A gentle surge in U.S. manufacturing and more emphasis on “near shoring” indicates that trade with Canada will continue to grow this year, major forwarders say. This is a trend confirmed by economists at the Toronto-based CIBC World Markets who report that Canada will remain the biggest trading partner for the U.S. for years to come.
Demand for U.S. goods is surging, says CIBC, with wholesale trade inventories climbing 1.7 percent to $52.4 billion this past May—the largest percentage increase since January 2007. “The volume of cross-border growth is impressive,” says CIBC analyst Rob Shotte. “The inventory-tosales ratio is a measure of the time, in months, required to exhaust inventories if sales were to remain at their current level. Overall, 16 of the 25 wholesale trade industries reported higher inventory levels.”
The impact of the current environment for U.S. shippers has been significant, Shotte adds. U.S. wholesalers in construction, forestry, mining, industrial machinery, equipment, and supplies posted the biggest inventory gains in dollar terms, followed by agricultural wholesalers when shipping into Canada, CIBC notes in a recent report.
One of the world’s premier trade services companies concurs with this observation. “A combination of forces are at work when examining this uptick,” says Amy Magnus, district manager for A.N. Deringer. “Business has been good, and seems to be getting better. But U.S. exporters trying to go it alone may still find some unexpected barriers and choke points.”
About the Author
Subscribe to Logistics Management magazine
As was the case for the second quarter, third quarter earnings results for publicly-traded less-than-truckload (LTL) carriers are again strong. Signs of solid earnings results from carriers that have posted earnings to date include tonnage increases, gains in weight per shipment and average daily shipments, higher yield, and revenue per hundredweight.
While the holiday season is known to bring good tidings and cheer to all, it may also come with another thing that is not so pleasant: higher rate freights. That was the thesis of a commentary written by Mark Montague, industry pricing analyst and chief market-watcher for DAT, a Portland, Ore.-based subsidiary of TransCore.
Earlier this week, FedEx said it is expanding its International First service for early deliveries with the addition of 31 new origin countries, which will bring the total number of origin markets for the service to 97.
Monday, December 22 is pegged as UPS's peak delivery day, as the company expects to deliver more than 34 million packages that day, adding that it expects to see six days in December top last year’s peak shipment day delivery record of 31 million packages.
The time has come again for less-than-truckload (LTL) general rate increases (GRI), with various carriers recently announced their respective rate hikes in recent days.