Subscribe to our free, weekly email newsletter!


November Class 8 orders down compared to October, says ACT Research

By Jeff Berman, Group News Editor
December 21, 2011

New orders for Class 8 trucks in November were down from October, according to ACT Research, a provider of data and analysis for trucks and other commercial vehicles.

Earlier this month, ACT predicted that November orders would come in around 20,700, which would represent about a 25 percent decline from October’s 24,354, the third best month for orders in 2011 based on ACT’s data.

The firm’s final tally for November orders was very close to its estimate at 20,603 orders. But even with this decline, it noted that the demand situation for Class 8 vehicles remains favorable.

“We believe special factors, such as the near selling out of remaining 2011 build slots in October and cancellations in export orders in November, were responsible for the boost in order activity in October and the fall-off in order activity in November,” said Kenny Vieth, president and senior analyst at ACT, in a statement. “Our suggestion is to look at October and November in aggregate. Doing so generates average monthly net orders of 24,400 units.”

In an interview with LM, Vieth said there were a few reasons for looking at October and November numbers in aggregate form.

Despite the disparity in the orders between the two months, he explained that not a lot changed within the industry on a substantive basis in terms of freight levels, trucking profitability, or in used truck prices.

“In that regard, we remain pretty bullish on the underlying demand trends,” said Vieth.

He added that even a slight improvement in volume or demand could spur a decent uptick in orders, too.

When asked how things are trending out order-wise for the month of December, Vieth said that visibility into that is not clear, although he noted that because of the 100 percent bonus depreciation allowance for capital goods deduction, which expires at the end of 2011, points to a good retail sales month for trucks in December.

About the Author

Jeff Berman headshot
Jeff Berman
Group News Editor

Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).


Subscribe to Logistics Management magazine

Subscribe today. It's FREE!
Get timely insider information that you can use to better manage your
entire logistics operation.
Start your FREE subscription today!

Recent Entries

Seasonally-adjusted (SA) for-hire truck tonnage in March was up 1.1 percent on the heels of a revised 2.8 percent (from 3.1 percent) February decline, with the SA index at 133.5 (2000=100). This is off 0.3 percent from the all-time high for the SA of 135.8 from January 2015 and is up 5 percent annually.

Intermodal volume was up 8.1 percent annually at 280,016 containers and trailers. This outpaced the week ending April 11 at 270,463 and the week ending April 4 at 271,127. AAR said this tally marks the second highest weekly output it has ever recorded as well as the first time container and trailer traffic was higher than carloads for a one-week period.

Ocean cargo carrier service reliability across the three core East-West trades hit a five-month peak in March with an aggregate on-time performance of 64 percent, according to Carrier Performance Insight, the online schedule reliability tool provided by Drewry Supply Chain Advisors.

The Airforwarders Association, which represents more than 360 companies that move air cargo through the supply chain, today applauded an agreement reached by Congressional leaders to advance legislation giving the President authority to conclude key global trade agreements.

Despite great opportunity for growth, the logistics market in Latin America is lagging behind other emerging markets thanks in part to its notoriety for corruption, violence, poor infrastructure and government bureaucracy.

Comments

Post a comment
Commenting is not available in this channel entry.


© Copyright 2015 Peerless Media LLC, a division of EH Publishing, Inc • 111 Speen Street, Ste 200, Framingham, MA 01701 USA