Subscribe to our free, weekly email newsletter!



Warning signs and Peak thoughts

image
By Jeff Berman, Group News Editor
July 14, 2010

The first half of 2010 brought us several positive economic indicators that were more than welcome.

These indicators were to be expected to a certain degree, due to a beyond challenging 2009. But now, in a two-week span or so, the warning signs of a bad economy, or……a double-dip recession appear to be rearing their ugly heads.

To name a few, in the past 10 days we have seen declines in retail sales, consumer confidence, wholesale inventory sales, as well as a few others. The freight side has seen some sequential declines in trucking and railroad volumes while intermodal continues to appear as a current ‘sweet spot’ for many shippers (this is occurring on an anecdotal basis and a real basis, too).

In any event, we all know the economy is not exactly on terra firma, but we were, I mean are, still optimistic about the future, right? I like to think we are, but it sure would be nice to see the positive momentum again when perusing analyst reports and the business sections of daily newspapers.

So, here we are in mid-July and what happens next is truly anyone’s guess. And with Peak Season creeping up, now would be a great time for increased demand and freight volumes to get moving again.

But for that to happen, we need to see those warning signs turn to ones of optimism as we get deeper into the second half of 2010.

As I said in a recent posting, Peak Season has not truly happened in a few years, but all reports indicate that there will be one in 2010. If it does happen, it means things are going in the right direction, so here’s to wishing for a busy Peak Season.

One more thing: I am beginning work on a Peak Season story for LM print and online. If you have anything to share or comment on, please post to this blog and/or drop me a line at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).

 

About the Author

Jeff Berman headshot
Jeff Berman
Group News Editor

Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).


Subscribe to Logistics Management magazine

Subscribe today. It's FREE!
Get timely insider information that you can use to better manage your
entire logistics operation.
Start your FREE subscription today!

Recent Entries

Mexico's growing importance in the continental supply chain is now being recognized by North American transportation groups

Satish Jindel, president of Pittsburgh-based SJ Consulting, says that one way for LTL carriers to improve both their bottom lines and overall productivity is to get a better grasp on the cost of handling a shipment and the pricing they have for it.

Falling 5.5 cents to $2.668 per gallon, this follows last week’s 5.9 cent decline for the lowest weekly average price going back to the week of October 14, 2009, when it was at $2.60 per gallon.

With the latest round of Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) negotiations in Maui, Hawaii ending without a deal, U.S. supply managers may be adjusting to other global sourcing strategies.

The PMI, the ISM’s index to measure growth fell 0.8 percent to 52.7 (a PMI of 50 or greater represents growth). PMI growth has been at 50 or higher for 31 straight months (with the overall economy growing for 74 months), and the current PMI is 1.7 percent below the 12-month average of 54.4.

Article Topics

Blogs · All topics

Comments

Post a comment
Commenting is not available in this channel entry.


© Copyright 2015 Peerless Media LLC, a division of EH Publishing, Inc • 111 Speen Street, Ste 200, Framingham, MA 01701 USA