Hang On - The Scary Part of The Ride Is Coming Up!
One of the interesting things about writing this Blog is the readers might surmise that I am not tremendously optimistic about what is happening in this country. What is ironic though is that by nature I am an optimistic, or glass half full type of individual. That said, as a country, we are on the proverbial roller coaster ride and the scariest part has yet to come.
If Warren Buffet’s (the Oracle of Omaha) recent pronouncement that “the economy is a ‘shambles’ and likely to stay that way for some time” didn’t grab you, perhaps this little tidbit from Sprott Asset Management’s recent Newsletter will cause you to put down that cup of coffee, and pay attention.
The future solvency of the United States as a nation state is currently in jeopardy. It is in far deeper trouble than the mainstream press cares to admit. There are simply not enough new buyers of debt on this planet to support the spending programs of the United States government - and it appears that current holders of debt are beginning to sell. Because it is impossible to balance the budget from outside sources of capital, the only source of funds left for the US, in all reality, is continued money printing. The Federal Reserve’s policy of Quantitative Easing is failing.
Perhaps Warren and the professionals from Sprott are being alarmist in their predictions, but consider what we are witnessing in Washington DC. The House will soon vote on the Climate Emissions, or Cap and Trade legislation. The President referred to this legislation as “legislation that creates jobs,” but Warren Buffett, once again weighed in stating that this legislation will severely hurt our economy and serve as a significant regressive form of taxation. The estimated cost of this legislation has been pegged at somewhere between $650 Million to $1.4 Trillion Dollars. And the Wall Street Journal stated that this legislation will cost more than 1 Million jobs as companies move their production to other countries.
Moving on, this week the ABC Network (commonly referred to as the “All Barack Channel”) dedicated significant chunks of their broadcasting time to promote the merits of a nationalized health care system. Those who extol the virtues of the Canadian or British health-care systems overlook some important facts; namely, that the quality of care as well as the waiting time to access that care are significantly worse than what we are used to in this country. And there is this minor little detail that involves an estimated cost of $1.6 Trillion over the next 10 years - and that is assuming that the budget estimates from the Senate conference are accurate. However, if it is anything like the Medicaid estimates, some experts are predicting that nationalized health-care will cost us over $3 Trillion Dollars. Wouldn’t it be nice if some of our leaders explained how they will pay for all this stuff?
If you find all this stuff about cap and trade and health care to be a tad boring, then look at other things like the employee free choice act (or card check legislation), or the situation in North Korea and Iran. Like I said: “Hang on, the scary part of the ride is coming up.”
The Sprott Asset Management’s article contains five pages of sobering facts. (If you would like a copy of this newsletter let me know.) In their conclusion they noted that: “The US budget is ludicrous, spending is out of control, spending promises are out of control, the world knows it - and we know it. For all the pundits who see the economy improving over the next year, we invite you to explain to us how this debt crisis will resolve itself without significant turmoil.” And that sums it out better than I could ever express.
Normally, we close out our postings with some words of encouragement, or action steps. But the magnitude of this issue (our reckless disregard for any financial discipline) is so profound, that frankly I am at a loss for words. I would ask our readers to do one thing, and if not for you, then for your kids or future generations in this country: Please do not hit the snooze button and pretend this issue will disappear.
As I write these words, two of our largest states, California and New York are grappling with a severe economic crisis. Unfortunately, the experts tell us that several other states, are also facing grave economic crises. If the states are the proverbial “canary in the coal mine” about what is facing are great country, you a choice to make: Sit on the sidelines and live in a state of denial, or choose to be a modern-day Paul Revere. Get the facts and then get on your horse and let your friends, neighbors, and work associates know that our country is in danger of collapsing from within. Let your leaders know: Enough is enough! We need to regain some sense of financial sanity in this country.
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