Small businesses will keep lean inventories

After slow but steady improvement over the first half of this year, small business optimism soured considerably in June, said analysts at IHS Global Insight. The implications for supply chain managers suggest that inventories will remain lean.

“It appears small businesses are trying to make do with their current resources,” said IHS senior economist, Leslie Levesque. “They have run down inventories to better meet their less fruitful sales expectations and the net percentage of owners reporting stocks too low was unchanged in the month.

Levesque added that Small business owners became more downbeat on almost everything in the month, but particularly, their outlook on the economy and earnings potential worsened significantly.
Additionally, she said, small businesses are asking more out of their existing employees or hiring temporary workers. The net percentage of respondents planning to increase their full-time work force fell to 3 – its lowest level since October.

“It is clear from this report that small business owners are not expecting to do much additional capital spending, hiring or expanding in the next three months,” said Levesque.

A more positive outlook on credit conditions does not mean much in this type of environment, IHS analysts added. Small businesses will not increase spending or their labor force until they see demand pick up, feel less uncertain on policy issues, and do not feel so “over-regulated.”