Subscribe to our free, weekly email newsletter!


Risk still needs to be addressed by logistics managers say analysts

According to Deloitte LLP, there are more than 200 current and emergent risks that may have an impact supply chains
By Patrick Burnson, Executive Editor
March 16, 2012

Supply chain managers should have learned some valuable lessons from last year’s Fukushima earthquake and tsunami in Japan, said industry analysts.

Kelly Marchese, a principal with Deloitte Consulting LLP, in the Manufacturing Operations practice, says that unfortunately, the threshold for risk has not moved much since that tragic event.

“We have not seen as much use of analytics as we expected,” she said. “This might be a consequence of denial, or a belief that another ‘black swan’ event is unlikely.”

But Kelly maintained that the cost of being unprepared for potential supply chain disruptions can be paralyzing.  Not all supply chain disruptions are publicized (in fact, most manufacturers would prefer to keep most of them hushed up) but they happen to most companies on a regular basis.

According to Deloitte LLP, there are more than 200 current and emergent risks that may have an impact supply chains. Furthermore, industry data shows that 85 percent of global supply chains experienced at least one disruption in the last 12 months.

Alarmingly, the vast majority of manufacturers do not have a plan in place to mitigate supply chain specific risks. The most vulnerable companies are those heavily reliant on lean logistics and the just-in-time distribution model. While this is not likely to give way to a “just-in-case” strategy, analysts concur that more risk mitigation should be introduced before the next cataclysmic event.

But trade-offs between achieving optimal supply chain efficiencies and management of supply chain risk have created a conundrum of sorts, say analysts for IBM, even though everyone recognizes that the consequences of disruption can be dire.

They report that those hit by unexpected calamities, on average, have a 14 percent increase in inventories, 11 percent increase in cost, and 7 percent decrease in sales in the year following the disruption.

At the same time, supply chain-related expenses are often the largest component of a company’s cost structure and ultimately determines profits. And because it’s the biggest opportunity to extract value, manufacturers may be unready to sacrifice ROI for another layer of security.

As a consequence, many supply chain management experts are advocating a layered approach when formulating a risk mitigation strategy.

This includes a careful evaluation of compliance documentation and risk-related metrics such as civil unrest, political tension, and vulnerability to natural disasters.

Having taken these steps, manufacturers are advised to quantify and prioritize risk by measuring the likelihood or impact of an event. Then they will be in a position to weigh risk against financial implications to develop a cost/benefit analysis.

Kelly is encouraging managers to “visualize” risk, and plan accordingly.

“Most companies still need to put one executive in place to manage risk,” she said. “They need a ‘throat to choke’ when something goes terribly wrong.”??

Meanwhile, she advises managers to evaluate a range of analytical tools – off-the-shelf, customized, or configurable – being offered by software developers.

While a comprehensive “best of breed” solution has yet to emerge, the marketplace can support a variety of value-added service providers eager to enter this burgeoning supply chain management niche, said Kelly.

About the Author

image
Patrick Burnson
Executive Editor

Patrick Burnson is executive editor for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review magazines and web sites. Patrick is a widely-published writer and editor who has spent most of his career covering international trade, global logistics, and supply chain management. He lives and works in San Francisco, providing readers with a Pacific Rim perspective on industry trends and forecasts. You can reach him directly at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).


Subscribe to Logistics Management magazine

Subscribe today. It's FREE!
Get timely insider information that you can use to better manage your
entire logistics operation.
Start your FREE subscription today!

Recent Entries

When an industry is changing rapidly, companies must adapt in order to survive. In this whitepaper, a global publisher was seeking a partner that could mitigate risk and build a platform flexible enough for their shifting customer expectations. The solution enabled the company to rewrite their operations game plan and transform their supply chain.

Global trade management technology provider Amber Road (formerly known as Management Dynamics) said this week it has acquired ecVision, a cloud-based provider of global sourcing and collaborative supply chain solutions.

While it is already reaping myriad benefits from ORION (On-Road Integrated Optimization and Navigation), a proprietary routing platform for its drivers rolled out in late 2013, transportation and logistics bellwether UPS announced big plans for the technology this week.

Diesel prices continued their recent stretch of gains with a 3.6 cent increase this week to $2.936 per gallon, according to the Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration (EIA).

TSA has reaffirmed its March 9 general rate increase (GRI) of $600 per 40-foot container (FEU) for all shipments, and lines have also filed a previously announced April 9 GRI in the same amount.

Article Topics

News · Global Trade · Logistics · Trade · All topics

Comments

Post a comment
Commenting is not available in this channel entry.


© Copyright 2015 Peerless Media LLC, a division of EH Publishing, Inc • 111 Speen Street, Ste 200, Framingham, MA 01701 USA