Air cargo sector challenged by nature and energy

image
By Patrick Burnson, Executive Editor
February 04, 2011 - LM Editorial

Despite the encouraging news from The International Air Transport Association (IATA) on improving freight volumes, there are still two key issues that may have a negative impact on a full recovery: the weather and fuel prices.

Severe weather in Europe and North America in December was a major problem, and the season so far does not appear to be improving. It is estimated that this shaved 1 percent off of total traffic demand for the month.

As a result demand dipped to 4.9 percent growth on December 2009 levels, significantly lower than the 8.2 percent growth recorded in November. Hardest hit was Europe which saw December growth slow to 3.3 percent.

But IATA says this is only half the story.

A sharp rise in oil prices, as they predicted, may mean a consecutive second year of profitability – but with industry profits falling by 40 percent to $9.1 billion.

This was based on an oil price of $84 per barrel (Brent). Fuel accounts for 27 percent of operating costs and a sustained rise in the oil price could spoil the party. With uncertainties in the Middle East, oil prices are now hovering near the $100 per barrel mark.

For every dollar increase in the average price of a barrel of oil over the year, airlines face the difficult task of recovering an additional $1.6 billion in costs.



About the Author

image
Patrick Burnson
Executive Editor

Patrick Burnson is executive editor for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review magazines and web sites. Patrick is a widely-published writer and editor who has spent most of his career covering international trade, global logistics, and supply chain management. He lives and works in San Francisco, providing readers with a Pacific Rim perspective on industry trends and forecasts. You can reach him directly at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).


Subscribe to Logistics Management magazine

Subscribe today. It's FREE!
Get timely insider information that you can use to better manage your
entire logistics operation.
Start your FREE subscription today!

Recent Entries

AgTC will provide unique market intelligence at next annual meeting in San Francisco this June

With no fuel tax increase likely ahead of this year’s mid-term elections, trucking interests in Washington are moving to Plan B in their attempt to shore up funding for badly needed infrastructure improvements.

Crowley Maritime Corporation has acquired majority ownership of Accord Ship Management (HK) Limited and Accord Marine Management Pvt. Ltd.

To catch a rising economic tide this year, the Port of Long Beach will need to modernize and find new efficiencies to move increasing amounts of cargo at a faster pace, said experts gathered earlier this month for the Port’s 10th annual “Peak Season Forecast” at the Long Beach Convention Center.

Article Topics

Blogs · Air Cargo · Transportation · All topics

About the Author

Patrick Burnson, Executive Editor
Patrick Burnson is executive editor for Logistics Management and Supply Chain Management Review. Patrick covers international trade, global logistics, and supply chain management. He lives and works in San Francisco, providing readers with a Pacific Rim perspective on industry trends and forecasts. Contact Patrick Burnson

Comments

Post a comment
Commenting is not available in this channel entry.


© Copyright 2013 Peerless Media LLC, a division of EH Publishing, Inc • 111 Speen Street, Ste 200, Framingham, MA 01701 USA