Subscribe to our free, weekly email newsletter!


Diesel prices are down for first time in four weeks

By Jeff Berman, Group News Editor
August 02, 2011

Following a cumulative 9.9 cent gain over the previous three weeks, the Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported this week that the price per gallon of diesel dropped 1.2 cents to $3.937.

This decrease followed weekly gains of 2.6 cents, 2.4 cents, and 2.9 cents, respectively. Prior to those recent increases diesel prices had fallen a cumulative 27.4 cents since hitting a 2011 high of $4.124 per gallon the week of May 2. And this week’s price per gallon is cumulatively 18.7 cents less since the week of May 2.

Compared to a year ago, diesel prices are up $1.09.  In its short-term energy outlook, the EIA is calling for diesel prices to average $3.86 per gallon in 2011 and $3.95 in 2012, with oil pegged at $98.43 per barrel in 2011 and $102.50 in 2012.

The price per barrel of oil is currently trading at about $94 on the New York Mercantile Exchange, according to media reports. The Associated Press reported that the price per barrel is down due to softness in the U.S. economy brought on by the nation’s debt ceiling issues and sluggish growth, as evidenced by yesterday’s manufacturing report by the Institute for Supply Management.

As LM has reported, given the fluctuation—and still high prices—of diesel, shippers and carriers remain concerned about the price of diesel and oil. While many have indicated that prices at current levels are still digestible, they cautioned that could quickly change depending on how quickly prices rise.

And with this fluctuation, the focus from a supply chain perspective for managing fuel price ebbs and flows—for shippers—is more on utilization and efficiency by doing things like driving empty miles out of transportation networks.

Even with this week’s increase, the price per gallon for diesel fuel has not exceeded the $4 mark since the week of May 16, when it hit $4.061.

But Chuck Taylor a noted oil and diesel expert, who runs a Texas-based consulting firm called Awake!, told LM not to read too deeply into that, stating that the third and fourth quarters will see a return to $4 or higher gallons.

There are several reasons for this, explained Taylor.

“The slight-of-hand release of 60 million barrels (about 17 hours of world consumption) from Strategic Reserves (30 from ours) has already played out,” he said. “The Energy Information Agency’s July 2011 forecast shows a total world consumption of oil of 89.0 million barrels a day for Q3 2011 and 88.8 million barrels a day for Q4 2011. World supplies are about 87 million barrels per day. The estimate of spare capacity is 2-3 million barrels a day all in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait or the UAE (mostly in SA).”

Taylor went on to say that the Saudi’s couldn’t or didn’t increase production in the spring when the run up began, and they still won’t or can’t, adding that the release of the strategic reserves was a bullish signal for prices once the knee jerk sell off was over.

“I think the release was a cynical and not very effective ploy,” said Taylor. “If somehow Libya comes back on line soon or the world economies slow enough, prices would stabilize or possibly drop some, and it would look like the release had an impact. However, there is no indication that either is going to happen and there are no new supplies coming that can meet the demand.”

About the Author

Jeff Berman headshot
Jeff Berman
Group News Editor

Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).


Subscribe to Logistics Management magazine

Subscribe today. It's FREE!
Get timely insider information that you can use to better manage your
entire logistics operation.
Start your FREE subscription today!

Recent Entries

Even as Congress was putting the finishing touches on a 10-month short-term funding extension to the federal aid highway bill that temporarily averts a funding crisis, Transportation Secretary Anthony Foxx was ripping the measure as a short-term “gimmick” that once again fails to adequately fund U.S. infrastructure needs in the long run.

ISI is comprised of Integrated Services, ISI Logistics and ISI Logistics South and is focused on the warehousing and transportation needs of automotive shippers. RRTS said that in 2013, Integrated Services generated revenues of approximately $21 million adding that Integrated Services is expected to be accretive to Roadrunner’s earnings in 2014.

The market for supply chain management software continues to expand, highlighting the importance of software in today’s supply chains.

Over the past five years emerging markets have maintained their “growth dynamic,” observes John Manners-Bell, CEO, of the London-based think tank Transport Intelligence (Ti).

Amid the talk and coverage about things negatively impacting the trucking industry like increasing regulations, tight capacity, and equipment-related issues and challenges, there is one thing to always remember about the sector: it moves a lot of freight, make that more than a lot, actually.

Article Topics

News · Transportation · EIA · Diesel Prices · Diesel · Oil · Oil Prices · All topics

Comments

Post a comment
Commenting is not available in this channel entry.


© Copyright 2013 Peerless Media LLC, a division of EH Publishing, Inc • 111 Speen Street, Ste 200, Framingham, MA 01701 USA