Subscribe to our free, weekly email newsletter!



Mixed forecast for U.S. retailers

According to IHS Global Insight, the final Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment expectations index fell 1.4 points compared to the final October reading.
By Patrick Burnson, Executive Editor
November 23, 2012

Consumer sentiment has taken a hit after the presidential election due to increased awareness by many Americans of the fiscal cliff and stock market volatility.

According to IHS Global Insight, the final Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment expectations index fell 1.4 points compared to the final October reading.

Survey respondents are significantly more pessimistic on the future path of the economy and their personal finances since the media and politicians focused on fiscal cliff issues the day after the presidential election. Prior to November 7, most Americans were not very concerned with the fiscal cliff. There are some positives on the consumer front, such as falling pump prices, improved housing numbers, and wage gains that are likely to outpace price increases.

“If the political rhetoric and finger pointing reaches a fever pitch similar to that of the debt ceiling crisis in the summer of 2011 then consumer confidence is likely to take a very serious hit, and this holiday season will not be very cheerful, said IHS economist Chris Christopher.

Still, he expects holiday retail sales to rise 3.9% above last year, not as strong as the past couple of years, but a good showing. Holiday retail sales increased approximately 5.5% in 2011 compared to 2010.

About the Author

image
Patrick Burnson
Executive Editor

Patrick Burnson is executive editor for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review magazines and web sites. Patrick is a widely-published writer and editor who has spent most of his career covering international trade, global logistics, and supply chain management. He lives and works in San Francisco, providing readers with a Pacific Rim perspective on industry trends and forecasts. You can reach him directly at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).


Subscribe to Logistics Management magazine

Subscribe today. It's FREE!
Get timely insider information that you can use to better manage your
entire logistics operation.
Start your FREE subscription today!

Recent Entries

Supply chain security provider Freightwatch International has released its semi-annual report on cargo theft in the Asia Pacific region for the first half of 2014, which contains some heartening news for U.S. shippers reliant on trucking, warehousing and retail.

FedEx Ground, a subsidiary of FedEx Corporation, reports today that a decision by a three-judge panel of the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit reversed previous rulings by the District Court for the Northern District of Indiana in three class action cases involving mostly former independent contractors for FedEx Ground

More talking remains before the deal is done

The transpacific U.S.-flag carrier has been ranked number one in the ocean carrier category for Logistics Management magazine's Quest for Quality award

This year, the Containerization & Intermodal Institute (CII) will be staging the “Connie” Awards dinner in conjunction with IANA’s Intermodal EXPO in Long Beach

Article Topics

Blogs · Inventory · Logistics · Retail · All topics

Comments

Post a comment
Commenting is not available in this channel entry.


© Copyright 2013 Peerless Media LLC, a division of EH Publishing, Inc • 111 Speen Street, Ste 200, Framingham, MA 01701 USA