Subscribe to our free, weekly email newsletter!


June manufacturing index is down slightly, reports ISM

By Jeff Berman, Group News Editor
July 01, 2014

Even with a miniscule sequential decline in its key metric, manufacturing still showed growth in June, according to the June edition of the Manufacturing Report on Business from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).

The PMI, the ISM’s index to measure growth, dropped 0.1 percent to 55.3 in June (a PMI of 50 or greater represents growth). This is 0.2 percent above the 12-month average of 55.1. The PMI has grown in 17 of the last 19 months, with economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanding for the last 13 months as the overall economy was up for the 61st consecutive month.

Including the PMI, two of the report’s four key metrics were down and two were up in June. Production dropped 1.0 percent to 60.0, and new orders, often known as the engine driving manufacturing, rose 2.0 percent to 60.0 and showed growth for the 13rd straight month. Employment was flat at 52.8 while showing growth for the 12th straight month.

With the PMI relatively flat from May to June, 15 of the 18 manufacturing industries reported growth in June. And the respondent comments within the report were generally positive.

A food, beverage, and tobacco products respondent explained that business volume is increasing at a good pace and consumers appear to be spending more, and a computer and electronic products respondent noted that June represented another strong month overall. 

“Things are in a good position, even with basically flat growth,” said Bradley J. Holcomb, CPSM, CPSD, chair of the ISM Manufacturing Business Survey Committee, in an interview. “Through the first five months of the year there were consecutive month-over-month increases, and we are essentially at the same level.”

Holcomb also observed that the positive comments are generally indicating business volumes are somewhere between stable to improving to strong, depending upon the specific industry.

The average PMI for 2013 was 53.9 and finished the year on a strong note, while in 2014, which started on a softer note, has a year-to-date average of 54.0, which emphasizes the point that 2014 manufacturing output is trending well so far.

Looking at new orders, Holcomb said July represents the highest level they have hit so far this year, with 12 manufacturing industries reporting growth, coupled with another strong month for production, too.

July inventories were flat at 53.0 and supplier deliveries were down 1.3 percent to 51.9, with the latter having shown slowness for 13 straight months.

“Supplier deliveries are getting ‘less slow,’ which means suppliers are catching up, and with inventories at the same level for three consecutive months it really shows an appetite for carrying extra inventory in anticipation of continuing strong new orders,” Holcomb said.

Prices dropped 2.0 percent to 58.0 but are still increasing at a slower pace, when compared to the difference from May to June, with the rate of increase leveling off to a degree. This is also in line with the ISM’s prediction of a less than 2 percent annual increase in the price of raw materials.

Backlog of orders in July dropped 4.5 percent to 48.0 and was directly tied to the strong production number of 60, which was working off new orders and backlog of orders and utilizing the labor and assets available in the month of June, Holcomb said.

On a year-to-date basis, Holcomb said that manufacturing is in a good place.

“I would characterize the first six months of the year as progressive growth, with good trends set up in the first half of the year and positioning things well for a continuation of that into the second half,” Holcomb concluded. 

About the Author

Jeff Berman headshot
Jeff Berman
Group News Editor

Jeff Berman is Group News Editor for Logistics Management, Modern Materials Handling, and Supply Chain Management Review. Jeff works and lives in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, where he covers all aspects of the supply chain, logistics, freight transportation, and materials handling sectors on a daily basis. .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).


Subscribe to Logistics Management magazine

Subscribe today. It's FREE!
Get timely insider information that you can use to better manage your
entire logistics operation.
Start your FREE subscription today!

Recent Entries

Seasonally-adjusted (SA) for-hire truck tonnage in February was down 3.1 percent (2000=100) compared to a revised 1.3 percent (from 1.2 percent) increase in January. ATA said this reading marks the lowest level for the SA index going back to last September.

It was a busy day for railroad-related legislation yesterday, with the United States Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee approving two bills with a railroad focus by a voice vote. The respective bills are S. 808, the Surface Transportation Board Reauthorization Act of 2015 and S. 650, the Railroad Safety and Positive Train Control Extension Act.

Indications given by a splinter group of the International Longshore and Warehouse Union suggest that shippers should not assume the tentative contract with the Pacific Maritime Association is a “done deal.”

Navis announced that George A. Kohlrieser, an internationally recognized expert on leadership, will present a general session at Navis World 2015, taking place March 29-April 1, 2015 at the Intercontinental San Francisco Hotel.

While its day-to-day objectives remain the same, the online load board freight-matching service Internet Truckstop announced today it has a new name: Truckstop.com.

Article Topics

News · Manufacturing · ISM · All topics

Comments

Post a comment
Commenting is not available in this channel entry.


© Copyright 2015 Peerless Media LLC, a division of EH Publishing, Inc • 111 Speen Street, Ste 200, Framingham, MA 01701 USA