Subscribe to our free, weekly email newsletter!



Are ocean carriers in a “boom and bust” cycle?

By Patrick Burnson, Executive Editor
October 11, 2011

While the biggest ocean carriers seek the economies of scale from ever-larger super post-Panamax ships, they run the risk but of introducing too much capacity at the same time, thereby ruining the already fragile supply/demand balance.

This observation, made by Drewry’s latest quarterly Container Forecaster, also suggests that the “boom and bust cycle” is now an annual occurrence, rather than something that happens every 4-5 years.
Neil Dekker, a chief analyst with Drewry, noted that three factors will determine how the industry will develop in the next 5-10 years. 

Number one, he said, will be carrier behavior and commercial strategies. In other words, will they learn from their mistakes? Number two, will be the continued investment in ever larger container vessels. And finally, how will they respond if consumer confidence continues to erode, and “near sourcing” takes share away from global deployments?

About the Author

image
Patrick Burnson
Executive Editor

Patrick Burnson is executive editor for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review magazines and web sites. Patrick is a widely-published writer and editor who has spent most of his career covering international trade, global logistics, and supply chain management. He lives and works in San Francisco, providing readers with a Pacific Rim perspective on industry trends and forecasts. You can reach him directly at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).


Subscribe to Logistics Management magazine

Subscribe today. It's FREE!
Get timely insider information that you can use to better manage your
entire logistics operation.
Start your FREE subscription today!

Recent Entries

Spot market freight volumes for the month of August remained elevated compared to seasonal norms, according to data issued this week Portland, Oregon-based freight marketplace platform and information provider DAT.

Factors such as rising freight rates, shrinking capacity, an increased desire for global supply chain visibility, have all worked together to drive the need for instituting a culture of continuous improvement in logistics operations and transportation management systems (TMS). To meet today's complex logistics challenges, managers are stepping into a more streamlined, automated approach to transportation management in order to function at optimal levels both domestically and internationally. Read the latest special report.

The Atlanta-based company said that it plans to hire between 90,000-to-95,000 seasonal employees, up from about 85,000 last year, to support “the anticipated holiday surge” for package deliveries commencing in October and running through January.

The Memphis-based company reported today that quarterly net income of $606 million was up 24 percent annually, and revenue, at $11.7 billion, was up 6 percent. Operating income at $987 million was up 24 percent.

The World Shipping Council (WSC) released an update to its survey and estimate of containers lost at sea.

Article Topics

Blogs · Global Logistics · Global · Ocean Cargo · All topics

Comments

Post a comment
Commenting is not available in this channel entry.


© Copyright 2013 Peerless Media LLC, a division of EH Publishing, Inc • 111 Speen Street, Ste 200, Framingham, MA 01701 USA