awaited legislation, which, they said, will change the nations energy policy from a national weakness into a national strength.
Entitled, The American Power Act, the bill vows to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) by 17 percentcompared to 2005 levelsby 2020 and 83 percent by 2050, matching am objective put forth by the White House last year.
Looking at the bills action items from a supply chain and freight transportation perspective, one of the bills most notable takeaways is a goal to decrease the United States dependence on foreign oil. The Senators want to do this through myriad steps, including investing more than $6 billion per year in transportation infrastructure to increase efficiency and decrease oil consumption, with funding directed to the Highway Trust Fund, nearly $2 billion for state and local projects that reduce oil consumption, and GHG, and nearly $2 billion for TIGER grants.
Also receiving attention are: plans for electric vehicle infrastructure through a pilot program that would serve as a low-emission energy plan focusing on electric drive refueling infrastructure and identifying related needs for electricity providers, vehicle manufacturers, and electricity purchasers; investments in GHG emission reduction programs; and tax credits for natural gas motor vehicles.
Another transportation-specific measure includes a $6 billion annual subsidy allocated for increased efficiency and lowering oil consumption in the transportation sector. And regarding domestic oil production, the legislation would allow coastal states to opt out of drilling up to 75 miles from their shores.
While previous versions of this legislation included language that was viewed as Cap and Trade, which was described as a form of emissions trading used to control pollution by offering economic incentives in order to achieve reductions in emissions pollutants and put limits on emissions from motor vehicles, coal-fired plants, and factories, this bill has a somewhat similar offering but is not described as cap and trade by its authors.
In the American Power Act, there are provisions for emissions trading that would take effect in 2013. Emissions trading would start at $12 and $25 a ton and be geared towards utility companies, with the $12 per ton increasing at 3 percent over inflation annually and the $15 per ton increasing 5 percent over inflation annually. And rather than allowing a patchwork of conflicting state and federal regulations, it lays out one clear set of rules for reducing GHG, Kerry and Lieberman said. They added that states that already have cap and trade programs in place will be compensated for lost revenues due to termination of their programs.
The Senators noted that industrial sources will not enter the emissions trading program until 2016, at which point they will receive allowances to offset direct and indirect compliance costs.
But, as LM has previously reported, cap and tradeor any type of exchanging or trading emissions allowances or permitshas been widely met with heavy opposition in freight transportation and logistics circles. And that sentiment appears to be the same this time around as well.
Officials from the American Trucking Associations (ATA) said that this legislation will require refiners to purchase billions of dollars worth of carbon allowances that correspond to the carbon footprint of the fuels they sell, with refiners passing on costs to consumers in the form of higher fuel pricesor a hidden multi-billion dollar tax.
[This] climate bill clearly imposes a tax on transportation fuels and reallocates revenue from that tax for non-transportation purposes, said Bill Graves, ATA president and CEO. Only a small portion would go to the Highway Trust Fund for much-needed improvements and repairs to our nations highway infrastructure.
Despite the ATAs opposition, there are others that view this bill as step in the right direction.
A noted green logistics expert told LM that rather than taking a one size fits all approach to wean American off of foreign oil, this bill acknowledges the need for a change in strategy.
What I appreciate about the Kerry/Lieberman bill is their acknowledgement of the needs for different needs strategies and innovation by industry (power plants, heavy industry, transportation), said Brittain Ladd, a supply chain consultant and lecturer on green supply chain strategies for a consulting firm. I also like the fact that the bill recognizes America can’t wean itself from foreign oil without first creating alternative methods to powering our plants and vehicles. Providing price stabilization to reduce risks to investors and offering tax incentives to convert trucks and fleets to natural gas is certainly a step in the right direction.
While legislation is now on the table, the chances of it being signed into law are far from certain, due to sharp divides among partisan lines. A Bloomberg report quoted Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid as saying he may set this bill aside for a smaller energy bill that would increase production from renewable energy sources, including solar panels, set new energy efficiency standards, and limit offshore drilling expansion to the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
About the Author

Group News Editor
Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff joined the Supply Chain Group in 2005 and leads online and print news operations for these publications. In 2009, Jeff led Logistics Management to the Silver Medal of Folio’s Eddie Awards in the Best B2B Transportation/Travel Website category. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. If you want to contact Jeff with a news tip or idea, please send an e-mail to .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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Class 8 vehicle production to pick up.
May 19, 2010
Class 8 vehicle production to pick up. Amidst signs of an improving trucking market, recent data from ACT Research Co., a publisher of North American industry data and forecasting services for trucks and commercial vehicles, indicates that Class 8 vehicle production is expected to grow 14 percent year-over-year in 2010 and then hit a 72 percent annual growth rate in 2011. ACT partner and senior analyst Kenny Vieth said that while improving trends in trucking are a key component of improving commercial vehicle demand, the transition to new EPA 2010 engines will impact the timing of new order and production ramp ups. And with production of trucks with pre-mandate engines continuing into the second quarter, ACT now projects that the trough for heavy-duty truck build will occur in the third quarter before picking up in the fourth quarter of 2010.
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Is TNT selling its mail business?
May 19, 2010
Various media reports are indicating that TNT, a Netherlands-based provider of mail and courier services and the fourth-largest global parcel operator, is considering spinning off its mail business. While there is nothing concrete on what the next steps would be, a Financial Times report quoted TNT CEO Peter Bakker as saying the spin-off could be completed this year, but he declined to comment on how long TNT would take to make a definitive decision on the fate of the business. Bakker also stated that talks on partnerships with rival postal companies have yet to start. While talk of a potential TNT sale has surfaced every so often over the years, J.P. Morgan analyst Tom Wadewitz added that caution needs to be exercised about reading this event as a certainty. However, he did point out that a long-term combination of TNT Express with UPS or FedEx does make sense considering the geographic strengths and weaknesses of each company.
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YRCW cites improving Q1 shipment trends.
May 19, 2010
Less-than-truckload transportation services provider YRC Worldwide (YRCW) reported at the end of April that total shipments per weekday are inching up for its YRC National Transportation and YRC Regional Transportation subsidiaries. For the first quarter, YRCW said total shipments per workday were approximately 42,700 for YRC National and 33,700 for YRC Regional. Total shipments per workday showed sequential gains from January through March for both Regional (up 8.2 percent from January to February) and National (up 9.2 percent from January to February). Even though YRCW saw sequential shipment-per-day gains throughout the first quarter, these numbers are down on an annual basis, with National down 33.5 percent and Regional down 13 percent.
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Article Topics
·A respectable, but risky recovery.
May 19, 2010
Analysts with trade credit insurer Coface said it has raised its 2010 world growth forecast to 3 percent. Coface, which provides protection for businesses against financial failure by their customers, issued a report in April stating that the United States’ A2 rating is under positive watch. Given the strong performance of the U.S. at the end of 2009, Coface analysts revised their forecast upward to 2.3 percent. They warned, however, that the nation still had much to do before reaching its “pre-crisis” A1 rating. Furthermore, said analysts, there is some apprehension of a U.S. business slowdown during the year “due to a weakening of the favorable effects of the budget stimulus.” Meanwhile, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand are benefiting from the recovery in Asia, as demand for raw materials is ramping up. All three nations have been given an AI rating by Coface.
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·Losing steam?
May 19, 2010
More ships arrived at their destination ports behind schedule last year, according to the latest Container Shipper Insight report issued in April from Drewry Shipping Consultants. According to Drewry, of the nearly 1,600 ships tracked in the last three months of 2009, only 53 percent arrived either on the scheduled day of arrival or a day prior. That was down 7 percentage points from the reliability rate in the first three quarters of 2009 and fell below the historic average, which now stands at 55 percent. Drewry added that the increase in unreliability coincides with an increase in the practice of slow steaming. “These results are especially disappointing as we had expected reliability to improve as a consequence of more slow-steaming, which should in theory help matters by creating a buffer in the schedule,” said Simon Heaney, editor of Freight Shipper Insight and Schedule Reliability Insight. “It seems that carriers are not prepared to put their foot down if they fall behind schedule,” he said.
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Pa. I-80 tolling plan is nixed.
May 19, 2010
A push by Pennsylvania Governor Edward G. Rendell to put tolls on Interstate 80 was rejected by the federal government last month. This news, coupled with a 2008 effort to privatize the Pennsylvania Turnpike through a deal with Albertis and Citigroup, had previously failed to win approval from Pennsylvania state legislators and federal regulators, the report said. The Federal Highway Administration also rejected the I-80 tolling plan in September 2008 because the planned use of toll revenues did not meet federal requirements. Had it been approved, Pennsylvania would have been the third pilot interstate tolling project permitted under a federal transportation act. It would have added the 311 miles of I-80 to the 5,244 miles of tolled highways and bridges operating in the U.S., according to various reports.
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JAL encouraged but cautioned.
May 19, 2010
While the International Air Transport Association (IATA) is closely monitoring the restructuring of Japan Airlines, it recently told top management that “tough decisions” will need to be made quickly to cut costs and close the gap with regional competitors. “Japan’s expensive airport infrastructure costs impede improved competitiveness and must also be addressed as part of building a successful future for the company,” said Giovanni Bisignani, IATA’s director general and CEO. IATA fully supports Minister Maehara’s vision to increase the competitiveness of Japan’s air transport sector with more efficient infrastructure, said spokesmen. To turn the vision into reality, however, “urgent action” is needed to address cost issues.
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DHL, ABX Air extend relationship.
May 19, 2010
Express delivery and logistics services provider DHL and airfreight carrier ABX Air struck a five-year deal in which ABX will continue providing aircraft and operating support to the U.S. portion of DHL’s international logistics network. Under the terms, ABX will provide 13 Boeing 767 aircraft to DHL as well as operating support to the U.S. portion of DHL’s international logistics network. The deal, which covers crew, aircraft, maintenance, and insurance, runs through March 2015 with an option to extend it through March 2020. In conjunction, a seven-year agreement was also signed between DHL and Cargo Aircraft Management, a subsidiary of ABX parent company Air Transport Services Group Inc., which covers the leasing of 13 Boeing 767 freighter aircraft from ATSG.
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New Transpacific player.
May 19, 2010
The Containership Company (TCC), created just last fall, inaugurated its first Transpacific voyage last month. Heralded as “The Great Dragon” service, it got underway in April with its eastbound debut by sailing from the Taicang International Gateway in Jiangsu. As recently reported in LM, Jakob Tolstrup-Møller, TCC’s CEO, said that this “port-to-port service will appeal to shippers looking for a new partner and a more direct link to the vast inland manufacturing base of the Jiangsu province.” The event comes at a time when U.S. West Coast shippers are fighting to find space on inbound and price hikes have been sticking. For the first time since mid-2008, average global container freight rates experienced a year-over-year increase in late 2009, according to the Drewry Global Freight Rate Index.
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Keeping faith in forecasting.
May 19, 2010
If there was a single message presented at the Aberdeen Group’s annual Supply Chain Management Summit in San Francisco last month, it was that complacency is no longer an option. “As the economy strengthens, we’re examining lessons learned by the past and our conclusion is that more balance must be created in the supply chain,” said Juan F. Rubio, vice president of Logistics Resources International and keynote speaker to this year’s Summit. “Customer service and inventory policy must be re-scaled to maximize efficiency while continuing to focus on cost,” he said. Rubio addressed the session’s theme of “Proactive Supply Chain Strategies for 2010 and Beyond” by emphasizing that forecasting will play a crucial role in the realm of customer service and inventory control.
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Logistics business: Panjiva points to improved trade numbers with caution
May 20, 2010
Following a 3 percent gain in the number of global manufacturers shipping to the United States from February to March, there was another 3 percent gain from March to April, according to data from Panjiva, an online search engine with detailed information on global suppliers and manufacturers.
The matching 3 percent sequential gains follow 3 percent declines from January to February and December to January. And on a year-over-year basis, the most recent 3 percent March to April gain tops last year by 8 percent—due to the economy not being in recovery mode at that time.
Panjiva officials said the total number of global manufacturers shipping to the U.S. in April was 137,303, a 2.6 percent gain from March’s 133,779. Panjiva also said that there was an 11 percent annual increase in the number of waterborne shipments coming into the U.S. in April.
While these numbers are largely positive, Panjiva CEO Josh Green wrote in a blog posting that “year-over-year comparisons are a bit misleading since global trade was a mess last year.
In an interview with LM, Green said it feels like international trade is vulnerable to additional macroeconomic shocks.
“Our modest recovery right now is threatened by the chaos in the financial markets in Europe,” said Green. “The overall signs are promising, but we are not in a recovery that is so robust that we are immune to the threat being created by the instability in Europe.”
Looking at market conditions and how it relates to global manufacturers shipping to the U.S.. there is still some caution when it comes to inventory build up, but Green said that is not “top of mind” for most global manufacturers at the moment. Instead, he said, that there are concerns about production capacity constraints and rising prices that people expect to see as the recovery takes hold.
And with the economy in a modest recovery, Green said these conditions make it feel like a “new normal,” whereas a few weeks back it felt like the worst of the recession was over. But he again cautioned that the European economic crisis and the decline of the Euro have the potential to derail the recovery.
About the Author

Group News Editor
Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff joined the Supply Chain Group in 2005 and leads online and print news operations for these publications. In 2009, Jeff led Logistics Management to the Silver Medal of Folio’s Eddie Awards in the Best B2B Transportation/Travel Website category. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. If you want to contact Jeff with a news tip or idea, please send an e-mail to .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
Subscribe to Logistics Management magazine
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Recent Entries
Logistics business: Panjiva points to improved trade numbers with caution
May 20, 2010
Following a 3 percent gain in the number of global manufacturers shipping to the United States from February to March, there was another 3 percent gain from March to April, according to data from Panjiva, an online search engine with detailed information on global suppliers and manufacturers.
The matching 3 percent sequential gains follow 3 percent declines from January to February and December to January. And on a year-over-year basis, the most recent 3 percent March to April gain tops last year by 8 percent—due to the economy not being in recovery mode at that time.
Panjiva officials said the total number of global manufacturers shipping to the U.S. in April was 137,303, a 2.6 percent gain from March’s 133,779. Panjiva also said that there was an 11 percent annual increase in the number of waterborne shipments coming into the U.S. in April.
While these numbers are largely positive, Panjiva CEO Josh Green wrote in a blog posting that “year-over-year comparisons are a bit misleading since global trade was a mess last year.
In an interview with LM, Green said it feels like international trade is vulnerable to additional macroeconomic shocks.
“Our modest recovery right now is threatened by the chaos in the financial markets in Europe,” said Green. “The overall signs are promising, but we are not in a recovery that is so robust that we are immune to the threat being created by the instability in Europe.”
Looking at market conditions and how it relates to global manufacturers shipping to the U.S.. there is still some caution when it comes to inventory build up, but Green said that is not “top of mind” for most global manufacturers at the moment. Instead, he said, that there are concerns about production capacity constraints and rising prices that people expect to see as the recovery takes hold.
And with the economy in a modest recovery, Green said these conditions make it feel like a “new normal,” whereas a few weeks back it felt like the worst of the recession was over. But he again cautioned that the European economic crisis and the decline of the Euro have the potential to derail the recovery.
About the Author

Group News Editor
Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff joined the Supply Chain Group in 2005 and leads online and print news operations for these publications. In 2009, Jeff led Logistics Management to the Silver Medal of Folio’s Eddie Awards in the Best B2B Transportation/Travel Website category. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. If you want to contact Jeff with a news tip or idea, please send an e-mail to .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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May 20, 2010
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