With more than 50 years of supply chain, logistics and freight transportation experience on my resume, taking on a monthly column about what’s happening in our world is actually a new adventure for me.
Indeed, the pandemic provided a good illustration on how brittle and complex global supply chain networks are, so there’s a wide swath of subjects for this column, which I intended to start exploring this month. Then Norfolk Southern had a catastrophic derailment in Ohio, which has been front-page news since it happened on February 3.
When asked for my take on the derailment by Jim Hagen, retired CEO of Conrail, I said I thought a variety of interest groups were using this incident to beat the drum for their favorite cause.
PSR is a term coined by the late Hunter Harrison, while CEO of CN, as a way to drive down the operating ratio (expense as percent of revenue). Wall Street loved it so much that most carriers followed suit in some form or other. In turn, operating ratios dropped down to record lows and stock prices reflected better earnings. But, service suffered and shippers complained.
Bill Stephens, a columnist with Trains Magazine wrote in his analysis: “Before he retired in 2019, BNSF Railway executive chairman Matt Rose warned that the other Class I railroads were inviting regulatory risk by adopting precision scheduled railroading, reducing service, and demarketing some types of traffic in pursuit of higher profits.”
So, what does all this mean? Almost certainly there will be an impact, as there always seems to be a surge in government spending and regulation when there’s a disaster (e.g., Mississippi bridge failure, Hurricane Katrina, this incident, et al).
According to a recent report in Progressive Railroading, two Ohio senators announced they will introduce the Rail Safety Act of 2023. The bill would require various rail safety improvements, the specifics of which have yet to be revealed, but presumptively
adding more regulations.
All of this comes at a cost, which typically gets translated into greater expense for shippers and end-use customers. Of course, when it comes to matters of safety, cost-benefit economics are a difficult discussion.
The mandate for two-man crews also makes the industry less-competitive in the face of automated vehicles and self-driving trucks, which will have a significant labor cost advantage as that capability expands. Technology exists for autonomous train operations (e.g., Australia and other places), but the political and social obstacles in the United States have yet to be overcome.
So, change is again afoot—with outcomes that will ripple down the supply chain for many years to come.